Nasdaq Futures / NQ – Forecast for 22 April 2025

The sentiment is expected to be bullish today. We are in a shorter bullish time cycle that ends on 23 April 2025, and another bullish time cycle starts on 25 April 2025. There is no bearish cycle between these, only a consolidation cycle.

Yesterday, we expected a bullish sentiment after a drop at the beginning of the day. But, that did not work out as expected. The forecasted drop was too strong. The bearish moves were strong, and NQ could not recover in the day. The overall bias for yesterday failed, and the forecast did not work out. That is a divergence from the expected price action, and it occurs sometimes. This is why we always use time cycles in confluence with the price action. Yesterday, we got both good bullish and bearish entries at the beginning using the intraday time cycles. And as planned, we were very cautious with any bearish positions, unable to capture the full potential of those. And when NQ broke and sustained below 18000 levels, we were in an unplanned and unexpected territory.

Today's time cycle suggests a mixed to mildly bullish sentiment for NQ. A bearish move is expected at the beginning of the day. The mixed sentiment raises the risk of a choppy day. At the time of writing this, NQ has almost recovered in the overnight markets.

The divergence of price action and forecasts from time cycle models is unsuitable for our edge. The concerning part, however, is that there are too many bullish forecasts from the weekend and unexpected bearish moves in the market. There could be a larger time cycle that our models do not see. We will be using smaller position sizes until these forecasts show some convergence.

Today's opening trade bias. (9.30 am)

Around 9.27-9.30 am, we could see some bearish momentum that could last until 9.35 am. However, the first 20 seconds to one minute at 9.30 am could show some bullishness, and hence, it is necessary to choose an appropriate trade location.

The direction may suddenly change after the first 20-35 minutes

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational and analytical and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves a substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.

High probability events and timings

These are high-probability event timings. Expect sudden movements during these timeframes.

The Bullish or Bearish indication should be considered in confluence with price action and appropriate trade locations. A Bullish signal in a short-term price downtrend may not yield better results.

Always use a stop loss and manage risk.
Use these signals in confluence with price action.
Always enter at an appropriate trade location. Do not chase the price

(All times below are in US/Eastern or New York time)

09:17 to 09:21 ↑ Bullish
09:34 to 09:38 ↑ Bullish

09:42 to 09:46 ↓ Bearish
09:47 to 09:51 ↓ Bearish
11:20 to 11:25 ↓ Bearish
11:40 to 11:44 ↓ Bearish

11:44 to 11:48 ↑ Bullish
11:50 to 11:56 ↑ Bullish
13:42 to 13:47 ↑ Bullish
13:58 to 14:04 ↑ Bullish

14:37 to 14:41 ↓ Bearish

14:56 to 15:00 ↑ Bullish
15:08 to 15:12 ↑ Bullish

15:34 to 15:38 ↓ Bearish

15:46 to 15:52 ↑ Bullish

15:52 to 15:56 ↓ Bearish
16:00 to 16:04 ↓ Bearish

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational, analytical, and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.