Pattern Detail
Bearish Matching High
Two-candle bearish reversal: two up candles that close at the same price, a ceiling buyers cannot beat.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.3%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.6% for a random short entry (-5.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.96R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 36.3% of the time vs 41.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.3% | 41.6% | -5.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.7% | 28.2% | +0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 20.1% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 57.1% | +6.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.3% | -1.2 |
109,814 occurrences · 5,120,720 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.3%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (-3.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.3% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.3% | 40.4% | -3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.0% | 27.4% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.9% | 19.8% | +3.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.6% | 58.1% | +4.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.5% | -1.4 |
20,747 occurrences · 1,146,594 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (-0.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.71×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.7% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry. The 0.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±1.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5,348 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.7% | 39.6% | -0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.3% | 26.9% | +2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.3% | 19.6% | +3.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.3% | 58.5% | +2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.9% | -1.9 |
5,348 occurrences · 392,491 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (-0.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.4% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 0.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2,228 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.4% | 38.9% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.9% | 26.4% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.8% | 19.4% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.4% | 58.7% | +2.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 2.4% | -2.3 |
2,228 occurrences · 197,303 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.3% for a random short entry (-1.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.2% of the time vs 38.3% for a random short entry. The 1.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 861 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.2% | 38.3% | -1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.3% | 26.4% | +1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.9% | 19.5% | +1.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.7% | 60.0% | +2.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.7% | -1.6 |
861 occurrences · 98,132 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (94). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.6% for a random short entry (-7.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.76R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.98R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.7% of the time vs 36.6% for a random short entry. The 7.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 94 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.7% | 36.6% | -7.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.2% | 25.8% | -5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.0% | 19.7% | -2.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 71.3% | 62.5% | +8.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.9% | -0.9 |
94 occurrences · 22,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
21.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 33.9% for a random short entry (-12.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.83×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.67R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.92R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 21.4% of the time vs 33.9% for a random short entry. The 12.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±24.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 14 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 14 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 21.4% | 33.9% | -12.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.4% | 23.7% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.1% | 17.3% | -10.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 78.6% | 65.6% | +13.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.5% | -0.5 |
14 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
32.9%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 37.8% for a random short entry (-4.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.07×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.84R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.89R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 32.9% of the time vs 37.8% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 32.9% | 37.8% | -4.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.8% | 23.7% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.8% | 15.7% | +4.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 67.0% | 61.0% | +6.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.3% | -1.2 |
43,040 occurrences · 4,948,951 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.4%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.5% for a random short entry (-5.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.81×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.86R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 33.4% of the time vs 38.5% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.4% | 38.5% | -5.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.6% | 25.2% | +0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.5% | 17.5% | +2.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.5% | 60.1% | +6.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.4% | -1.4 |
12,138 occurrences · 1,157,568 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
34.1%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.4% for a random short entry (-4.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 34.1% of the time vs 38.4% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 34.1% | 38.4% | -4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.6% | 25.6% | +1.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.1% | 18.2% | +1.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 65.7% | 59.7% | +6.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.9% | -1.7 |
3,855 occurrences · 404,347 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
35.5%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.1% for a random short entry (-2.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.71×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.91R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 35.5% of the time vs 38.1% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 35.5% | 38.1% | -2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.1% | 25.5% | +0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 18.4% | +1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 64.3% | 59.7% | +4.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 2.2% | -2.0 |
1,722 occurrences · 205,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.0% for a random short entry (+0.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.74×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.00R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.1% of the time vs 38.0% for a random short entry. The 0.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 763 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.1% | 38.0% | +0.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.5% | 25.7% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.9% | 18.6% | +3.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.9% | 60.3% | +1.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
763 occurrences · 102,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (74). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.8% for a random short entry (-8.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.68×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.80R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.4% of the time vs 36.8% for a random short entry. The 8.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 74 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.4% | 36.8% | -8.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.7% | 26.1% | -0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.6% | 19.8% | -2.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 71.6% | 62.4% | +9.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.9% | -0.9 |
74 occurrences · 23,231 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 34.9% for a random short entry (+5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.81×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.94R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.93R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 34.9% for a random short entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±24.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 34.9% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 24.0% | +2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 17.7% | +2.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 64.6% | -4.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.6% | -0.6 |
15 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
35.0%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-5.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.07×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 35.0% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 35.0% | 40.3% | -5.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.3% | 26.9% | +0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.6% | 18.9% | +2.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 64.9% | 58.2% | +6.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.5% | -1.4 |
73,789 occurrences · 5,259,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.3%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (-4.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.96R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 36.3% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.3% | 40.7% | -4.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.6% | 27.3% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.6% | 19.4% | +2.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 57.8% | +5.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.6% | -1.5 |
16,339 occurrences · 1,200,551 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.6%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (-3.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.6% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.6% | 40.7% | -3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.0% | 27.4% | +0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.4% | 19.6% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.3% | 57.4% | +5.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.9% | -1.8 |
4,192 occurrences · 412,684 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (-0.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.05R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.2% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry. The 0.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1,556 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.2% | 40.7% | -0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 27.5% | +2.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.4% | 19.8% | +2.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 59.8% | 57.0% | +2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 2.3% | -2.2 |
1,556 occurrences · 207,345 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.0%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (-3.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.0% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.0% | 41.0% | -3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.2% | 28.0% | -0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.1% | 20.4% | +0.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.6% | 57.1% | +5.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.3% | 1.9% | -1.6 |
629 occurrences · 102,946 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (57). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
31.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.5% for a random short entry (-8.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.89×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.82R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 31.6% of the time vs 40.5% for a random short entry. The 8.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 57 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 31.6% | 40.5% | -8.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.1% | 28.2% | -7.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.0% | 20.7% | -6.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 68.4% | 58.2% | +10.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
57 occurrences · 23,320 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
20.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.1% for a random short entry (-18.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.43R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 20.0% of the time vs 38.1% for a random short entry. The 18.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±42.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 20.0% | 38.1% | -18.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 25.2% | -25.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.9% | -17.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 80.0% | 60.3% | +19.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.5% | -1.5 |
5 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.0%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (-2.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.0% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.0% | 39.6% | -2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 26.1% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 18.4% | +3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.0% | 58.9% | +4.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.6% | -1.5 |
31,080 occurrences · 5,086,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.7%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.2% for a random short entry (-2.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.79×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.7% of the time vs 40.2% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.7% | 40.2% | -2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 27.1% | +1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.4% | 19.3% | +3.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.1% | 58.0% | +4.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.7% | -1.6 |
7,030 occurrences · 1,173,784 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-0.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.73×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.04R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.6% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 0.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1,884 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.6% | 40.3% | -0.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.1% | 27.3% | +2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.6% | 19.7% | +2.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.4% | 57.7% | +2.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 2.1% | -2.0 |
1,884 occurrences · 404,433 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
34.7%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-5.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.77×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.92R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 34.7% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 34.7% | 40.3% | -5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 27.4% | -2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.5% | 19.8% | -0.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 64.9% | 57.1% | +7.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.7% | -2.2 |
737 occurrences · 203,442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
34.6%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random short entry (-6.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.82×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 34.6% of the time vs 40.8% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 34.6% | 40.8% | -6.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.8% | 28.1% | -5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.9% | 20.5% | -1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 65.4% | 57.4% | +8.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.8 |
254 occurrences · 101,072 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (33). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
27.3%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random short entry (-12.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.77×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.67R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 27.3% of the time vs 39.7% for a random short entry. The 12.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 33 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 27.3% | 39.7% | -12.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.2% | 27.8% | -9.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.2% | 20.4% | -5.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 72.7% | 59.1% | +13.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
33 occurrences · 23,097 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+61.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.57×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.84R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 61.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±67.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 38.9% | +61.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 26.6% | +73.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 50.0% | 19.5% | +30.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 59.8% | -59.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.4% | -1.4 |
2 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.9%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.7% for a random short entry (+1.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.36×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.06R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 39.9% of the time vs 38.7% for a random short entry — a 1.2-point gap, wider than the ±1.1-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.9% | 38.7% | +1.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.2% | 25.6% | +5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.1% | 18.0% | +7.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 59.3% | +0.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 2.0% | -1.9 |
7,569 occurrences · 3,516,512 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.1%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (-2.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.97R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.1% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.1% | 39.9% | -2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.2% | 26.9% | +1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.0% | 19.1% | +1.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.5% | 58.1% | +4.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.0% | -1.6 |
2,084 occurrences · 898,027 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-2.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.96×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.0% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 2.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 560 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.0% | 40.3% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.7% | 27.1% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.1% | 19.4% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.6% | 57.4% | +4.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.3% | -1.9 |
560 occurrences · 316,487 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (+6.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.8% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry. The 6.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 218 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.8% | 40.4% | +6.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 37.6% | 27.2% | +10.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 29.8% | 19.5% | +10.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.2% | 57.0% | -3.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.6% | -2.6 |
218 occurrences · 160,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (94). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
35.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (-5.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.96R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 35.1% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry. The 5.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 94 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 35.1% | 41.0% | -5.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.7% | 28.3% | +0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.3% | 20.6% | +0.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 64.9% | 57.3% | +7.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
94 occurrences · 80,057 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
18.2%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (-21.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.53R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 18.2% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry. The 21.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±28.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 11 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 18.2% | 39.9% | -21.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 9.1% | 27.4% | -18.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.1% | 20.2% | -11.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 81.8% | 58.8% | +23.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
11 occurrences · 18,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
A bearish matching high is a two-candle stall. Two up candles run with the trend, but the second one closes at almost exactly the same price as the first. Buyers tried twice and topped out in the same spot both times. That shared close acts like a ceiling, and a failure to push past it after a rally hints the move is tired.
How to spot it
- The market is rising into the pattern.
- Both candles are up (green) candles.
- The two candles close at nearly the same price.
- The matching close forms a flat ceiling across the pair.
- The signal is the failure to close higher the second time, not a fresh push down.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the 2 candles on a real occurrence, with the advance before and the move after.
The psychology
Both candles are up bars, so on the surface buyers are still winning. The market is rising, the first candle closes strong, and the second one is green as well. Demand looks healthy on a quick glance.
The catch is where the second candle finishes. It closes at almost exactly the same price as the first, not a tick higher. Buyers came back and tried again, yet for all that effort they could not push the close past the level they reached the day before. That repeated, matching close draws a flat ceiling across the pair. The people lifting the market have found the price at which sellers are willing to meet every bid, and twice now they have been turned away at the same spot. The trend is intact, but its progress has quietly stopped.
A ceiling that holds twice may give way or it may cap the move, and the data below shows which way it tends to break.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close up to the pattern’s invalidation point: the highest high of the two candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful resistance level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:23 PM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:22 PM CDT | 6.75 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:57 PM CDT | 6.5 | 2.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:56 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:37 PM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:13 PM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:11 PM CDT | 12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM CDT | 10.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:59 PM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:51 PM CDT | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:18 PM CDT | 7.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:59 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 PM CDT | 7 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:08 AM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:07 AM CDT | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:25 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:20 AM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:17 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:13 AM CDT | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:08 AM CDT | 3.5 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:20 PM CDT | 20.75 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:40 AM CDT | 10 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:10 AM CDT | 6.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:25 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:55 AM CDT | 7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:10 PM CDT | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:35 PM CDT | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:55 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:20 AM CDT | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:10 AM CDT | 16.25 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:00 AM CDT | 14.5 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:35 PM CDT | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:30 PM CDT | 5.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:45 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 5.75 | 1.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:25 AM CDT | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:30 PM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:15 AM CDT | 13.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:45 AM CDT | 11.25 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:30 AM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:15 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT | 14.25 | 2.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:00 AM CDT | 5.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 6:15 PM CDT | 5.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:00 AM CDT | 15.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 4:30 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 2:15 AM CDT | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT | 14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 21.25 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 8:45 PM CDT | 9.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 2:15 PM CDT | 21.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 14.5 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 14.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 18.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT | 47 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 29.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 11:30 AM CDT | 20.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 24.5 | 0.99R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 10:30 AM CDT | 18.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT | 18 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 12:30 PM CDT | 30.25 | 2.70R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT | 20 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 35.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 10:30 PM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 10.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM CDT | 14.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT | 17.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 14.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT | 17 | 0.85R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 9:00 PM CDT | 22.75 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 11 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 18 | 1.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 6:00 PM CST | 31.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 25, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 7.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 16, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 13.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 15.5 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 7, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 25.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 12.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2025, 12:00 PM CST | 14 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2025, 2:00 AM CST | 30 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2025, 6:00 AM CST | 15.75 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 12.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 3, 2025, 12:00 PM CST | 25.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 22.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 28.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 21 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 14, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 26.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 32 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 42 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2024, 9:00 PM CST | 20.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 13, 2024, 5:01 AM CDT | 54.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 15, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT | 38.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 19, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT | 14.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT | 19.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 15.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 1, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 17.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 22, 2024, 9:00 PM CST | 13 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 11, 2023, 1:00 AM CST | 29.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2023, 9:00 PM CST | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 10, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT | 13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 8, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT | 20.25 | 2.64R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT | 27.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2023, 5:00 AM CST | 101.5 | 1.66R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (14)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | 129.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2025 | 133.25 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 38.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 98.75 | 2.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 19.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 24, 2019 | 13.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 10 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 29, 2017 | 7.5 | 2.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 7, 2013 | 8.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 5, 2012 | 14.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 8.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 21, 2010 | 17.5 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Sep 11, 2009 | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:55 PM CDT | 0.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:38 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:13 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:11 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:59 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:18 PM CDT | 1.5 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:58 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:33 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:02 AM CDT | 0.75 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:36 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:35 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:34 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:01 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:52 AM CDT | 0.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:03 AM CDT | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:19 AM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:18 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:17 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:26 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:26 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:21 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:21 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:16 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:11 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:06 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:01 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:21 PM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 7:11 PM CDT | 0.75 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:51 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:31 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:10 PM CDT | 1 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:10 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:40 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:45 AM CDT | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:30 PM CDT | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:35 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 1.5 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:45 PM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 2:45 PM CDT | 4 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:15 PM CDT | 1.5 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT | 3.75 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:45 PM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 2:00 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:00 AM CDT | 1.75 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 4:30 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 2:15 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:15 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 11:30 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 8:30 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 8:45 PM CDT | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 9:15 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 7:30 AM CDT | 1.75 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 2 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:00 PM CDT | 6 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 5 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 3.75 | 2.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 12, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 2.5 | 2.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 2.25 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 3 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026, 2:30 AM CDT | 8.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 20, 2026, 7:30 AM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026, 1:30 PM CST | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2026, 6:30 AM CST | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM CDT | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 3.75 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 2:00 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026, 3:00 AM CDT | 13.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026, 5:00 AM CST | 11.5 | 1.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 27, 2026, 2:00 AM CST | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2026, 8:00 PM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2026, 4:00 AM CST | 8.25 | 2.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 2, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 4.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 26, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 10:00 AM CST | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 18, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 9.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2025, 1:01 AM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2025, 9:07 AM CDT | 6.5 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 4, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 29, 2024, 5:00 AM CST | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 4, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | 31 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 22, 2024, 9:00 PM CST | 3.5 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 13, 2023, 5:32 AM CST | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 6, 2023, 5:00 AM CST | 9.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 14, 2023, 5:26 AM CDT | 14.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2022, 9:00 AM CDT | 14.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2022, 5:00 AM CDT | 25 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Nov 2, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 5.5 | 1.55R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 22, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 30, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 20, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | 11.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2025 | 26.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 10, 2024 | 22.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 31.75 | 0.26R | Stopped |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 43.75 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 28, 2020 | 28.25 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 29, 2019 | 6.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 15.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 9, 2014 | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 10.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3.25 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 26, 2012 | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:38 PM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:50 PM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:48 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:49 PM CDT | 1.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:40 PM CDT | 3.5 | 2.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT | 0.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:24 AM CDT | 0.9 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 10:01 AM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:38 AM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:49 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:29 AM CDT | 1.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:37 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:36 AM CDT | 0.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:25 AM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 AM CDT | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:19 AM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:06 AM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:05 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:22 PM CDT | 2.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:12 AM CDT | 2.4 | 2.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:12 PM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:02 AM CDT | 2.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:52 AM CDT | 3.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:47 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:42 PM CDT | 1.5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:47 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:36 PM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:46 PM CDT | 1.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:21 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 11:06 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 10:56 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 9:41 PM CDT | 1.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 9:26 PM CDT | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 4:56 AM CDT | 0.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:26 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:21 AM CDT | 1.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:11 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 11:51 PM CDT | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026, 12:01 PM CDT | 2.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 3:01 AM CDT | 4.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 7:45 AM CDT | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT | 2.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT | 8.7 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 2:15 AM CDT | 8.1 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 AM CDT | 7.2 | 0.51R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 7:45 PM CDT | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 6:45 PM CDT | 3.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 4:02 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2026, 11:45 PM CDT | 4.2 | 2.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 7.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 4:02 AM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 3:16 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 11:01 AM CDT | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT | 2.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 4.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026, 1:30 PM CDT | 2.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 9.2 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 6:16 AM CDT | 13.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2026, 1:38 AM CDT | 2.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 3:00 PM CDT | 7.8 | 2.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 10, 2026, 1:01 AM CDT | 4.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 11:30 AM CDT | 6.6 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026, 1:30 AM CST | 11.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026, 9:31 PM CST | 2.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2026, 11:08 AM CST | 3.2 | 1.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 9, 2026, 6:30 AM CST | 7.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 5, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 15.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 23, 2026, 3:30 PM CST | 7.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 12.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 6:00 AM CST | 4.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2026, 12:00 AM CST | 4.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2026, 11:30 PM CST | 4.6 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 6.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026, 2:00 AM CST | 14.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 14.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2026, 3:05 AM CST | 4.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 8:00 PM CST | 8.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 19, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 3.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2025, 11:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 13, 2025, 3:00 AM CST | 6.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 31, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 5.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 14, 2025, 7:00 PM CDT | 7.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2025, 1:00 PM CDT | 4.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 13, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT | 11.9 | 1.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.34R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025, 1:00 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 30, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 22, 2025, 1:00 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT | 4.6 | 0.41R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026, 5:00 AM CST | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 25, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2024, 1:03 AM CDT | 7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 3.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 25, 2024, 9:01 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 5.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2024, 1:01 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 14, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2023, 9:01 PM CDT | 3.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2023, 5:08 AM CDT | 3.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 26, 2023, 1:26 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 18, 2023, 9:09 AM CDT | 8.7 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Mar 1, 2023, 1:00 AM CST | 3.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 27, 2022, 5:02 AM CST | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 19, 2022, 9:00 PM CST | 3.7 | 0.97R | Stopped |
| Jan 4, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 1.5 | 1.93R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 4, 2021, 1:09 AM CDT | 2.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 7, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT | 3.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 10, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 23, 2020, 9:00 PM CST | 3.2 | 2.56R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2019 | 4.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 4, 2019 | 3.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 25, 2014 | 7.3 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 24, 2012 | 4.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 8, 2012 | 6.4 | 0.42R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:19 PM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:58 AM CDT | 0.06 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:19 AM CDT | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 10:30 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 10:27 AM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 10:04 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:29 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 7:41 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:44 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:47 AM CDT | 0.04 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:42 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:41 AM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:33 AM CDT | 0.05 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:48 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:46 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:38 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:37 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:48 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:31 PM CDT | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:18 PM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 3:48 AM CDT | 0.15 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 AM CDT | 0.17 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 11:40 PM CDT | 0.04 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:40 PM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:30 AM CDT | 0.17 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 10:25 PM CDT | 0.11 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 19, 2026, 6:35 PM CDT | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.07 | 2.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 1:36 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 11:55 AM CDT | 0.08 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 11:50 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 7:25 AM CDT | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 11:44 PM CDT | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 11:10 PM CDT | 0.1 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 1:35 PM CDT | 0.4 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 9:35 AM CDT | 0.51 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT | 0.29 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 6, 2026, 10:20 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:34 AM CDT | 0.41 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 AM CDT | 0.28 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:05 AM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 2:37 AM CDT | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 12:00 AM CDT | 0.3 | 2.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 0.15 | 2.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 7:31 AM CDT | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM CDT | 0.18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 0.24 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 9:45 PM CST | 0.15 | 1.53R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 27, 2026, 5:37 AM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026, 7:13 AM CST | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 22, 2026, 8:30 PM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2026, 11:32 PM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 1:14 AM CST | 0.09 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026, 9:31 AM CST | 0.19 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 9, 2026, 3:32 PM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 5, 2026, 8:31 PM CST | 0.32 | 0.66R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026, 11:46 AM CST | 0.14 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 28, 2026, 8:31 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026, 10:01 PM CDT | 0.28 | 0.86R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 PM CDT | 0.65 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026, 9:44 PM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 15, 2026, 10:21 PM CST | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 10:32 PM CST | 0.04 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2026, 1:18 AM CST | 0.19 | 0.84R | Stopped |
| Jan 9, 2026, 5:37 AM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 2:45 PM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 24, 2025, 2:18 AM CST | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025, 2:59 PM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 23, 2025, 2:29 PM CST | 0.04 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025, 1:59 PM CST | 0.05 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025, 4:59 AM CST | 0.07 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2025, 7:39 AM CST | 0.25 | 1.28R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2025, 2:19 PM CST | 0.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 3, 2025, 1:47 AM CST | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 25, 2025, 4:11 AM CST | 0.09 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Nov 18, 2025, 1:08 PM CST | 0.15 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2025, 6:40 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2025, 12:27 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:00 AM CDT | 0.33 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 3:31 AM CST | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 3:00 PM CST | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025, 2:29 PM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2025, 1:44 AM CST | 0.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 13, 2025, 9:01 PM CDT | 0.1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Aug 3, 2025, 9:04 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2025, 6:14 PM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 15, 2025, 6:57 AM CDT | 0.19 | 2.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 7, 2025, 2:11 AM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 6, 2025, 7:01 PM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2025, 8:11 AM CDT | 0.21 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 11, 2025, 1:03 AM CDT | 0.49 | 2.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 21, 2025, 12:09 PM CDT | 0.09 | 1.89R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2025, 7:17 PM CST | 0.09 | 1.56R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 12, 2024, 2:08 AM CST | 0.23 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 14, 2024, 4:59 AM CST | 0.2 | 0.95R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2024, 7:14 AM CDT | 0.21 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 11, 2024, 6:06 AM CDT | 0.28 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 4, 2024, 6:05 AM CDT | 0.28 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026, 9:02 PM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2025, 1:44 AM CST | 0.21 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 30, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 20, 2025, 5:06 AM CST | 0.26 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 15, 2025, 2:18 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2025, 1:43 AM CDT | 0.27 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 0.45 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 20, 2023, 9:12 PM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 12, 2022, 9:13 PM CDT | 0.78 | 1.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2021, 9:01 PM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 26, 2019, 9:01 PM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 26, 2018, 9:02 PM CDT | 0.28 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 23, 2017, 1:04 AM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 6, 2017, 5:00 PM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 11, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.35 | 1.49R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 16, 2016, 9:13 PM CDT | 0.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 9, 2015, 1:13 AM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2014, 9:49 PM CST | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 1, 2013, 9:32 AM CDT | 0.37 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2014 | 0.37 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 8, 2010 | 0.61 | 2.69R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:57 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:04 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 3:39 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:56 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:29 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 26, 2026, 5:24 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 24, 2026, 3:56 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:24 PM CDT | 0.001 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 3:54 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 22, 2026, 3:06 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:19 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 AM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 11:34 PM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 1:11 PM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 7:11 AM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 11:40 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:15 AM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 7:06 AM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 1:38 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 6:07 AM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:57 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 15, 2026, 1:51 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 2:26 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 9:24 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 9:14 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 8:46 PM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 2:25 PM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2026, 3:53 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026, 10:15 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2026, 4:13 AM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 13, 2026, 11:04 AM CDT | 0.004 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 9:51 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 5:15 AM CDT | 0.007 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT | 0.014 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 8, 2026, 9:00 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026, 2:45 AM CST | 0.004 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 6:54 AM CST | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026, 8:04 AM CST | 0.015 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2026, 9:54 PM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026, 10:40 PM CDT | 0.006 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 6:15 AM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 9:58 AM CDT | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 9:51 PM CDT | 0.007 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026, 9:20 AM CST | 0.015 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 11:06 PM CST | 0.026 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Dec 26, 2025, 1:37 AM CST | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2025, 5:31 PM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2025, 1:14 AM CST | 0.008 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 30, 2025, 7:30 PM CST | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2025, 1:25 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2025, 11:22 PM CDT | 0.004 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2025, 2:49 AM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2025, 1:58 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2025, 8:57 AM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 18, 2025, 3:11 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2025, 7:49 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2025, 2:21 AM CDT | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2025, 10:23 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 14, 2025, 11:10 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 0.024 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2025, 2:29 AM CST | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2025, 4:20 AM CDT | 0.008 | 2.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 8, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.008 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2025, 4:39 AM CDT | 0.022 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2025, 3:01 AM CDT | 0.006 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 7, 2025, 11:25 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2025, 7:36 AM CDT | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 20, 2025, 3:16 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 20, 2025, 12:59 PM CDT | 0.027 | 2.96R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2025, 10:33 AM CDT | 0.013 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 11, 2025, 1:33 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Jan 16, 2025, 2:12 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2024, 7:22 PM CST | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 30, 2024, 10:26 AM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 14, 2024, 9:42 AM CDT | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 22, 2024, 3:22 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 30, 2024, 5:45 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 18, 2024, 3:41 AM CDT | 0.007 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 19, 2024, 7:38 PM CDT | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026, 8:03 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026, 10:06 AM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2025, 1:10 AM CST | 0.019 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 29, 2025, 12:38 AM CDT | 0.012 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 8, 2025, 12:32 AM CDT | 0.006 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 11, 2025, 3:23 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 7, 2025, 2:38 PM CST | 0.022 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2024, 9:34 AM CST | 0.031 | 2.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 22, 2024, 9:31 AM CDT | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2024, 3:30 AM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 1, 2024, 8:45 PM CST | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2023, 3:36 AM CST | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2023, 7:49 PM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 27, 2023, 12:58 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 21, 2023, 2:30 AM CDT | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 31, 2023, 9:52 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2023, 8:43 AM CDT | 0.031 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Nov 10, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 2, 2022, 8:41 AM CDT | 0.067 | 0.51R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Matching High Firings (11)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.048 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Nov 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 5, 2024, 11:50 AM CDT | 0.019 | 0.84R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2023, 10:33 PM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 7, 2023, 11:33 PM CST | 0.016 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2023, 2:32 AM CDT | 0.029 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2021, 9:57 PM CDT | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2020, 9:10 PM CST | 0.008 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 21, 2013, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2013, 11:41 AM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 8, 2010, 2:46 AM CST | 0.044 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample backtests (2)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.