Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bullish Breakaway
Five-candle bottom: a gapped-down selloff that accelerates, then one strong up candle that rallies back into the gap.
Shown only on the markets where this pattern occurs.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (-42.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.54×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.81R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 42.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 42.5% | -42.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.9% | -24.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.8% | -15.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 50.9% | -50.9 |
| Went sideways | 100.0% | 6.6% | +93.4 |
1 occurrences · 1,755,173 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.1% for a random long entry (+57.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.01R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 42.1% for a random long entry. The 57.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 42.1% | +57.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.6% | -24.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.0% | -16.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 49.6% | -49.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 8.3% | -8.3 |
2 occurrences · 358,517 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.9% for a random long entry (+57.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
3.58×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.65R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 42.9% for a random long entry. The 57.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 42.9% | +57.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.5% | -26.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 18.0% | -18.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 48.9% | -48.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 8.2% | -8.2 |
1 occurrences · 120,154 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random long entry (-41.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.38×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.86R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 41.8% for a random long entry. The 41.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 41.8% | -41.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.0% | -24.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.2% | -15.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 50.4% | -50.4 |
| Went sideways | 100.0% | 7.8% | +92.2 |
1 occurrences · 354,309 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+57.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.56×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
3.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 57.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 42.5% | +57.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 26.0% | +74.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 100.0% | 17.2% | +82.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 49.6% | -49.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 7.8% | -7.8 |
1 occurrences · 119,609 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (+56.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.55×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
3.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 56.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 43.4% | +56.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 26.8% | +73.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 100.0% | 17.8% | +82.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 49.0% | -49.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 7.6% | -7.6 |
1 occurrences · 60,018 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 5 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (-44.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
2.23×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.26R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 44.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.3% | -44.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 27.2% | -27.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.8% | -17.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 48.6% | +51.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 7.0% | -7.0 |
1 occurrences · 27,752 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
A breakaway is a five-candle bottom that traps late sellers. The first candle is a down candle, the second gaps lower, and the next two keep pressing to fresh lows, so the move accelerates downward and stretches itself thin. Then a fifth strong up candle rallies hard, closing back up inside the gap left near the start. The reversal is sudden: the run that broke away to the downside gets reclaimed in one bar, and anyone who chased the lows is caught.
How to spot it
- The market is falling into the pattern.
- The first two candles are down (red) candles, with the second gapping below the first.
- The third and fourth candles keep pushing to lower highs and lower lows, accelerating the slide.
- The fifth candle is a strong up (green) candle.
- That fifth candle closes back up into the early gap, above the second candle’s open but below the first candle’s close.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the five candles on a real occurrence, with the decline before and the move after.
The psychology
The opening candles belong entirely to the sellers. Price gaps lower and then the next two bars keep grinding to fresh lows, so the decline does not just continue, it accelerates. That kind of run feels powerful, but it also stretches the move thin. Each new low is reached on sellers who are already committed, and the pool of fresh sellers willing to chase price down keeps shrinking.
Then the fifth candle snaps the mood. A single strong up bar rallies hard and closes back up inside the gap left near the start, reclaiming most of the breakaway move in one session. The traders who piled in near the lows, convinced the slide would carry on, are suddenly underwater, and their scramble to cover pushes price higher still. The very speed that made the decline look convincing is what leaves it exposed once buyers turn it. Control flips from a crowd of late sellers to the buyers who absorbed them.
Whether that sharp reversal goes on to deliver more is the question the numbers below address.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close down to the pattern’s invalidation point: the lowest low of the 5 candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful support level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025, 8:33 AM CST | 28.75 | 0.81R | Flat |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021, 8:45 AM CDT | 75.75 | 1.01R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2010, 8:45 AM CDT | 13.5 | 1.02R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2008, 9:15 AM CST | 22.25 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2010, 8:45 AM CDT | 7.25 | 0.86R | Flat |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2023, 9:15 AM CDT | 24.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017, 10:00 AM CST | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Breakaway Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2010, 11:30 AM CDT | 15.25 | 0.26R | Stopped |