Sample Run

Pattern Rotation

ES 1H · 2020-2024 · ES

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

$29,222.00

Max Drawdown %

24.45%

Profit Factor

1.05

Win Rate

34.71%

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Total Trades

942

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
-3.0k
7.0k
-7.6k
-718
-2.9k
5.1k
-8.3k
3.0k
1.9k
-227
-7.0k
-4.1k
-17k
2021
-711
-62
-79
928
4.9k
3.0k
2.0k
2.0k
3.9k
-8.0k
-2.9k
-1.0k
3.9k
2022
-2.0k
10.0k
5.9k
4.9k
-7.1k
6.9k
-1.1k
1.9k
1.4k
-77
4.7k
-5.1k
20k
2023
-2.1k
2.9k
-25
-6.0k
-5.1k
12k
-5.1k
4.9k
-1.4k
-8.0k
6.0k
-4.0k
-5.8k
2024
1.8k
8.4k
-1.1k
-3.5k
7.0k
-2.0k
8.9k
11k
-362
-275
928
-3.0k
28k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

0.49

Profit Factor

1.05

Avg Win / Avg Loss

1.97

Avg Winner

$1,985.74

Avg Loser

-$1,008.32

Expectancy

$31.02

Recovery Factor

1.13

Max Drawdown ($)

$25,900.75

Max Drawdown (%)

24.45%

Max DD ($) Trough

434d

Max DD ($) Recovery

786d

Max DD (%) Trough

434d

Max DD (%) Recovery

786d

Commission

$2,590.50

Winning / Losing

327 / 615

Total Orders

2,826

Configuration

Strategy

Pattern Rotation

Contracts

ES

Timeframe

1H

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Breakout Period (Donchian bars)

20

Recent ATR Period

14

Baseline ATR Period

50

Regime Threshold (recent ATR / baseline ATR)

1

Take-Profit (points)

40

Stop-Loss (points)

20

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

5

Max Consecutive Losses

12

Avg Consecutive Wins

1.5

Avg Consecutive Losses

2.8

Median Consecutive Wins

1

Median Consecutive Losses

2

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,295

Days Traded

668

Profitable Days

268

Daily Win Rate

40.12%

Avg Daily Return

$43.75

Std Dev Daily

$1,715.51

Max Daily Return

$7,951.50

Min Daily Return

-$3,315.25

Max EOD Drawdown

$24,898.00

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

0100200300400500-$3.4k-$2.4k-$1.4k-$400$600$1.6k$2.6k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

050100150200250-$3.5k-$1.5k$500$2.5k$4.5k$6.5k$7.0k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
5050100100150150123456789101112

Recent Daily P&L

Last 120 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

52W / 68L

Orders

2,826 orders generated by this run.