Sample Run

Pattern Rotation

NQ 1H · 2020-2024 · NQ

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

$178,151.75

Max Drawdown %

24.79%

Profit Factor

1.16

Win Rate

36.69%

Sharpe Ratio

0.95

Total Trades

883

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
-7.8k
6.0k
-13k
2.1k
-8.0k
-6
3.9k
16k
-8.1k
2.4k
5.9k
8.0k
7.4k
2021
-2.0k
-9.9k
-58
-6.1k
14k
-2.1k
-113
-6.0k
1.9k
2
10.0k
12k
12k
2022
12k
24k
-2.1k
8.9k
-4.8k
7.9k
4
-8.0k
-7.1k
18k
4.0k
-14k
39k
2023
2.4k
12k
-3.9k
-24k
4.2k
14k
-12k
4.0k
8.0k
2.6k
18k
-8.0k
17k
2024
13k
-6.9k
69
-5.0k
10.0k
5.9k
28k
20k
6.0k
50
5.9k
26k
103k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.95

Sortino Ratio

1.68

Profit Factor

1.16

Avg Win / Avg Loss

2.00

Avg Winner

$3,988.22

Avg Loser

-$1,992.90

Expectancy

$201.76

Recovery Factor

4.17

Max Drawdown ($)

$42,672.75

Max Drawdown (%)

24.79%

Max DD ($) Trough

180d

Max DD ($) Recovery

369d

Max DD (%) Trough

122d

Max DD (%) Recovery

188d

Commission

$2,428.25

Winning / Losing

324 / 559

Total Orders

2,649

Configuration

Strategy

Pattern Rotation

Contracts

NQ

Timeframe

1H

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Breakout Period (Donchian bars)

20

Recent ATR Period

14

Baseline ATR Period

50

Regime Threshold (recent ATR / baseline ATR)

1

Take-Profit (points)

200

Stop-Loss (points)

100

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

4

Max Consecutive Losses

17

Avg Consecutive Wins

1.5

Avg Consecutive Losses

2.6

Median Consecutive Wins

1

Median Consecutive Losses

2

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,293

Days Traded

665

Profitable Days

283

Daily Win Rate

42.56%

Avg Daily Return

$267.90

Std Dev Daily

$3,208.53

Max Daily Return

$13,981.25

Min Daily Return

-$6,008.25

Max EOD Drawdown

$40,969.00

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

0100200300400-$4.0k-$2.5k-$1.0k$500$2.0k$3.5k$4.5k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

050100150200-$7.0k-$4.0k-$1.0k$2.0k$5.0k$8.0k$11k$12k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
50501001001501501234567891011121314151617

Recent Daily P&L

Last 120 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

58W / 62L

Orders

2,649 orders generated by this run.