Backtest Sample

Bullish Squeeze Alert

ES 15m · Bullish Squeeze Alert · 2020-2024 · ES

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

-$3,128.00

Max Drawdown %

8.73%

Profit Factor

0.83

Win Rate

53.26%

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Total Trades

92

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
·
-440
2.0k
·
·
45
1.5k
-90
279
470
457
197
4.4k
2021
260
-193
304
·
29
22
·
·
-86
592
370
35
1.3k
2022
-168
-1.4k
-418
292
222
-303
172
-990
-581
222
·
-1.8k
-4.8k
2023
110
-565
-843
35
-128
-221
-583
·
·
120
·
·
-2.1k
2024
257
-561
235
221
320
·
410
-415
120
-90
-1.0k
-1.5k
-2.0k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-0.34

Profit Factor

0.83

Avg Win / Avg Loss

0.73

Avg Winner

$307.45

Avg Loser

-$423.10

Expectancy

-$34.00

Recovery Factor

-0.34

Max Drawdown ($)

$9,270.75

Max Drawdown (%)

8.73%

Max DD ($) Trough

1090d

Max DD ($) Recovery

Not yet recovered

Max DD (%) Trough

1090d

Max DD (%) Recovery

Not yet recovered

Commission

$253.00

Winning / Losing

49 / 43

Total Orders

184

Configuration

Strategy

Candlestick Patterns

Contracts

ES

Timeframe

15m

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Pattern

Bullish Squeeze Alert

Hold bars

5

Contracts per trade

1

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

4

Max Consecutive Losses

5

Avg Consecutive Wins

1.9

Avg Consecutive Losses

1.6

Median Consecutive Wins

1

Median Consecutive Losses

1

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,293

Days Traded

91

Profitable Days

49

Daily Win Rate

53.85%

Avg Daily Return

-$34.37

Std Dev Daily

$533.71

Max Daily Return

$1,634.75

Min Daily Return

-$1,952.75

Max EOD Drawdown

$9,270.75

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

051015-$2.0k-$1.4k-$800-$200$400$1.0k$1.6k$1.7k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

051015-$2.0k-$1.4k-$800-$200$400$1.0k$1.6k$1.7k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
5510101515202012345

Recent Daily P&L

Last 89 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

48W / 41L

Orders

184 orders generated by this run.