Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bullish Doji Star
Two-candle bottom: a down candle, then a doji that gaps below it, hinting selling has stalled.
Shown only on the markets where this pattern occurs.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random long entry (+5.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
2.31×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.1% of the time vs 41.8% for a random long entry. The 5.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 102 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 41.8% | +5.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.3% | 28.1% | +7.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.5% | 19.7% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.9% | 57.0% | -4.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
102 occurrences · 1,710,005 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
26.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random long entry (-15.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
3.23×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.71R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 26.7% of the time vs 41.8% for a random long entry. The 15.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 26.7% | 41.8% | -15.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 28.0% | -8.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 19.9% | -6.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 73.3% | 56.4% | +16.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.8 |
15 occurrences · 355,242 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
30.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.3% for a random long entry (-12.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.57×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.55R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 30.0% of the time vs 42.3% for a random long entry. The 12.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 30.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 10.0% | 29.2% | -19.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.0% | 21.3% | -11.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 70.0% | 55.4% | +14.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.2% | -2.2 |
10 occurrences · 119,637 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
25.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random long entry (-18.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.51×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.87R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 43.7% for a random long entry. The 18.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 25.0% | 43.7% | -18.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 30.7% | -5.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 22.8% | +2.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 75.0% | 54.6% | +20.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
8 occurrences · 59,963 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
55.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.0% for a random long entry (+10.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.46×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.56R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.22R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 55.6% of the time vs 45.0% for a random long entry. The 10.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±32.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 9 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 9 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 55.6% | 45.0% | +10.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 44.4% | 32.6% | +11.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 24.8% | +8.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.4% | 53.7% | -9.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
9 occurrences · 27,712 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 50.0% for a random long entry (-7.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.34R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.35R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 50.0% for a random long entry. The 7.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±37.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 50.0% | -7.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 37.7% | -9.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 28.6% | 28.8% | -0.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.1% | 49.5% | +7.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.5% | -0.5 |
7 occurrences · 4,548 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.9% for a random long entry (-14.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.20×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.27R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 47.9% for a random long entry. The 14.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 47.9% | -14.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 34.7% | -1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 25.9% | +7.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 51.4% | +15.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.8% | -0.8 |
3 occurrences · 4,697 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.4% for a random long entry (-2.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.91R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.97R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.0% of the time vs 39.4% for a random long entry. The 2.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 246 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.0% | 39.4% | -2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.2% | 25.5% | +1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.9% | 17.1% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.0% | 59.3% | +3.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
246 occurrences · 1,607,385 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (61). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
52.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random long entry (+11.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.51×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 52.5% of the time vs 40.8% for a random long entry. The 11.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 61 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 52.5% | 40.8% | +11.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.9% | 26.9% | +0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.4% | 18.7% | -2.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.5% | 57.5% | -9.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
61 occurrences · 346,986 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
30.8%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.9% for a random long entry (-11.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.24×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.51R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 30.8% of the time vs 41.9% for a random long entry. The 11.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 13 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 13 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 30.8% | 41.9% | -11.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 7.7% | 28.4% | -20.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 20.5% | -20.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 69.2% | 56.2% | +13.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.9% | -1.9 |
13 occurrences · 118,396 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.2% for a random long entry (-3.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.79×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 43.2% for a random long entry. The 3.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 43.2% | -3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 30.0% | -3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.7% | 22.1% | +4.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
15 occurrences · 59,643 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random long entry (-16.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.27×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.65R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.6% of the time vs 44.6% for a random long entry. The 16.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.6% | 44.6% | -16.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 14.3% | 32.3% | -18.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 24.3% | -10.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 71.4% | 54.1% | +17.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
7 occurrences · 27,664 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 50.1% for a random long entry (+16.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
2.36×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.97R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.33R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 50.1% for a random long entry. The 16.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±40.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 50.1% | +16.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 66.7% | 37.0% | +29.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 50.0% | 27.8% | +22.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 49.1% | -15.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.9% | -0.9 |
6 occurrences · 4,544 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
75.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.0% for a random long entry (+28.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.20×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.24R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 75.0% of the time vs 47.0% for a random long entry. The 28.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 75.0% | 47.0% | +28.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 75.0% | 33.1% | +41.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 24.4% | +0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 52.0% | -27.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.0% | -1.0 |
4 occurrences · 4,689 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
A bullish doji star is an early warning of a bottom. A long down candle comes first, in line with the fall. The next candle is a doji that gaps below it, a bar that opens and closes at nearly the same price. The big down day showed sellers in charge. The doji that gaps lower but then goes nowhere shows their momentum stalling, a hint that the slide may be done.
Steve Nison covers the doji star in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991) as the two-candle precursor that warns of a possible turn.
How to spot it
- The market is falling into the pattern.
- The first candle is a down (red) candle that fits the decline.
- The second candle is a doji, opening and closing at nearly the same level.
- That doji gaps below the first candle’s close.
- The tighter the doji and the cleaner the gap, the clearer the stall.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the two candles on a real occurrence, with the decline before and the move after.
The psychology
The long down candle is the sellers at work, closing the bar near its lows with momentum behind them. The next session gaps lower still, which looks like the slide accelerating, exactly what a falling market wants to see. So far the sellers have every reason to feel in control.
Then the second bar goes nowhere. It opens and closes at almost the same price, so the push that created the gap simply stalls. Buyers met the early selling and held the line, and for a full session neither side gained ground. That stall does not yet hand control to the buyers, but it stops the sellers cold and plants the first doubt that the decline is running out of supply. A tight doji on a clean gap makes that hesitation harder to ignore.
A hint of hesitation is not the same as a turn, and the numbers below weigh how often it amounts to one.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close down to the pattern’s invalidation point: the lowest low of the two candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful support level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021, 8:30 AM CST | 26.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT | 8.25 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2020, 11:53 AM CDT | 10 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2020, 1:39 PM CDT | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2020, 8:37 AM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 13, 2016, 8:30 AM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 26, 2016, 8:30 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 22, 2014, 8:30 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 20, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 6, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 13, 2012, 10:45 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Mar 12, 2012, 1:28 PM CDT | 0.25 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 13, 2011, 1:11 PM CST | — | — | Open |
| Dec 13, 2011, 12:02 PM CST | 0.75 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 12, 2011, 1:37 PM CST | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 23, 2011, 12:58 PM CST | 0.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 22, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2011, 1:08 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2011, 12:29 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 11, 2010, 9:35 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (16)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022, 8:30 AM CDT | 37 | 0.19R | Stopped |
| Jan 24, 2022, 8:30 AM CST | 46.5 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 11, 2020, 8:30 AM CDT | 19.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 28, 2020, 2:05 PM CST | 20 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 9, 2019, 8:30 AM CDT | 14.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 11, 2017, 8:30 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 22, 2011, 11:15 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2009, 11:05 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Mar 6, 2009, 2:00 PM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2008, 11:45 AM CST | 0.5 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2008, 9:00 AM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 4, 2008, 12:15 PM CST | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 18, 2008, 11:55 AM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 9, 2008, 1:35 PM CDT | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2008, 8:30 AM CDT | 10.75 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2008, 1:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (10)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025, 8:30 AM CST | 9.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2024, 8:30 AM CDT | 71.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 10, 2023, 8:30 AM CDT | 13.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2020, 1:14 PM CDT | 30 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2019, 8:30 AM CDT | 17.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2014, 8:30 AM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 8, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 6.25 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2010, 8:30 AM CDT | 3.75 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 15, 2008, 1:30 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2008, 9:30 AM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (8)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025, 8:30 AM CST | 133 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 1, 2023, 8:30 AM CST | 47.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT | 50 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 11 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 17, 2011, 9:00 AM CST | 9 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2011, 8:30 AM CDT | 8.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2009, 11:00 AM CST | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (9)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026, 8:30 AM CDT | 100 | 2.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2018, 8:30 AM CST | 72 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2015, 8:30 AM CDT | 14.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 5, 2012, 8:30 AM CST | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2008, 8:30 AM CST | 22.25 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 30, 2008, 12:30 PM CDT | 9.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2008, 8:30 AM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2008, 8:30 AM CST | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2008, 8:30 AM CST | 12.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (7)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025, 8:30 AM CST | 352 | 0.74R | Stopped |
| Feb 28, 2025, 8:30 AM CST | 132.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 6, 2018, 8:30 AM CDT | 22 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2018, 8:30 AM CDT | 91 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2015, 8:30 AM CST | 36.75 | 1.93R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 25, 2010, 8:30 AM CDT | 23.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 2, 2009, 8:30 AM CST | 11.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | 67.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2012 | 25.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 16.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025, 8:30 AM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 11, 2022, 8:30 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT | 1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Aug 23, 2019, 8:30 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 7, 2019, 8:30 AM CST | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 20, 2013, 8:30 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 1, 2013, 8:30 AM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 20, 2011, 8:49 AM CST | — | — | Open |
| Dec 19, 2011, 2:09 PM CST | 1 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2011, 9:50 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2011, 12:07 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2011, 10:35 AM CST | 0.5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 13, 2011, 9:16 AM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2011, 10:50 AM CST | — | — | Open |
| Dec 8, 2011, 2:09 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2011, 10:01 AM CST | 0.75 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 28, 2011, 2:28 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 28, 2011, 2:09 PM CST | 0.75 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 24, 2011, 9:57 AM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 24, 2011, 9:04 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 28, 2011, 9:35 AM CST | 1.5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 16, 2011, 11:00 AM CST | 1.5 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Nov 1, 2011, 10:55 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2011, 11:10 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2011, 12:45 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 14, 2011, 9:05 AM CDT | 2 | 1.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 1, 2011, 12:55 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 31, 2011, 1:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 10, 2011, 12:20 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 14, 2010, 2:40 PM CST | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 14, 2010, 8:30 AM CST | 1 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 6, 2010, 10:50 AM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2010, 8:35 AM CDT | 2 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2010, 11:10 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 27, 2010, 11:45 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 9, 2010, 2:20 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Aug 3, 2010, 8:55 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 21, 2010, 1:15 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 16, 2010, 10:35 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.57R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (13)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2024, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 30, 2021, 8:30 AM CST | 9.5 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2018, 8:30 AM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2010, 8:30 AM CST | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2010, 10:00 AM CST | 1.75 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 2, 2010, 1:00 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 4, 2010, 9:15 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2010, 10:30 AM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2009, 10:15 AM CST | 1.25 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 12, 2009, 2:15 PM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2009, 9:00 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2009, 10:15 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 18, 2008, 1:30 PM CST | 3.5 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024, 8:30 AM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2022, 8:30 AM CST | 24.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 19, 2021, 8:30 AM CDT | 11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 1, 2018, 8:30 AM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2015, 8:30 AM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2012, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 21, 2011, 10:00 AM CDT | 2.5 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2011, 2:00 PM CDT | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2010, 10:30 AM CST | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 31, 2009, 10:30 AM CST | 0.75 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 22, 2009, 10:00 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2009, 9:30 AM CST | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2009, 1:00 PM CST | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2008, 1:30 PM CDT | 11 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 28, 2008, 12:00 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (7)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023, 8:30 AM CST | 5.75 | 1.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 6, 2018, 8:30 AM CST | 12.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2014, 8:30 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 19, 2013, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 15, 2010, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 2, 2009, 11:30 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2009, 11:30 AM CST | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (6)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2022, 8:30 AM CDT | 24 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2020, 8:30 AM CST | 14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2016, 8:30 AM CDT | 4.5 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2014, 8:30 AM CDT | 9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2008, 8:30 AM CST | 21.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2008, 8:30 AM CDT | 31.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Doji Star Firings (4)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 20.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 2, 2018 | 5.75 | 2.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 12.5 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2010 | 14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample backtest
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.