Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bearish Squeeze Alert
Three-candle bearish reversal after a rally: each candle's range fits inside the one before it, coiling into a tighter and tighter squeeze.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.6%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.6% for a random short entry (+3.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 45.6% of the time vs 42.6% for a random short entry — a 3.0-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.6% | 42.6% | +3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.4% | 27.5% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.8% | 18.9% | +3.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.0% | 54.8% | -0.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.6% | -2.3 |
22,442 occurrences · 5,340,354 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.0%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.5% for a random short entry (+3.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.86×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 45.0% of the time vs 41.5% for a random short entry — a 3.5-point gap, wider than the ±1.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.0% | 41.5% | +3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.7% | 27.0% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 18.8% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.4% | 55.6% | -1.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.6% | 2.9% | -2.3 |
4,671 occurrences · 1,162,047 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.6%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.6% for a random short entry (+6.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.21R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 46.6% of the time vs 40.6% for a random short entry — a 6.0-point gap, wider than the ±2.5-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.6% | 40.6% | +6.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.6% | 26.5% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 18.7% | +4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.0% | 55.9% | -2.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 3.5% | -3.1 |
1,481 occurrences · 395,123 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.7%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.8% for a random short entry (+3.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.19R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 43.7% of the time vs 39.8% for a random short entry — a 3.9-point gap, wider than the ±3.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.7% | 39.8% | +3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.1% | 26.1% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.3% | 18.6% | +4.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.3% | 56.1% | -0.8 |
| Went sideways | 1.1% | 4.1% | -3.1 |
666 occurrences · 198,092 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.1%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.4% for a random short entry (+5.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 45.1% of the time vs 39.4% for a random short entry — a 5.7-point gap, wider than the ±4.9-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.1% | 39.4% | +5.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.7% | 26.1% | +4.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.4% | 18.8% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.9% | 57.7% | -2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.9% | -2.9 |
375 occurrences · 98,375 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (66). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.2% for a random short entry (+1.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.4% of the time vs 38.2% for a random short entry. The 1.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 66 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.4% | 38.2% | +1.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 26.1% | +7.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.8% | 19.5% | +6.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.6% | 60.0% | +0.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.8 |
66 occurrences · 22,478 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
25.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.0% for a random short entry (-10.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.82×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.79R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.94R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 35.0% for a random short entry. The 10.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±33.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 25.0% | 35.0% | -10.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 23.5% | +1.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 16.4% | -3.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 75.0% | 64.0% | +11.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.1% | -1.1 |
8 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.8%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.5% for a random short entry (+2.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.92R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 41.8% of the time vs 39.5% for a random short entry — a 2.3-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.8% | 39.5% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.5% | 23.6% | +3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.0% | 15.0% | +3.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.8% | 58.0% | -0.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.5% | -2.2 |
28,987 occurrences · 5,220,587 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (+4.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.2% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry — a 4.3-point gap, wider than the ±1.2-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 39.9% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 25.0% | +3.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 16.7% | +3.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.3% | 57.3% | -2.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.8% | -2.3 |
6,689 occurrences · 1,183,939 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.8%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random short entry (+4.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.86×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 43.8% of the time vs 39.7% for a random short entry — a 4.1-point gap, wider than the ±2.1-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.8% | 39.7% | +4.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 25.4% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.8% | 17.4% | +3.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.5% | 56.9% | -1.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 3.4% | -2.7 |
2,144 occurrences · 409,191 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.8%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.3% for a random short entry (+5.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.84×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.8% of the time vs 39.3% for a random short entry — a 5.5-point gap, wider than the ±3.1-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.8% | 39.3% | +5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.4% | 25.3% | +4.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.6% | 17.7% | +2.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.6% | 56.8% | -2.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.6% | 3.9% | -3.2 |
944 occurrences · 206,590 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.3% for a random short entry (+5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.4% of the time vs 39.3% for a random short entry — a 5.1-point gap, wider than the ±4.2-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 39.3% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.3% | 25.5% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 18.1% | +4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.4% | 57.8% | -2.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 2.9% | -2.7 |
518 occurrences · 102,966 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (70). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+8.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.74×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.1% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 8.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 70 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 38.9% | +8.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 24.3% | 26.6% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.7% | 19.5% | -3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.9% | 59.4% | -6.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
70 occurrences · 23,284 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.0% for a random short entry (+2.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.5% of the time vs 36.0% for a random short entry. The 2.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 13 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 13 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.5% | 36.0% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.8% | 24.3% | +6.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.4% | 17.2% | -1.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.5% | 62.7% | -1.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
13 occurrences · 4,697 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.0%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.4% for a random short entry (+1.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 43.0% of the time vs 41.4% for a random short entry — a 1.6-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.0% | 41.4% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.8% | 26.3% | +3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.4% | 17.8% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.4% | 55.7% | +0.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.6% | 2.9% | -2.3 |
28,304 occurrences · 5,523,555 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (+2.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.4% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry — a 2.6-point gap, wider than the ±1.3-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 41.8% | +2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.7% | 26.8% | +3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.1% | 18.4% | +3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.9% | 55.1% | -0.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 3.1% | -2.3 |
5,269 occurrences · 1,219,764 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.3%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (+3.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.18R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 45.3% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry — a 3.6-point gap, wider than the ±2.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.3% | 41.8% | +3.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.4% | 26.9% | +3.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.4% | 18.6% | +1.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.7% | 54.6% | -0.9 |
| Went sideways | 1.0% | 3.6% | -2.6 |
1,577 occurrences · 415,713 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (+1.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.5% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 734 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.5% | 41.8% | +1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.4% | 27.1% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.4% | 18.9% | +1.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.9% | 54.2% | +0.7 |
| Went sideways | 1.6% | 4.0% | -2.4 |
734 occurrences · 208,216 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.2% for a random short entry (+2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.9% of the time vs 42.2% for a random short entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 345 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.9% | 42.2% | +2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.3% | 27.8% | +3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.5% | 19.7% | +3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.1% | 54.5% | +0.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.3% | -3.3 |
345 occurrences · 103,214 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (55). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
54.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.9% for a random short entry (+12.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.46R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 54.5% of the time vs 41.9% for a random short entry. The 12.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±13.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 55 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 54.5% | 41.9% | +12.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 38.2% | 27.8% | +10.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 30.9% | 19.5% | +11.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.5% | 55.6% | -10.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.5% | -2.5 |
55 occurrences · 23,339 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
57.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.8% for a random short entry (+18.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.24×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.09R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 57.1% of the time vs 38.8% for a random short entry. The 18.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 57.1% | 38.8% | +18.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 42.9% | 24.5% | +18.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.5% | -16.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.9% | 58.2% | -15.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.0% | -3.0 |
7 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.3%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random short entry (+1.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 42.3% of the time vs 40.8% for a random short entry — a 1.6-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.3% | 40.8% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 25.7% | +2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.5% | 17.4% | +3.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.2% | 56.2% | +1.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.5% | 3.0% | -2.5 |
28,026 occurrences · 5,363,181 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.9%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+2.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.91×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 43.9% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry — a 2.6-point gap, wider than the ±1.3-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.9% | 41.3% | +2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.3% | 26.6% | +2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.7% | 18.3% | +2.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.5% | 55.4% | +0.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 3.3% | -2.6 |
5,482 occurrences · 1,194,142 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.5%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+5.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.21R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 46.5% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry — a 5.2-point gap, wider than the ±2.3-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.5% | 41.3% | +5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.1% | 26.8% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.7% | 18.7% | +4.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.7% | 54.9% | -2.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.8% | 3.8% | -3.0 |
1,712 occurrences · 407,609 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.8%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+5.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 46.8% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry — a 5.6-point gap, wider than the ±3.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.8% | 41.3% | +5.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.1% | 26.9% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.2% | 18.9% | +4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.3% | 54.1% | -2.8 |
| Went sideways | 1.9% | 4.6% | -2.7 |
807 occurrences · 204,489 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.7%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.0% for a random short entry (+5.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 47.7% of the time vs 42.0% for a random short entry — a 5.7-point gap, wider than the ±5.2-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.7% | 42.0% | +5.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.5% | 27.8% | +4.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 24.3% | 19.6% | +4.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.3% | 54.8% | -2.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
342 occurrences · 101,374 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (53). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.5% for a random short entry (+1.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.84×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.4% of the time vs 41.5% for a random short entry. The 1.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±13.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 53 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.4% | 41.5% | +1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.0% | 27.5% | +6.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 28.3% | 19.3% | +9.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.6% | 56.1% | +0.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.4% | -2.4 |
53 occurrences · 23,134 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
77.8%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (+37.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.14R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
The 37.9-point gap over the 39.9% random-entry rate clears the ±32.0-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 9 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 77.8% | 39.9% | +37.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 66.7% | 25.9% | +40.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 18.6% | +14.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 22.2% | 57.4% | -35.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.7% | -2.7 |
9 occurrences · 4,694 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.6%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.8% for a random short entry (+2.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.09R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 42.6% of the time vs 39.8% for a random short entry — a 2.8-point gap, wider than the ±0.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.6% | 39.8% | +2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.0% | 25.2% | +4.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.3% | 17.1% | +4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.6% | 56.7% | -0.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 3.5% | -2.8 |
18,277 occurrences · 3,860,692 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.1% for a random short entry (+1.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.2% of the time vs 41.1% for a random short entry. The 1.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±1.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4,364 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.2% | 41.1% | +1.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 26.4% | +2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.1% | 18.1% | +3.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.9% | 55.3% | +1.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.8% | 3.6% | -2.8 |
4,364 occurrences · 923,352 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.3%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+3.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 44.3% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry — a 3.0-point gap, wider than the ±2.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.3% | 41.3% | +3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.3% | 26.6% | +1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.5% | 18.4% | +2.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.0% | 54.5% | +0.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 4.1% | -3.5 |
1,316 occurrences · 320,654 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+1.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.14R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.0% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 591 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.0% | 41.3% | +1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.1% | 26.8% | +1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.7% | 18.6% | +3.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.3% | 54.1% | +2.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.7% | 4.7% | -4.0 |
591 occurrences · 161,646 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
48.1%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.1% for a random short entry (+6.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 48.1% of the time vs 42.1% for a random short entry — a 6.1-point gap, wider than the ±5.9-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 48.1% | 42.1% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.1% | 27.8% | +6.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.2% | 19.5% | +5.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.5% | 54.7% | -3.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 3.2% | -2.9 |
270 occurrences · 80,431 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (39). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.4% for a random short entry (-8.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.06×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.84R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 41.4% for a random short entry. The 8.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 39 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 41.4% | -8.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.1% | 26.5% | -3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.8% | 18.6% | -5.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 56.0% | +10.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.7% | -2.7 |
39 occurrences · 18,587 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (+26.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.54×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 26.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±55.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 40.3% | +26.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 66.7% | 24.7% | +41.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 16.0% | +17.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 57.1% | -23.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.6% | -2.6 |
3 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
A squeeze alert is a market coiling up near a top. After a rise, an up candle leads, then each following candle fits inside the range of the one before it. The bars get smaller and smaller, like a spring winding tight. Range is draining out of the move, and that squeeze near the high often breaks downward.
How to spot it
- The market is rising into the pattern.
- The first candle is an up (green) candle.
- The second candle’s range fits inside the first.
- The third candle’s range fits inside the second.
- Each bar is narrower than the last, coiling into a tighter and tighter squeeze.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the three candles on a real occurrence, with the advance before and the move after.
The psychology
After a rise, the first up candle leads and buyers still look in charge. Then each bar that follows fits inside the range of the one before it. The second is narrower than the first, the third narrower than the second. The market is coiling near the high, like a spring winding tighter.
That tightening means neither side is winning ground. Buyers can no longer extend the move, but sellers have not taken over either, so price compresses into a smaller and smaller band right at the top. Pressure builds with nowhere to go, and a move that has stopped making new highs is a move that has lost its push. When a squeeze like this near a high finally releases, the break tends to come out the downside, where the stalled buyers give way.
A coil near the top points to a break without saying it will fall. The figures below show which way these squeezes have tended to resolve.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close up to the pattern’s invalidation point: the highest high of the three candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful resistance level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:47 PM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:59 AM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:54 AM CDT | 7.25 | 1.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 3:31 AM CDT | 5.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:25 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 5:03 PM CDT | 6.5 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 3:33 AM CDT | 3.5 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 2:48 AM CDT | 3.75 | 2.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:48 AM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:12 AM CDT | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 6:09 AM CDT | 23.25 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 1:42 AM CDT | 4.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 7:59 PM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 7:33 AM CDT | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:19 AM CDT | 4.5 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 11:53 PM CDT | 2.75 | 2.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 11:37 PM CDT | 3.75 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 5:09 PM CDT | 2.5 | 2.70R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 4:09 AM CDT | 7 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:12 AM CDT | 5 | 1.30R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 3:25 PM CDT | 7 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 4:40 AM CDT | 11.75 | 2.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:30 PM CDT | 16.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:30 AM CDT | 15.75 | 2.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 6:01 AM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026, 1:20 AM CDT | 9 | 2.56R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 12:45 AM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 6:55 AM CDT | 49.75 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT | 6 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:15 PM CDT | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 3:20 PM CDT | 8.75 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 2:00 PM CDT | 8.5 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 1:10 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 7:15 AM CDT | 11.25 | 2.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 4:35 AM CDT | 11 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 9:30 AM CDT | 32.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2026, 1:15 PM CDT | 19.25 | 1.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT | 6.25 | 2.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 10:20 AM CDT | 24.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026, 9:45 AM CDT | 34.25 | 0.93R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT | 9.25 | 2.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 9:15 AM CDT | 36.75 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM CDT | 17.5 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 19.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2026, 1:01 AM CDT | 14.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026, 3:30 AM CDT | 35.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026, 10:15 PM CDT | 7.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 12.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 1:15 AM CST | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026, 10:15 AM CST | 52.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 8:00 AM CST | 28 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026, 7:30 AM CST | 26 | 2.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 11, 2026, 10:45 PM CST | 13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2026, 6:15 PM CST | 28.5 | 1.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 4:15 AM CST | 24.75 | 2.32R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026, 5:30 PM CST | 8.75 | 0.31R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 5:15 AM CST | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 6:15 PM CST | 9.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 34.25 | 0.71R | Flat |
| Apr 15, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 18 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026, 9:30 AM CDT | 41.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 7 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2026, 2:00 AM CST | 15.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 15, 2026, 7:00 PM CST | 14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2025, 11:30 PM CST | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2025, 6:30 AM CST | 21.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 20.25 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2025, 8:01 PM CST | 23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 6, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 9.75 | 2.21R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 5, 2025, 1:30 PM CST | 16.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 15, 2025, 5:30 AM CDT | 13.25 | 2.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 15, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 28.75 | 0.32R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT | 6.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 15, 2025, 12:05 AM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 11, 2025, 9:01 AM CDT | 32.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2025, 1:30 PM CDT | 43.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 31, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT | 14.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT | 40.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 87 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 8:00 PM CST | 44.25 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026, 10:00 AM CST | 45.25 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Feb 2, 2026, 5:00 AM CST | 39 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 22 | 1.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 11, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 32.5 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 28, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 59 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT | 34.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 1, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 56.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT | 46.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 1, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 16.25 | 2.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 25, 2025, 1:00 PM CDT | 33 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 23, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT | 17 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT | 19 | 2.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 26, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 24 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| May 1, 2025, 6:00 AM CDT | 17.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT | 57.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 23, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 25.25 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2025, 11:00 AM CST | 14.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 41.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 7, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 85.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 24, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 84.5 | 2.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 10, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 144.25 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Jan 19, 2025, 9:00 PM CST | 77.5 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Jan 6, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 159 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 27, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 81.5 | 2.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 17, 2024, 9:01 AM CDT | 117 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 1, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT | 53.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2024, 5:13 AM CDT | 64 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2023, 5:02 AM CST | 85.75 | 0.19R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT | 17.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 11, 2023, 9:03 PM CDT | 12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 27, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT | 46 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT | 42.75 | 2.88R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2023, 5:00 AM CDT | 52.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2023, 9:00 PM CST | 36 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 25, 2021, 5:00 AM CST | 21.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 15, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT | 34.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT | 31.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (8)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2024 | 230.75 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 110.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 59.25 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2019 | 33.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 9, 2018 | 36 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 18.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 10 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2010 | 21 | 2.38R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:38 PM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:09 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 6:15 AM CDT | 1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:41 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 7:28 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:44 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:34 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:12 PM CDT | 1 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:59 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:37 AM CDT | 1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 7:44 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 7:04 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 10:14 AM CDT | 1.25 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:20 AM CDT | 1 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:10 AM CDT | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 11:49 PM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:51 PM CDT | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 6:36 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 5:50 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 3:35 AM CDT | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 5:25 PM CDT | 3 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 3:00 PM CDT | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:55 PM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 2:25 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 2:15 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 8:20 PM CDT | 1.5 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 7:40 AM CDT | 1.75 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:25 PM CDT | 1.75 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 1 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 9:05 AM CDT | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 0.75 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 8:55 PM CDT | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 3:35 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 11:05 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:15 PM CDT | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 9:05 AM CDT | 6.5 | 1.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:10 AM CDT | 9.75 | 1.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 8:55 PM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 11:10 AM CDT | 18.5 | 0.20R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 3.75 | 1.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 2:45 PM CDT | 4.25 | 1.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 9:45 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 3.75 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 9:15 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 1:45 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM CDT | 3.5 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 3:45 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 15, 2026, 11:15 PM CDT | 3.5 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 6.25 | 1.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026, 1:30 PM CST | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026, 7:30 AM CST | 7.25 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2026, 4:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 13, 2026, 11:30 AM CST | 5.75 | 2.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 11, 2026, 10:00 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026, 2:00 AM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT | 16 | 1.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 10:30 PM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 11:30 AM CDT | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 8:00 AM CDT | 12.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 4:00 AM CDT | 24 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 10.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2026, 2:00 AM CDT | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2026, 9:30 AM CDT | 14.25 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2026, 12:30 PM CST | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 15, 2026, 7:00 PM CST | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 11:30 PM CST | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 2, 2026, 7:00 PM CST | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 7.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 15, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 9:30 PM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 6:30 AM CST | 4.75 | 1.84R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 16, 2025, 8:30 PM CST | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:01 PM CDT | 6 | — | Open |
| Apr 20, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2026, 5:00 AM CST | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 12:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2026, 12:00 PM CST | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2026, 7:00 AM CST | 13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 1:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 1.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2025, 4:00 AM CST | 9.25 | 1.68R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2025, 12:00 AM CST | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 10, 2025, 7:00 PM CST | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 1, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 16.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 26, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 23, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 20, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 3 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 7, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 26, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 6.25 | 0.08R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 17.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 16, 2024, 1:08 AM CDT | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 14, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 29.25 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 15.75 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 15, 2024, 1:03 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 7, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 13.75 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 26.25 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Dec 7, 2023, 9:00 PM CST | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2023, 9:00 PM CST | 6.75 | 2.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2023, 9:05 PM CDT | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 2, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT | 11.5 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Feb 2, 2023, 9:00 PM CST | 37.75 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 7, 2022, 9:00 AM CST | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 3, 2022, 9:00 PM CDT | 10.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT | 19 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 25, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT | 9.75 | 2.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2020, 9:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2020, 9:00 PM CDT | 11.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 6, 2020, 1:00 AM CDT | 9.25 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (14)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | 63.5 | — | Open |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 35.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 39 | 0.73R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 21.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 11.5 | 1.28R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2019 | 12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2016 | 28 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 22, 2015 | 7.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2010 | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2009 | 6 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 1, 2009 | 8.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 20, 2008 | 11 | 2.89R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:43 AM CDT | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:05 PM CDT | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:47 PM CDT | 0.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:54 AM CDT | 2.6 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 3:14 PM CDT | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 12:18 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:28 AM CDT | 0.8 | 2.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 2:15 PM CDT | 1.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 11:54 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 11:10 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 4:05 AM CDT | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 1:31 AM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 9:23 PM CDT | 1 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:40 PM CDT | 0.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 1:48 PM CDT | 1.7 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 6:50 AM CDT | 2.4 | 2.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 11:38 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 5:42 PM CDT | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 4:49 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 9:36 PM CDT | 1.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026, 10:51 PM CDT | 3.7 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 8:56 PM CDT | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 4:51 AM CDT | 4.8 | 2.02R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:56 AM CDT | 4.7 | 0.98R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:10 PM CDT | 8.5 | 2.91R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 6:17 AM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 2:17 PM CDT | 2.1 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 10:42 AM CDT | 3.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 9:55 PM CDT | 2.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2026, 1:26 PM CDT | 2.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 12:55 PM CDT | 3.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 10:00 AM CDT | 4.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT | 3.6 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 10.6 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 2:24 AM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026, 6:05 PM CDT | 5.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026, 5:35 PM CDT | 4.4 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 23, 2026, 9:10 AM CDT | 15.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT | 2.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT | 16.7 | 2.53R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 9:30 PM CDT | 8.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026, 9:30 PM CDT | 5.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026, 9:00 PM CDT | 14.6 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2026, 9:19 PM CDT | 5.9 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT | 7.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2026, 3:20 PM CST | 6.7 | 0.63R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2026, 11:16 PM CST | 4 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2026, 7:46 AM CST | 14.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 8.6 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 4.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2026, 5:45 PM CST | 17.5 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 12, 2026, 1:30 AM CST | 4.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 9:30 AM CST | 9.6 | 1.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 24, 2025, 11:30 AM CST | 8.8 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2025, 7:30 PM CST | 4.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2025, 1:15 AM CST | 3.8 | 2.66R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2025, 3:00 PM CST | 3.6 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Nov 19, 2025, 4:15 AM CST | 7.5 | 0.72R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026, 3:00 PM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 10:37 PM CDT | 4.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2026, 10:01 AM CDT | 18.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2026, 8:01 AM CDT | 10.9 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT | 40.3 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026, 2:30 PM CST | 10 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 1:00 PM CST | 6.9 | 1.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 15, 2026, 1:00 PM CST | 3.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2025, 9:30 PM CST | 10.9 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 19, 2025, 5:30 AM CST | 2.6 | 2.81R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 9, 2025, 4:00 AM CST | 8.7 | 1.79R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2025, 1:00 PM CST | 1.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 31, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT | 7.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT | 22.7 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 16, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT | 15.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 6.1 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025, 11:30 AM CDT | 16.4 | 0.18R | Stopped |
| Oct 2, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 3.3 | 1.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 29, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT | 4.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2025, 2:01 AM CDT | 5.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026, 4:01 AM CDT | 13.2 | 1.91R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 22, 2026, 7:00 PM CST | 14.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 12:02 AM CST | 9.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026, 3:00 PM CST | 8.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2026, 4:00 AM CST | 5.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 13.4 | 0.64R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2025, 9:01 PM CST | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2025, 10:00 PM CST | 7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 8, 2025, 6:00 AM CDT | 11.5 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025, 12:00 PM CDT | 12 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 10.5 | 0.49R | Stopped |
| Sep 30, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT | 8.5 | 0.78R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2025, 6:01 AM CDT | 3.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 22, 2025, 2:03 PM CDT | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 18, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT | 4.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 16 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2025, 1:01 PM CDT | 5.4 | 0.78R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT | 2.1 | 2.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 30, 2025, 11:05 AM CST | 7.1 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2025, 1:01 AM CST | 4.4 | 0.45R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 47.2 | 0.64R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 20.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2024, 9:01 AM CDT | 8.6 | 2.16R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 16, 2024, 9:08 AM CDT | 9.9 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | 9.3 | 1.66R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 10, 2024, 9:02 AM CDT | 8.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2023, 9:05 AM CST | 3.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 18, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 5.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 21, 2021, 1:09 AM CDT | 2.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 18, 2021, 9:01 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 18, 2020, 9:00 AM CDT | 9.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 13, 2020, 1:00 AM CDT | 12.5 | 0.94R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2020, 9:00 AM CST | 2.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 18, 2019, 1:00 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2019, 1:00 AM CDT | 5.9 | 1.81R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2019, 9:01 PM CDT | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 1, 2018, 9:02 PM CDT | 4 | 2.95R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2018, 9:00 AM CST | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 11, 2018, 1:00 AM CST | 1.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (7)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 24.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 13, 2021 | 10.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 8.8 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 8.6 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 23, 2017 | 3.4 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 10, 2010 | 7.8 | 1.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 17, 2009 | 4.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:09 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:07 PM CDT | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 9:32 AM CDT | 0.28 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:31 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:44 PM CDT | 0.15 | 0.93R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:12 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 4:42 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:58 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:52 PM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:48 AM CDT | 0.07 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:47 AM CDT | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 11:29 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:35 AM CDT | 0.19 | 0.95R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 8:25 AM CDT | 0.16 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 7:08 AM CDT | 0.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 6:26 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:59 AM CDT | 0.07 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:32 PM CDT | 0.19 | 2.32R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 5:48 PM CDT | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 1:23 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:39 PM CDT | 0.56 | — | Open |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:39 AM CDT | 0.19 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 7:50 AM CDT | 0.22 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:24 AM CDT | 0.23 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 10:14 AM CDT | 0.35 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 0.27 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 10:53 AM CDT | 0.26 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:03 PM CDT | 0.23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 8:22 PM CDT | 0.09 | 2.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 7:42 PM CDT | 0.18 | 1.28R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 11:10 AM CDT | 0.24 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 9:00 AM CDT | 0.24 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 10:48 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 3:49 PM CDT | 0.05 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 7:28 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2026, 10:45 AM CDT | 0.24 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Mar 29, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT | 0.68 | 1.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2026, 3:31 PM CDT | 0.12 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 12:11 PM CDT | 0.26 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026, 4:21 AM CDT | 0.19 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:46 PM CDT | 0.52 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 1:49 PM CDT | 0.31 | 0.77R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:53 AM CDT | 0.5 | 2.34R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:50 AM CDT | 0.33 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 7:16 AM CDT | 0.52 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2026, 10:46 PM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 1:16 AM CDT | 0.22 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026, 10:45 PM CDT | 0.29 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026, 7:30 AM CDT | 0.41 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 1:30 PM CST | 0.54 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 0.28 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 1:15 AM CST | 0.19 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 27, 2026, 1:52 PM CST | 0.18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2026, 8:32 PM CST | 0.05 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026, 10:46 AM CST | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026, 1:31 PM CST | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026, 1:32 PM CST | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 1:05 AM CST | 0.14 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 23, 2026, 3:08 AM CST | 0.1 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026, 9:26 AM CST | 0.16 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.51 | 2.31R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 1:00 AM CDT | 0.17 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026, 3:03 PM CDT | 1.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2026, 6:02 AM CST | 0.28 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2026, 3:33 AM CST | 0.46 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2026, 3:00 PM CST | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM CST | 0.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025, 2:59 AM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 0.13 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 7, 2025, 10:12 PM CST | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 3, 2025, 10:47 AM CST | 0.35 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2025, 12:57 PM CST | 0.07 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2025, 6:55 AM CST | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2025, 12:38 PM CST | 0.18 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 AM CST | 0.19 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Nov 10, 2025, 2:42 PM CST | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2025, 5:30 AM CDT | 0.26 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2025, 8:10 AM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2025, 12:10 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2025, 3:13 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:05 AM CDT | 0.56 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT | 0.48 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 0.36 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 2:26 PM CST | 0.31 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026, 1:01 AM CST | 0.29 | 1.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 30, 2026, 10:00 AM CST | 0.42 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 5:01 AM CST | 0.4 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026, 12:01 AM CST | 0.27 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026, 12:08 AM CST | 0.15 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026, 10:06 PM CST | 0.08 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2026, 12:03 PM CST | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 9:15 AM CST | 0.21 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 1:00 PM CST | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2026, 11:00 AM CST | 0.2 | 2.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 30, 2025, 5:26 AM CST | 0.13 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025, 8:12 AM CST | 0.16 | 0.37R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 0.33 | 2.42R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2025, 6:01 PM CST | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 21, 2025, 10:17 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 27, 2025, 10:40 AM CDT | 0.19 | 0.16R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025, 9:23 PM CDT | 0.31 | 2.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| May 9, 2025, 9:11 AM CDT | 0.51 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2025, 9:09 AM CDT | 0.42 | 0.98R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2024, 9:04 PM CST | 0.18 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 10, 2024, 9:06 PM CDT | 0.66 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 29, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Dec 27, 2022, 1:00 AM CST | 0.77 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2022, 1:04 AM CST | 0.55 | 0.96R | Stopped |
| Aug 11, 2022, 9:06 PM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 5, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.61 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 24, 2021, 5:02 AM CDT | 0.15 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.49 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2021, 9:01 PM CDT | 0.32 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2021, 9:00 PM CST | 0.49 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2021, 1:01 AM CST | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 2, 2020, 9:00 PM CST | 0.83 | 0.51R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 0.56 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2020, 5:00 AM CDT | 0.28 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2020, 5:00 AM CDT | 0.31 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (9)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2019 | 0.66 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 0.74 | 2.77R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 0.63 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 17, 2011 | 1.64 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1.17 | 2.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 18, 2009 | 1.23 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 23, 2008 | 3.39 | 2.98R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 11, 2008 | 1.86 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Feb 13, 2008 | 1.27 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:32 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 8:43 AM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:44 AM CDT | 0.001 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:43 AM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM CDT | 0.002 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:43 PM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:13 AM CDT | 0.002 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 1:25 AM CDT | 0.003 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 PM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:35 PM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:13 PM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:58 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:16 AM CDT | 0.002 | 1.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:37 AM CDT | 0.004 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 7:17 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:45 AM CDT | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 7:31 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 26, 2026, 7:09 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.50R | Flat |
| Apr 24, 2026, 3:57 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:39 PM CDT | 0.002 | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:23 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:28 PM CDT | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:39 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 8:18 AM CDT | 0.006 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026, 10:28 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 11:16 AM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 6:11 AM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:18 PM CDT | 0.001 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:29 AM CDT | 0.003 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2026, 2:27 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 10:36 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 2:01 PM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 6, 2026, 1:23 PM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM CDT | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 8:11 PM CDT | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 2:31 PM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 1:24 PM CDT | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 AM CDT | 0.008 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 1:48 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.33R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 9:14 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:12 AM CDT | 0.003 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 11:25 PM CDT | 0.002 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:38 PM CDT | 0.013 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:04 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 PM CDT | 0.004 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 3:11 PM CDT | 0.005 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 11:57 PM CDT | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 5:42 AM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 23, 2026, 3:02 AM CDT | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 20, 2026, 5:15 AM CDT | 0.015 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2026, 9:59 PM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026, 12:52 AM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 1, 2026, 10:03 PM CST | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2026, 2:36 PM CST | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 11, 2026, 1:05 AM CST | 0.009 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026, 2:43 AM CST | 0.011 | 2.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2026, 2:31 PM CST | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2026, 8:46 AM CST | 0.025 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 1:46 AM CST | 0.052 | 2.94R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:18 AM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 9:47 AM CDT | 0.009 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026, 1:51 AM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 12:46 PM CDT | 0.025 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2026, 5:31 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Feb 22, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 0.015 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 19, 2026, 8:56 AM CST | 0.021 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2026, 9:01 PM CST | 0.091 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2026, 10:44 AM CST | 0.022 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 8, 2026, 6:00 PM CST | 0.02 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 2, 2026, 11:40 AM CST | 0.013 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 28, 2025, 6:00 PM CST | 0.012 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 15, 2025, 6:43 PM CST | 0.012 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 1, 2025, 7:58 AM CST | 0.058 | 1.31R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2025, 11:10 AM CST | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025, 2:09 PM CST | 0.018 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Oct 30, 2025, 1:56 AM CDT | 0.012 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Oct 5, 2025, 10:29 PM CDT | 0.009 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2025, 9:34 AM CDT | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2025, 8:42 AM CDT | 0.029 | 0.83R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026, 7:12 PM CDT | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2026, 9:09 PM CDT | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 8, 2026, 10:00 PM CDT | 0.038 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 6, 2026, 9:10 AM CST | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 26, 2026, 10:37 AM CST | 0.026 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2026, 4:28 AM CST | 0.022 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026, 12:30 AM CST | 0.076 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 16, 2025, 7:55 AM CDT | 0.021 | 1.95R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 11, 2025, 7:26 AM CDT | 0.044 | 2.93R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2025, 2:06 AM CDT | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 2, 2025, 7:45 AM CDT | 0.058 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| May 6, 2025, 7:08 PM CDT | 0.024 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2025, 7:03 PM CDT | 0.253 | 0.81R | Flat |
| Feb 12, 2025, 9:11 PM CST | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2025, 3:12 AM CST | 0.022 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2024, 11:29 AM CST | 0.017 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 6, 2024, 12:50 PM CST | 0.012 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2024, 9:16 PM CST | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 1, 2024, 11:47 AM CDT | 0.027 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Sep 27, 2024, 1:28 PM CDT | 0.019 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026, 9:49 PM CST | 0.076 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2025, 1:07 AM CST | 0.021 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 0.286 | 2.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 3, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.025 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2024, 1:50 AM CDT | 0.016 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 4, 2024, 10:01 PM CST | 0.046 | 2.96R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 2, 2023, 9:38 PM CDT | 0.105 | 1.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 5, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.046 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 15, 2023, 11:24 PM CDT | 0.017 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 31, 2022, 10:11 AM CDT | 0.109 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2022, 9:50 PM CDT | 0.042 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.107 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2022, 2:45 AM CST | 0.016 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 4, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.246 | 0.01R | Stopped |
| Sep 14, 2021, 10:48 AM CDT | 0.08 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2021, 8:24 AM CDT | 0.034 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 0.025 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 14, 2020, 10:01 AM CST | 0.024 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 15, 2020, 1:56 AM CDT | 0.021 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 19, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.051 | 0.29R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Squeeze Alert Firings (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2015 | 0.042 | 2.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 0.095 | 0.64R | Stopped |
| Jul 19, 2011 | 0.073 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample backtests (2)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.