Sample Run

Random

NQ 1m · 2020-2024 · ensemble · NQ

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

-$16,044.00

Max Drawdown %

23.08%

Profit Factor

0.93

Win Rate

29.76%

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Total Trades

336

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
-1.9k
-2.0k
9
-2.0k
-2.0k
-2.0k
-2.0k
-1.5k
-994
3.9k
955
1.1k
-8.5k
2021
8.0k
-3.0k
-3.0k
-398
3.5k
2.4k
-1.1k
-866
3.4k
624
-2.1k
-2.0k
5.4k
2022
-3.0k
5.0k
-4.0k
2.0k
-4.0k
4
-5.0k
1.0k
2.6k
4.8k
-5.0k
4.7k
-1.0k
2023
-1.5k
-4.0k
-4.4k
7.2k
-6.1k
1.3k
2.5k
-4.0k
-3.5k
-1.0k
-3.2k
9.6k
-7.2k
2024
-1.3k
-5.0k
-309
5.0k
2.2k
-2.0k
-17
935
-6.1k
-6
5.0k
-3.0k
-4.6k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Profit Factor

0.93

Avg Win / Avg Loss

2.20

Avg Winner

$2,155.75

Avg Loser

-$981.44

Expectancy

-$47.75

Recovery Factor

-0.68

Max Drawdown ($)

$23,478.50

Max Drawdown (%)

23.08%

Max DD ($) Trough

878d

Max DD ($) Recovery

Not yet recovered

Max DD (%) Trough

878d

Max DD (%) Recovery

Not yet recovered

Commission

$924.00

Winning / Losing

100 / 236

Total Orders

1,060

Configuration

Strategy

Random

Contracts

NQ

Timeframe

1m

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Seed

42

Ensemble Size (N generators)

1000

Lower Skip Band (long probability)

0.485

Upper Skip Band (long probability)

0.515

Stop Loss (points)

50

Take Profit (points)

150

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

3

Max Consecutive Losses

12

Avg Consecutive Wins

1.4

Avg Consecutive Losses

3.1

Median Consecutive Wins

1

Median Consecutive Losses

3

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,293

Days Traded

333

Profitable Days

98

Daily Win Rate

29.43%

Avg Daily Return

-$48.18

Std Dev Daily

$1,560.90

Max Daily Return

$3,032.25

Min Daily Return

-$1,027.75

Max EOD Drawdown

$23,478.50

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

050100150-$1.2k-$400$400$1.2k$2.0k$2.8k$3.2k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

050100150-$1.2k-$400$400$1.2k$2.0k$2.8k$3.2k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
202040406060123456789101112

Recent Daily P&L

Last 120 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

37W / 83L

Orders

1,060 orders generated by this run.