Backtest Sample

Bollinger / Keltner Bands

NQ 1D · KC Fade · 2020-2024 · NQ

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

$153,897.50

Max Drawdown %

18.44%

Profit Factor

2.80

Win Rate

56.67%

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Total Trades

30

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
·
·
33k
·
·
-2.0k
-1.6k
·
-2.7k
·
5.7k
·
33k
2021
-9.4k
1.1k
10k
·
10k
·
-12k
57
1.9k
·
25k
·
27k
2022
·
-3.6k
·
·
50k
6.9k
·
-4.5k
557
-4.2k
·
·
45k
2023
·
·
-2.2k
22
·
·
·
-29k
·
·
·
·
-31k
2024
46k
-4.9k
·
5.6k
·
·
·
-8.1k
·
33k
9.4k
-788
80k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

1.93

Profit Factor

2.80

Avg Win / Avg Loss

2.14

Avg Winner

$14,070.49

Avg Loser

-$6,561.60

Expectancy

$5,129.92

Recovery Factor

3.91

Max Drawdown ($)

$39,336.50

Max Drawdown (%)

18.44%

Max DD ($) Trough

421d

Max DD ($) Recovery

554d

Max DD (%) Trough

421d

Max DD (%) Recovery

554d

Commission

$82.50

Winning / Losing

17 / 13

Total Orders

60

Configuration

Strategy

Bollinger / Keltner Bands

Contracts

NQ

Timeframe

1D

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Mode

Keltner fade

Bollinger period

20

Bollinger std dev

2

Keltner period

20

Keltner ATR multiplier

2

Side

Both sides

Contracts per trade

1

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

4

Max Consecutive Losses

3

Avg Consecutive Wins

1.7

Avg Consecutive Losses

1.3

Median Consecutive Wins

1

Median Consecutive Losses

1

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,293

Days Traded

30

Profitable Days

17

Daily Win Rate

56.67%

Avg Daily Return

$5,129.92

Std Dev Daily

$16,619.04

Max Daily Return

$50,087.25

Min Daily Return

-$28,947.75

Max EOD Drawdown

$39,336.50

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

0246810-$30k-$15k$0$15k$30k$45k$55k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

0246810-$30k-$15k$0$15k$30k$45k$55k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
224466881234

Recent Daily P&L

Last 30 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

17W / 13L

Orders

60 orders generated by this run.