Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Volatility Squeeze Break
A quiet, compressed stretch of price that then breaks out of its channel. How much room the break tends to offer in the break direction.
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.6% for a random long entry (+8.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.18R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 47.1% of the time vs 38.6% for a random long entry — a 8.5-point gap, wider than the ±6.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 38.6% | +8.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.9% | 28.1% | +0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.1% | 21.3% | -2.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.6% | 61.1% | -9.6 |
| Went sideways | 1.3% | 0.3% | +1.0 |
225 occurrences · 351,178 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.2%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.4% for a random short entry (+10.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.28R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 47.2% of the time vs 36.4% for a random short entry — a 10.8-point gap, wider than the ±7.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.2% | 36.4% | +10.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.8% | 26.7% | +8.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 24.2% | 20.4% | +3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.3% | 63.4% | -13.1 |
| Went sideways | 2.5% | 0.2% | +2.3 |
161 occurrences · 350,548 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.9%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.2% for a random long entry (+7.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.20R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 46.9% of the time vs 39.2% for a random long entry — a 7.7-point gap, wider than the ±5.8-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.9% | 39.2% | +7.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 28.9% | -0.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.1% | 22.3% | -4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 49.1% | 60.4% | -11.3 |
| Went sideways | 4.1% | 0.5% | +3.6 |
271 occurrences · 119,011 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
48.0%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.0% for a random short entry (+12.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.28R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 48.0% of the time vs 36.0% for a random short entry — a 12.0-point gap, wider than the ±6.3-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 48.0% | 36.0% | +12.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.0% | 26.6% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.9% | 20.6% | +0.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.9% | 63.7% | -18.8 |
| Went sideways | 7.1% | 0.3% | +6.8 |
225 occurrences · 118,636 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
Limited sample (53). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.1% for a random long entry (-0.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.84×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.20R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.5% of the time vs 42.1% for a random long entry. The 0.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±13.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 53 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.5% | 42.1% | -0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.1% | 32.5% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.0% | 26.4% | -9.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.5% | 57.7% | +0.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.1% | -0.1 |
53 occurrences · 27,667 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
Limited sample (40). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.7% for a random short entry (+14.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.37R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.97R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 35.7% for a random short entry. The 14.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 40 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 35.7% | +14.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.5% | 27.1% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 21.6% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.0% | 64.2% | -19.2 |
| Went sideways | 5.0% | 0.1% | +4.9 |
40 occurrences · 27,615 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.4%
Fragile
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 37.1% for a random long entry (+9.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.16R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random long entry.
Summary
The 9.3-point gap over the 37.1% random-entry rate clears the ±6.3-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.4% | 37.1% | +9.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.7% | 26.6% | +1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.6% | 19.7% | -0.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.9% | 62.6% | -11.7 |
| Went sideways | 2.7% | 0.3% | +2.4 |
224 occurrences · 338,496 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.0%
Fragile
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.0% for a random short entry (+11.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.91R for a random short entry.
Summary
The 11.0-point gap over the 35.0% random-entry rate clears the ±6.6-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.0% | 35.0% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.0% | 25.1% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 24.5% | 18.9% | +5.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.5% | 64.8% | -11.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.5% | 0.2% | +0.3 |
200 occurrences · 336,537 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.8%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.4% for a random long entry (+6.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.72×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.8% of the time vs 38.4% for a random long entry — a 6.4-point gap, wider than the ±5.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.8% | 38.4% | +6.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.1% | 28.0% | +0.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.8% | 21.2% | -1.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.5% | 61.3% | -7.8 |
| Went sideways | 1.7% | 0.4% | +1.4 |
288 occurrences · 116,928 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.8%
Fragile
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.0% for a random short entry (+10.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.93R for a random short entry.
Summary
The 10.8-point gap over the 35.0% random-entry rate clears the ±5.9-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.8% | 35.0% | +10.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.5% | 25.6% | +0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.3% | 19.6% | -0.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.0% | 64.7% | -13.7 |
| Went sideways | 3.2% | 0.3% | +3.0 |
249 occurrences · 115,978 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Volatility Squeeze Break
Limited sample (56). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
58.9%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.7% for a random long entry (+17.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.40R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 58.9% of the time vs 41.7% for a random long entry — a 17.2-point gap, wider than the ±12.9-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 58.9% | 41.7% | +17.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.1% | 32.0% | +0.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.6% | 25.9% | -6.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 39.3% | 58.2% | -18.9 |
| Went sideways | 1.8% | 0.1% | +1.7 |
56 occurrences · 27,513 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Volatility Squeeze Break
Limited sample (38). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 1 bar that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.9% for a random short entry (+11.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.97R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.4% of the time vs 35.9% for a random short entry. The 11.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 38 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.4% | 35.9% | +11.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.6% | 27.4% | +4.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.1% | 22.0% | -0.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 64.0% | -14.0 |
| Went sideways | 2.6% | 0.1% | +2.6 |
38 occurrences · 27,341 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
A volatility squeeze break starts with a squeeze, a stretch of bars where the Bollinger Bands sit entirely inside the Keltner Channels. That is price gone unusually quiet, compressed inside its own normal range. The break is the first bar that closes back outside the channel. The trade is the break itself: you go with the direction price broke.
How to spot it
- The Bollinger Bands sit entirely inside the Keltner Channels for a run of bars. That is the squeeze, price compressed and quiet.
- The squeeze ends when a bar closes outside the Keltner Channel.
- That break bar sets the direction: a close out the top is an up break (a long), a close out the bottom is a down break (a short).
- Bars are read off the regular session, so this is an intraday pattern on the 5m, 15m, and 1h charts.
Why it matters
Quiet does not last. Once price has been compressed inside its bands, traders watch for the release, and the squeeze is one of the most-watched compression signals in retail charting. The folk claim is that compression precedes expansion. The harder question is whether the expansion actually offers room once it fires, or whether the break is just as likely to stall as to run. Traders who trust the squeeze take the break and trail it. The data below shows how much room that break tends to offer.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the question is not “did it win” but “how much room did the break offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that on the index futures (Nasdaq and S&P 500), across intraday timeframes (5m, 15m, and 1h).
For each break we measure the room price offered in the break direction, in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against a random entry on the same market. On NQ the break tends to offer more room than a random entry, which points to a real edge rather than noise. Let the numbers on each tab speak for the size of it, and check whether the same holds on ES and across timeframes.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the break bar.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close to the break bar’s invalidation extreme: its low for an up break (a long), its high for a down break (a short). A move back through there says the break has failed.
- We follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in the break direction, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. This measures only the room the break tends to offer.
What this page does not cover
- Daily-timeframe squeezes. The numbers here are intraday only.
- Volume confirmation on the break bar. A volume filter would discard some of the cleanest squeezes and change the population.
- Conditioning on how long the squeeze lasted before it fired, or how tight it got.
- A profit target or position sizing. Where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
FAQ
What is a volatility squeeze break?
A squeeze is a stretch of bars where the Bollinger Bands sit entirely inside the Keltner Channels, price compressed and unusually quiet. The break is the first bar that closes back outside the channel, and it sets the direction of the trade: out the top is a long, out the bottom is a short. This page works on intraday bars across the 5m, 15m, and 1h charts and measures how much room the break tends to offer in that direction.
Does a squeeze break actually run?
That is what the page measures. Rather than a folklore yes or no, it shows how far price tends to run in the break direction relative to a random entry on the same market. On NQ the break tends to offer more room than chance, which reads as a genuine edge. Check the tabs to see the size of that edge, and whether it holds on ES and across timeframes.
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 44.75 | 1.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bullish | 22.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bullish | 16 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Bearish | 57.75 | 2.77R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Bullish | 32 | 2.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bearish | 29.75 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Bullish | 12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Bullish | 12.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Bearish | 35.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Bullish | 52.25 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Bullish | 43.5 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Bearish | 23 | 1.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Bearish | 23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bearish | 110.75 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Bullish | 49.5 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bullish | 15.5 | 2.68R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Bullish | 21 | 2.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bullish | 19.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Bearish | 20 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Bullish | 22.25 | 1.04R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bullish | 23 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 87.5 | 2.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Bearish | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Bullish | 26.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bearish | 103.75 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bullish | 37.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bullish | 158.25 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Bearish | 109.5 | 0.88R | Flat |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Bullish | 54.5 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bearish | 60 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Bearish | 51.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bearish | 69 | 1.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Bullish | 22.25 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Bullish | 84.25 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Bearish | 209.5 | 1.34R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Bearish | 7.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Bearish | 69.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bearish | 189.25 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Bearish | 54 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bullish | 25 | 0.36R | Stopped |
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bearish | 299.25 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Bullish | 167 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Bullish | 39.5 | 0.97R | Stopped |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Bearish | 111 | 1.89R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Bullish | 72.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Bullish | 183.25 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| May 30, 2025 | Bearish | 203.25 | 0.51R | Stopped |
| May 21, 2025 | Bearish | 355 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Bullish | 109.5 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Bearish | 102.25 | 1.77R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Bullish | 168.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Bullish | 125 | 0.80R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Bearish | 53.5 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Bullish | 86.25 | 2.23R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Bearish | 71.5 | 0.54R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2023 | Bearish | 87.25 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Bearish | 68.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Bearish | 71.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Bullish | 113.75 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Bearish | 142.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bullish | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bearish | 18.75 | 0.63R | Stopped |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bullish | 5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Bearish | 6.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Bullish | 7.75 | 2.03R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Bearish | 12.75 | 0.37R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Bullish | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Bullish | 6.25 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Bullish | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Bullish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bullish | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bullish | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Bullish | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Bullish | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Bearish | 6.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Bullish | 2.5 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Bullish | 16.5 | 0.26R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Bearish | 19.5 | 0.96R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Bullish | 14.25 | 1.51R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bearish | 34 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 14.25 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 19.5 | 1.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Bearish | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bearish | 23.25 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bullish | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bullish | 30.25 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bearish | 32.5 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bearish | 22.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bearish | 27.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bearish | 24.75 | 2.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Bearish | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Bullish | 10.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bearish | 9 | 1.69R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Bullish | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Bullish | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Bullish | 36.75 | 0.31R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Bearish | 9.75 | 2.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Bullish | 11 | 1.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Bullish | 10 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Volatility Squeeze Break Occurrences (20)
Based on data through Apr 30, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2025 | Bullish | 38.5 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Bullish | 20.75 | 2.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Bullish | 29.75 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Bearish | 37.25 | 1.23R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Bullish | 28 | 1.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Bullish | 30 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2024 | Bullish | 27.25 | 0.01R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2024 | Bullish | 12.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Bullish | 18.75 | 2.01R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Bullish | 26.25 | 2.02R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Bullish | 18.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 17, 2023 | Bullish | 23.5 | 2.28R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Bearish | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Bearish | 21 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Bearish | 16.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Bullish | 9.5 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2022 | Bearish | 35.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 14, 2021 | Bearish | 14.75 | 2.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 12, 2021 | Bullish | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Bearish | 19.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |