Fractiz BETA
← Back to patterns Go to workspace

Pattern Detail

Bat

A deep 0.886 completion that lands close to the structure's extreme, letting a trade enter near it with a tight stop just beyond.

Completions

15

Completed Bat structures on NQ over the sample period

Win Rate (decided)

46.7%

Share of decided trades (15 wins plus losses) that hit the target before the stop

Avg Return

-0.04%

Mean outcome across every completion, signed so positive favours the trade

Outcome Breakdown

Wins

Count
7
Avg return
+0.48%

Losses

Count
8
Avg return
-0.49%

Timeouts

Count
0
Resolve window
60 bars
Median return: -0.11% Bullish: 9 Bearish: 6 Strictness: balanced (swing 3, tolerance 5.0%)

Recent Bat Completions (15)

Date Direction Entry Return Outcome
Feb 28, 2025 Bullish 20,558.75 +0.52% Win
Jan 14, 2025 Bearish 21,016.5 +0.72% Win
Sep 18, 2023 Bullish 15,391.25 -0.14% Loss
Sep 28, 2022 Bearish 11,492.5 -0.52% Loss
Sep 14, 2022 Bullish 12,137.5 -0.29% Loss
May 10, 2022 Bearish 12,458.75 +1.25% Win
Mar 26, 2020 Bullish 7,634.25 +0.01% Win
Jan 15, 2020 Bullish 9,071.25 -0.37% Loss
Feb 18, 2019 Bearish 7,074.75 -0.11% Loss
Sep 12, 2012 Bearish 2,791.5 +0.17% Win
Jul 20, 2012 Bullish 2,621 -0.29% Loss
Dec 7, 2009 Bullish 1,785 -0.46% Loss
Mar 24, 2009 Bearish 1,247.5 +0.50% Win
Nov 3, 2008 Bullish 1,335.75 +0.19% Win
Oct 7, 2008 Bullish 1,364.25 -1.71% Loss

Detection scan: NQ 15m · 2008-01-02 to 2026-04-24 · generated May 29, 2026

X A B C D
  • B = 0.382-0.5 of XA
  • C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
  • D = 1.618-2.618 of BC
  • D = 0.886 of XA
Idealized bullish Bat. The bearish form is the mirror image.

What this pattern measures

The Bat, defined by Scott Carney, is a five-point structure that looks like a Gartley but completes deeper. The B point is a shallow retracement of XA and the completion at D is a deep 0.886 retracement of XA, landing close to the X origin without quite reaching it.

This page measures what happened after each completed Bat, scored by the trade the structure implies: enter at the reversal point, target a 0.618 retracement of the move, stop just beyond the completion.

Definitions used on this page:

  • B retraces 0.382 to 0.500 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, D projects 1.618 to 2.618 of BC, and D lands at 0.886 of XA.
  • Pivots are confirmed swing highs and lows at balanced strictness: 3 bars on each side, with a 5% tolerance on every ratio. A pattern is counted only on the bar its final pivot confirms.
  • The implied trade enters at the close of the confirming bar, targets a 0.618 retracement of the structure, and stops just beyond D. It is given 60 bars to resolve before timing out.
  • Outcomes are measured on CME:NQ at 15-minute and 5-minute bars.

Why it matters

Because D sits so near X, the Bat lets a trade enter close to the structure’s extreme with a stop just beyond it, which makes the reward-to-risk attractive when the level holds. The shallow B keeps the pullback from looking like a full reversal, so the Bat reads as a deep retest of a level that defends. The same depth makes its failures fast: a break of the 0.886 level usually means a break of X, and the structure invalidates with little warning.

How to read the numbers

  • Win rate is the share of decided trades, wins plus losses, that reached the target before the stop. Timeouts are excluded and reported on their own.
  • Avg return is the mean outcome across every completed pattern, signed so positive favours the trade direction.
  • Avg win and avg loss split the decided trades into their winning and losing sides.
  • Bullish and bearish counts show which direction the structure completed in.

What’s not here

  • No trend filter and no confluence with prior levels, both of which traders normally require for a Bat.
  • No volume or momentum confirmation at the completion.
  • A single contract and two intraday timeframes.

Keep going

Explore this pattern further with live data.

Go to workspace