Sample Run

Copper/Gold Pair Spread

HG + GC 1D · Tight Z=1.5 · HG + GC

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Account-threatening drawdown

Drawdown of 71.61% approached account-killing levels. A trader entering near a peak would lose most of their capital, and in live trading margin calls would likely have forced liquidation before the strategy reached this drawdown.

Net P&L

$152,836.25

Max Drawdown %

71.61%

Profit Factor

1.47

Win Rate

63.41%

Sharpe Ratio

0.61

Total Trades

82

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
·
·
·
·
12k
·
-9.1k
19k
·
·
6.8k
·
29k
2021
-42k
·
·
-41k
656
·
14k
41k
12k
11k
25k
·
19k
2022
·
17k
38k
·
-2.1k
·
·
-45k
17k
13k
4.9k
·
43k
2023
6.3k
11k
12k
·
·
-16k
14k
14k
8.3k
-774
1.5k
·
49k
2024
·
18k
14k
18k
·
-2.9k
·
·
-35k
·
9.7k
-9.4k
13k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.61

Sortino Ratio

0.80

Profit Factor

1.47

Avg Win / Avg Loss

0.85

Avg Winner

$9,139.42

Avg Loser

-$10,747.12

Expectancy

$1,863.86

Recovery Factor

1.66

Max Drawdown ($)

$92,077.50

Max Drawdown (%)

71.61%

Max DD ($) Trough

194d

Max DD ($) Recovery

382d

Max DD (%) Trough

194d

Max DD (%) Recovery

382d

Commission

$563.75

Winning / Losing

52 / 30

Total Orders

164

Configuration

Strategy

Copper/Gold Pair Spread

Contracts

HG, GC

Timeframe

1D

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Lookback (days)

60

Entry z-score (absolute)

1.5

Exit z-score (absolute)

0.5

Side

Both sides

Copper contracts per trade

4

Gold contracts per trade

1

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

11

Max Consecutive Losses

5

Avg Consecutive Wins

2.6

Avg Consecutive Losses

1.6

Median Consecutive Wins

1.5

Median Consecutive Losses

1

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,291

Days Traded

41

Profitable Days

30

Daily Win Rate

73.17%

Avg Daily Return

$3,727.71

Std Dev Daily

$16,978.84

Max Daily Return

$24,726.25

Min Daily Return

-$44,933.75

Max EOD Drawdown

$83,367.50

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

05101520-$50k-$35k-$20k-$5.0k$10k$25k$30k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

02468-$46k-$34k-$22k-$10k$2.0k$14k$26k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
55101015151234567891011

Recent Daily P&L

Last 41 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

30W / 11L

Orders

164 orders generated by this run.