Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bat
A deep 0.886 completion that lands close to the structure's extreme, letting a trade enter near it with a tight stop just beyond.
- B = 0.382-0.5 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 1.618-2.618 of BC
- D = 0.886 of XA
- B = 0.382-0.5 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 1.618-2.618 of BC
- D = 0.886 of XA
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random long entry (-8.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.91×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.97R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.4% of the time vs 44.4% for a random long entry. The 8.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 140 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.4% | 44.4% | -8.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 16.4% | 22.6% | -6.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.7% | 12.5% | -1.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 45.9% | +4.1 |
| Went sideways | 13.6% | 9.7% | +3.9 |
140 occurrences · 136,704 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
54.1%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (+9.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 54.1% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry — a 9.5-point gap, wider than the ±8.0-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 54.1% | 44.6% | +9.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.1% | 24.2% | +6.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.6% | 14.1% | +5.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.5% | 47.6% | -7.1 |
| Went sideways | 5.4% | 7.8% | -2.4 |
148 occurrences · 136,054 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
Limited sample (36). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (-2.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.25×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.7% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 2.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 36 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.7% | 44.1% | -2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 16.7% | 22.7% | -6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 11.1% | 13.1% | -1.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 41.7% | 43.4% | -1.8 |
| Went sideways | 16.7% | 12.5% | +4.2 |
36 occurrences · 30,293 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (31). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
54.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random short entry (+10.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.91×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.38R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 54.8% of the time vs 44.3% for a random short entry. The 10.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±17.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 31 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 54.8% | 44.3% | +10.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.5% | 24.8% | +10.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.4% | 15.2% | +4.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 38.7% | 47.0% | -8.3 |
| Went sideways | 6.5% | 8.8% | -2.3 |
31 occurrences · 29,992 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (+1.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.47×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.28R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.5% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 1.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±29.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 11 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.5% | 44.1% | +1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.3% | 24.7% | +2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.2% | 15.7% | +2.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 36.4% | 42.7% | -6.3 |
| Went sideways | 18.2% | 13.2% | +5.0 |
11 occurrences · 10,656 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
71.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.0% for a random short entry (+28.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.35×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.76R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 71.4% of the time vs 43.0% for a random short entry. The 28.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 71.4% | 43.0% | +28.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 57.1% | 25.9% | +31.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 17.0% | -2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 14.3% | 47.1% | -32.8 |
| Went sideways | 14.3% | 9.9% | +4.4 |
7 occurrences · 10,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (-44.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 44.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.5% | -44.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.1% | -24.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.6% | -14.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 43.5% | +56.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.0% | -12.0 |
4 occurrences · 5,466 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
57.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random short entry (+13.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.57×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.31R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 57.1% of the time vs 44.0% for a random short entry. The 13.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 57.1% | 44.0% | +13.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 26.3% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 17.3% | -3.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 28.6% | 47.6% | -19.1 |
| Went sideways | 14.3% | 8.4% | +5.9 |
7 occurrences · 5,325 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (+56.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.66×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.70R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 56.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 43.8% | +56.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 26.7% | +73.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.2% | -17.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 50.6% | -50.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.6% | -5.6 |
1 occurrences · 2,611 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.1% for a random short entry (+59.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.32×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
3.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 40.1% for a random short entry. The 59.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 40.1% | +59.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 24.9% | +75.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 100.0% | 16.2% | +83.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 56.6% | -56.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
1 occurrences · 401 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (-1.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.33×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.6% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 101 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.6% | 44.3% | -1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.8% | 21.6% | -1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.9% | 11.6% | +2.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.6% | 45.7% | -1.2 |
| Went sideways | 12.9% | 10.0% | +2.9 |
101 occurrences · 100,574 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (80). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
52.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random short entry (+8.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.21R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 52.5% of the time vs 44.4% for a random short entry. The 8.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 80 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 52.5% | 44.4% | +8.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.3% | 23.0% | +3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.8% | 13.0% | +5.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 41.3% | 47.3% | -6.1 |
| Went sideways | 6.3% | 8.2% | -2.0 |
80 occurrences · 99,273 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.2%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (+1.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.28×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.21R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.2% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 1.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±19.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 26 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 26 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.2% | 44.3% | +1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.2% | 22.4% | -3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.4% | 12.5% | +2.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 30.8% | 43.3% | -12.6 |
| Went sideways | 23.1% | 12.4% | +10.7 |
26 occurrences · 26,201 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.2% for a random short entry (+5.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.13×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.40R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 44.2% for a random short entry. The 5.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 28 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 28 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 44.2% | +5.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.7% | 23.9% | +11.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 32.1% | 14.4% | +17.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.4% | 46.8% | -0.4 |
| Went sideways | 3.6% | 9.0% | -5.5 |
28 occurrences · 25,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (-11.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.74×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.69R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 11.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±39.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 44.5% | -11.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.7% | -24.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.0% | -15.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 42.4% | +24.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.1% | -13.1 |
6 occurrences · 9,935 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
70.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+26.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.30R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 70.0% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 26.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 70.0% | 43.3% | +26.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 25.5% | -5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 16.4% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 20.0% | 46.3% | -26.3 |
| Went sideways | 10.0% | 10.4% | -0.4 |
10 occurrences · 9,497 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (+15.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.29R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 15.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 44.3% | +15.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 23.3% | -3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 14.2% | +5.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 43.7% | -3.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.0% | -12.0 |
5 occurrences · 5,306 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (+14.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.05R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 14.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 45.2% | +14.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 26.5% | -6.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.9% | -16.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 46.6% | -6.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 8.2% | -8.2 |
5 occurrences · 5,060 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (+53.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.89×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 53.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 46.6% | +53.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 26.0% | +74.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.2% | -15.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 44.2% | -44.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.1% | -9.1 |
1 occurrences · 2,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (+54.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.37×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
3.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.21R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 54.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±69.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 45.2% | +54.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 28.0% | +72.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 100.0% | 19.0% | +81.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 49.7% | -49.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.1% | -5.1 |
2 occurrences · 2,539 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random long entry (-44.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.32×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.6% for a random long entry. The 44.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.6% | -44.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 18.9% | -18.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 8.5% | -8.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 41.5% | +58.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.9% | -13.9 |
1 occurrences · 424 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.2% for a random long entry (-47.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.96×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 47.2% for a random long entry. The 47.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±69.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 47.2% | -47.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 21.2% | -21.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 9.6% | -9.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 39.2% | +60.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.7% | -13.7 |
2 occurrences · 439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.9% for a random long entry (+1.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.09R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 42.9% for a random long entry. The 1.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 371 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 42.9% | +1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.4% | 22.4% | -0.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.4% | 12.8% | -0.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.2% | 46.3% | -2.0 |
| Went sideways | 11.6% | 10.9% | +0.7 |
371 occurrences · 393,642 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-0.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.09R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.2% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 0.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 375 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.2% | 43.6% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.9% | 23.3% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.0% | 13.5% | -1.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.0% | 46.4% | -2.4 |
| Went sideways | 12.8% | 10.0% | +2.8 |
375 occurrences · 391,020 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (-3.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.8% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 3.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 118 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.8% | 43.3% | -3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.5% | 22.8% | -3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.3% | 13.0% | -3.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.8% | 45.4% | +5.5 |
| Went sideways | 9.3% | 11.3% | -2.0 |
118 occurrences · 98,903 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random short entry (-3.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.03×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.6% of the time vs 44.1% for a random short entry. The 3.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 106 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.6% | 44.1% | -3.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.8% | 23.8% | -3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.2% | 14.0% | +0.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.2% | 45.9% | +1.3 |
| Went sideways | 12.3% | 10.0% | +2.3 |
106 occurrences · 97,699 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
Limited sample (38). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (+4.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.17×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.23R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.4% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 4.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 38 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.4% | 43.3% | +4.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 36.8% | 23.2% | +13.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.8% | 13.8% | +2.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.7% | 44.7% | -0.0 |
| Went sideways | 7.9% | 11.9% | -4.0 |
38 occurrences · 36,235 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (45). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
26.7%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random short entry (-17.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 26.7% of the time vs 43.9% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 26.7% | 43.9% | -17.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 24.3% | -4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 8.9% | 14.8% | -5.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.8% | 45.4% | +12.4 |
| Went sideways | 15.6% | 10.7% | +4.8 |
45 occurrences · 35,963 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
48.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.6% for a random long entry (+5.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 48.0% of the time vs 42.6% for a random long entry. The 5.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±19.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 25 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 25 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 48.0% | 42.6% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.0% | 23.5% | +4.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.0% | 14.0% | +2.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 36.0% | 44.1% | -8.1 |
| Went sideways | 16.0% | 13.2% | +2.8 |
25 occurrences · 18,830 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-7.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.06R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.4% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 7.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±20.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 22 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 22 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.4% | 43.6% | -7.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.7% | 24.3% | -1.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.6% | 15.2% | -1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.5% | 45.1% | +9.4 |
| Went sideways | 9.1% | 11.3% | -2.2 |
22 occurrences · 18,516 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random long entry (+5.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.91×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 44.6% for a random long entry. The 5.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±28.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 12 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 44.6% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 24.5% | +0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 8.3% | 14.8% | -6.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 44.9% | -11.6 |
| Went sideways | 16.7% | 10.5% | +6.2 |
12 occurrences · 9,536 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random short entry (+2.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.7% of the time vs 44.5% for a random short entry. The 2.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.7% | 44.5% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 25.7% | +1.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 15.7% | -2.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.7% | 46.5% | +0.2 |
| Went sideways | 6.7% | 9.0% | -2.3 |
15 occurrences · 9,392 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (-6.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 6.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 46.6% | -6.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 26.1% | -6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 16.1% | +3.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 44.5% | +15.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 8.9% | -8.9 |
5 occurrences · 2,338 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
62.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.5% for a random short entry (+16.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.46R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 62.5% of the time vs 46.5% for a random short entry. The 16.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 62.5% | 46.5% | +16.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 37.5% | 26.5% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 37.5% | 15.8% | +21.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 37.5% | 46.9% | -9.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.5% | -6.5 |
8 occurrences · 2,207 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (+2.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.4% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 2.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 361 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.4% | 43.3% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.6% | 22.9% | -1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.0% | 13.2% | -0.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 43.2% | 46.4% | -3.2 |
| Went sideways | 11.4% | 10.2% | +1.1 |
361 occurrences · 371,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
49.0%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random short entry (+5.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.27×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.21R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 49.0% of the time vs 43.5% for a random short entry — a 5.4-point gap, wider than the ±5.2-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 49.0% | 43.5% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.4% | 23.3% | +3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.6% | 13.5% | +1.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.4% | 46.5% | -4.1 |
| Went sideways | 8.6% | 9.9% | -1.3 |
349 occurrences · 369,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
Limited sample (92). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random long entry (+3.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.8% of the time vs 43.9% for a random long entry. The 3.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 92 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.8% | 43.9% | +3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.8% | 23.5% | -0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.0% | 13.6% | -0.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 43.5% | 45.1% | -1.7 |
| Went sideways | 8.7% | 11.0% | -2.3 |
92 occurrences · 92,926 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (90). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (+0.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.21×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.4% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 0.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 90 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 43.7% | +0.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.9% | 23.8% | -4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 14.0% | -0.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.2% | 45.8% | -3.5 |
| Went sideways | 13.3% | 10.5% | +2.8 |
90 occurrences · 92,675 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
Limited sample (38). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
52.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (+9.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 52.6% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 9.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 38 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 52.6% | 43.4% | +9.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.3% | 23.4% | +2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.9% | 13.8% | -5.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.1% | 44.4% | -2.3 |
| Went sideways | 5.3% | 12.2% | -6.9 |
38 occurrences · 34,385 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (32). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (-6.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.81×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.5% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 6.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±17.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 32 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.5% | 43.8% | -6.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.3% | 24.3% | +7.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 14.4% | +10.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.1% | 45.2% | +7.9 |
| Went sideways | 9.4% | 11.0% | -1.6 |
32 occurrences · 33,999 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.2%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.1% for a random long entry (+3.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.66×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.51R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.2% of the time vs 43.1% for a random long entry. The 3.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 13 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 13 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.2% | 43.1% | +3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 38.5% | 23.2% | +15.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 30.8% | 14.1% | +16.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 38.5% | 43.3% | -4.8 |
| Went sideways | 15.4% | 13.7% | +1.7 |
13 occurrences · 17,693 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-0.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.86×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 0.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 14 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 14 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 43.3% | -0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.4% | 24.4% | -2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.1% | 15.3% | -8.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 44.4% | +5.6 |
| Went sideways | 7.1% | 12.3% | -5.2 |
14 occurrences · 17,912 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random long entry (+6.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.89×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 43.5% for a random long entry. The 6.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 43.5% | +6.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 23.4% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 14.1% | -1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 45.5% | +4.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 11.0% | -11.0 |
8 occurrences · 9,070 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.9% for a random short entry (+15.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.83×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.52R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 44.9% for a random short entry. The 15.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 44.9% | +15.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 25.5% | +14.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.8% | -15.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 20.0% | 45.6% | -25.6 |
| Went sideways | 20.0% | 9.5% | +10.5 |
5 occurrences · 9,047 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random long entry (-43.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.74×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.35R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random long entry. The 43.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 43.8% | -43.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.4% | -23.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 11.5% | -11.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 48.7% | +1.3 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 7.5% | +42.5 |
2 occurrences · 2,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (-44.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.68×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry. The 44.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.6% | -44.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 25.5% | -25.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.0% | -15.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 48.6% | +51.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.8% | -6.8 |
1 occurrences · 2,319 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.1% for a random long entry (+52.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.72×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.19R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 47.1% for a random long entry. The 52.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 47.1% | +52.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.8% | -23.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.9% | -14.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 43.0% | -43.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 10.0% | -10.0 |
1 occurrences · 442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+0.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.4% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 0.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 235 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.4% | 42.5% | +0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.8% | 23.0% | +0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.5% | 13.6% | +0.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.1% | 46.8% | -1.7 |
| Went sideways | 11.5% | 10.7% | +0.8 |
235 occurrences · 276,772 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random short entry (-1.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.22×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.5% of the time vs 42.4% for a random short entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 222 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.5% | 42.4% | -1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.5% | 23.1% | -0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.1% | 13.7% | -0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 47.0% | +3.0 |
| Went sideways | 9.5% | 10.7% | -1.2 |
222 occurrences · 276,314 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
Limited sample (63). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (+1.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.06×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.4% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 1.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 63 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 43.4% | +1.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.6% | 23.4% | -2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.5% | 13.9% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.0% | 45.5% | +0.6 |
| Went sideways | 9.5% | 11.1% | -1.6 |
63 occurrences · 69,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
Limited sample (73). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-2.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.1% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 2.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 73 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.1% | 43.6% | -2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.9% | 23.6% | -1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.7% | 14.0% | -0.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.6% | 45.2% | +1.4 |
| Went sideways | 12.3% | 11.3% | +1.1 |
73 occurrences · 68,562 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
34.8%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.8% for a random long entry (-8.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.91R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 34.8% of the time vs 42.8% for a random long entry. The 8.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±20.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 23 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 23 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 34.8% | 42.8% | -8.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 13.0% | 23.8% | -10.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 8.7% | 14.6% | -5.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.8% | 45.4% | +2.5 |
| Went sideways | 17.4% | 11.9% | +5.5 |
23 occurrences · 25,869 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (-10.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 10.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±22.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 18 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 18 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 43.7% | -10.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 11.1% | 23.7% | -12.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 5.6% | 14.2% | -8.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.4% | 44.5% | -0.0 |
| Went sideways | 22.2% | 11.8% | +10.4 |
18 occurrences · 25,622 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
53.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random long entry (+11.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.18×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 53.3% of the time vs 42.4% for a random long entry. The 11.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 53.3% | 42.4% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 13.3% | 24.0% | -10.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 6.7% | 15.2% | -8.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 26.7% | 45.4% | -18.7 |
| Went sideways | 20.0% | 12.3% | +7.7 |
15 occurrences · 13,514 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-6.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.4% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 6.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±29.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 11 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.4% | 43.3% | -6.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.3% | 24.2% | +3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.2% | 15.2% | +3.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.5% | 44.1% | +1.4 |
| Went sideways | 18.2% | 12.6% | +5.6 |
11 occurrences · 13,523 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random long entry (-10.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 44.0% for a random long entry. The 10.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 44.0% | -10.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 24.4% | +8.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.0% | -15.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 46.4% | +20.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.6% | -9.6 |
3 occurrences · 6,841 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
12.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-30.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.06×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.63R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 12.5% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 30.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 12.5% | 43.3% | -30.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 12.5% | 25.0% | -12.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.7% | -14.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 87.5% | 46.5% | +41.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 10.1% | -10.1 |
8 occurrences · 6,967 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.1% for a random long entry (-46.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.36×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.19R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 46.1% for a random long entry. The 46.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 46.1% | -46.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 27.3% | -27.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.5% | -15.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 47.0% | +53.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.9% | -6.9 |
1 occurrences · 1,688 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Bat
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+6.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.26×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 6.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 43.3% | +6.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 22.3% | +27.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 50.0% | 12.5% | +37.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 48.0% | -48.0 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 8.7% | +41.3 |
2 occurrences · 1,722 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
The Bat, defined by Scott Carney, is a five-point structure, X to A to B to C to D, that looks like a Gartley but completes deeper. The signature is the completion: D sits at a 0.886 retracement of the whole X-to-A leg, landing close to the origin X without quite reaching it.
How to spot it
- A clear X-to-A trend leg, then a sequence of swings that pull back against it.
- B is a shallow retracement, 0.382 to 0.500 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, and D projects 1.618 to 2.618 of BC.
- D lands at a 0.886 retracement of XA, just short of the origin X. All four ratios hold at once.
- The structure completes at D, a swing low in an uptrend (a buy) or a swing high in a downtrend (a sell).
The chart above marks the X, A, B, C, D points on a real occurrence, with the ratio of each leg.
Why it matters
A Bat forms inside a trend. The X-to-A move is the trend leg, and everything after it is a pullback that runs deep then completes just short of the origin. D is read as the point where the pullback is spent and the original trend resumes. Because D sits so near X, the Bat lets a trade enter close to the structure’s extreme with a stop just beyond it, and the shallow B keeps the pullback from looking like a full reversal, so the Bat reads as a deep retest of a level that defends.
That places it among the retracement harmonics, alongside the Gartley, where the completion sits inside the prior move. The extension harmonics, the Butterfly and Crab, are the opposite case: D pushes past the origin, so they fade an overstretched move rather than buy a dip. The Bat is the deeper retest within the family, with the same depth cutting both ways. A break of the 0.886 level usually means a break of X, so its failures come fast and with little warning.
The honest question is not whether the shape can be drawn on a chart, it always can after the fact, but whether a completion actually leads anywhere. That is what the data below measures.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the question is not “did it win” but “how much room did the move offer before the structure was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each completion we measure the room price offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random swing pivot of the same kind would have done. A Bat that turns up from a swing low is judged against ordinary swing lows; one that turns down from a swing high, against ordinary swing highs. When the completion offers more room more often than those random swings, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Harmonic structures are rare, so read the sample size in view. On the slower timeframes a Bat completes only single digits of times, or not at all, while the faster timeframes give a larger sample. Thin samples are flagged for you.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the bar that confirms the D point, the earliest a trader could act without hindsight.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close to D itself, the swing extreme the structure completes at. A move back through D says the pattern has failed.
- We follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before D gave way.
- The comparison is a random swing pivot of the same side, which already sits at a turning point with a tight stop. That keeps it apples-to-apples: the question is whether a Bat swing runs further than an ordinary swing of the same shape, not whether a tight stop flatters the numbers.
What this page does not cover
- A profit target. Harmonic tradition puts one at a Fibonacci retracement, but where you take profit is a strategy choice, so this measures only the room the structure tends to offer.
- A trend filter, or confluence with support, resistance, or a higher-timeframe level, which traders normally use to weight a completion.
- A guarantee. A valid shape on the chart is a setup, not a certainty. What it tends to do next is exactly what the numbers above describe.
FAQ
Do harmonic patterns like the Bat actually work?
Harmonic patterns are described everywhere but rarely tested honestly. This page scores every completed Bat by the room it offered in units of its own risk, measured against random swing pivots of the same kind, and counts a pattern only on the bar its final pivot confirms, so nothing is read in hindsight. The result is a like-for-like comparison rather than the round-number success rates usually quoted for harmonics.
What is the Bat pattern success rate?
There is no single reliable figure, and the often-cited 70 to 80% numbers rarely specify instrument, timeframe, or test period, and almost never state what target and stop they assume. Rather than quote folklore, this page measures how far a completion runs in units of its own risk and whether that beats an ordinary swing of the same shape. The tabs show that comparison across five markets and seven timeframes.
How is the Bat defined here?
It is a five-point XABCD structure where B retraces 0.382 to 0.500 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, D projects 1.618 to 2.618 of BC, and D completes at 0.886 of XA, all holding at once within a 5% tolerance. Pivots use 3 bars on each side and are confirmed before they count.
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bearish | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bearish | 8.75 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 33.75 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bearish | 21.25 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bearish | 36.25 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bullish | 26.25 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Bearish | 11.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bullish | 21 | 2.64R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bearish | 13.25 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Bearish | 10.25 | 0.66R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Bullish | 47.5 | 0.51R | Stopped |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bullish | 34.25 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bullish | 7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Bearish | 8.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bullish | 30.25 | 0.72R | Flat |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Bearish | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Bearish | 5.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bullish | 29.5 | 0.54R | Flat |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Bearish | 16.75 | 1.34R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Bearish | 11.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bearish | 33.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Bearish | 41 | 0.65R | Flat |
| May 16, 2025 | Bullish | 61.75 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Bearish | 17.75 | 2.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Bullish | 28.25 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Bearish | 22 | 1.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Bearish | 15.25 | 0.98R | Stopped |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Bearish | 12.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 16, 2022 | Bearish | 63.75 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Bearish | 32.25 | 2.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Bullish | 24 | 0.02R | Stopped |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Bullish | 13 | 1.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Bullish | 9.5 | 2.42R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Bearish | 9.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Bullish | 34.5 | 0.61R | Flat |
| Jan 15, 2021 | Bullish | 16.5 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Bullish | 18.75 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2020 | Bullish | 18.5 | 0.96R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2020 | Bullish | 63.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Bearish | 19 | 0.13R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025 | Bullish | 74.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Bearish | 113.25 | 2.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Bullish | 12.25 | 2.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Bearish | 26.5 | 0.55R | Stopped |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Bullish | 19.5 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 10, 2022 | Bearish | 60.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Bullish | 203.25 | 0.71R | Flat |
| Jan 15, 2020 | Bullish | 27.75 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2019 | Bearish | 1.75 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2012 | Bearish | 5.5 | 2.95R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Bullish | 3 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 7, 2009 | Bullish | 6 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2009 | Bearish | 7.25 | 2.21R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 3, 2008 | Bullish | 13.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2008 | Bullish | 13 | 0.33R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (11)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Bearish | 163.5 | 2.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Bearish | 20.5 | 1.98R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Bearish | 309.25 | 0.67R | Flat |
| May 5, 2023 | Bearish | 28.25 | 0.37R | Stopped |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bullish | 68.75 | 0.45R | Stopped |
| Aug 2, 2021 | Bearish | 49.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Bearish | 53.25 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Bullish | 27.5 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2015 | Bearish | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Bullish | 4 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2008 | Bullish | 50.25 | 0.14R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2014 | 5 | 2.70R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2020 | 246 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Bullish | 4.25 | 1.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 4.5 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Bearish | 10.25 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Bullish | 5.75 | 0.78R | Flat |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bullish | 6 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bullish | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Bearish | 2 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Bullish | 2 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Bearish | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Bullish | 4.25 | 0.47R | Flat |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.82R | Stopped |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Bearish | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Bearish | 5.75 | 0.57R | Flat |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Bullish | 2.25 | 1.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Bullish | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Bearish | 3.75 | 0.73R | Flat |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Bearish | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Bullish | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 23, 2024 | Bullish | 2.75 | 2.64R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 22, 2024 | Bullish | 0.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Bearish | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Bullish | 4 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Bearish | 8 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Bullish | 8.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Bullish | 26.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Bearish | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 8, 2024 | Bearish | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Bullish | 4.5 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Bullish | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Bearish | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Bullish | 7.5 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Bullish | 13.25 | 1.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Bullish | 15.75 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bullish | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 11, 2021 | Bearish | 13 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2021 | Bullish | 14.25 | 0.40R | Flat |
| May 15, 2020 | Bearish | 6.5 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2020 | Bullish | 9.25 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2020 | Bearish | 5.75 | 0.22R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2020 | Bullish | 8.75 | 0.80R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (14)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | Bullish | 8.25 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Bearish | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 8, 2022 | Bullish | 27.5 | 1.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Bullish | 6 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Bearish | 7.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Bearish | 7 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Sep 27, 2019 | Bearish | 9.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 13, 2018 | Bearish | 2.75 | 1.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 6, 2017 | Bearish | 4 | 1.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 19, 2017 | Bullish | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2016 | Bearish | 4.25 | 1.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2013 | Bullish | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 5, 2009 | Bullish | 3.5 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2009 | Bearish | 11.25 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (9)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2022 | Bearish | 29 | 2.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Bullish | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Bullish | 15.25 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2019 | Bullish | 6.25 | 1.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 21, 2019 | Bullish | 8.75 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2016 | Bearish | 4.5 | 1.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 28, 2016 | Bearish | 6.5 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2009 | Bearish | 16.25 | 0.45R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2008 | Bullish | 10 | 1.32R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2022 | Bullish | 31.5 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 16, 2020 | Bearish | 12.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2008 | Bearish | 15.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 70.75 | 0.25R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 58.5 | 0.24R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2015 | 22.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bearish | 1.9 | 0.37R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Bearish | 2.9 | 2.69R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Bearish | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 9.2 | 0.29R | Flat |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 9.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bullish | 5.2 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bullish | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bearish | 8.3 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bullish | 7.5 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Bearish | 15.3 | 1.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Bullish | 12.7 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bullish | 4.7 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Bearish | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bullish | 6.3 | 2.16R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Bearish | 4.2 | 1.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Bearish | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bullish | 25.1 | 0.28R | Flat |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bullish | 1.3 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Bullish | 3.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Bullish | 4.7 | 0.36R | Flat |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Bullish | 7.6 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Bullish | 13.4 | 2.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Bearish | 18.2 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Bearish | 6.2 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Bearish | 3.5 | 1.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Bullish | 7 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bearish | 5.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Bullish | 3.3 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bearish | 1.7 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Bearish | 2.7 | 0.19R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Bullish | 2.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 28, 2025 | Bearish | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 1, 2025 | Bullish | 7 | 0.64R | Flat |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Bearish | 7.1 | 0.87R | Flat |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Bearish | 4.4 | 0.89R | Flat |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Bullish | 3.2 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Bullish | 5.4 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bullish | 7.4 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Bullish | 1.5 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Bearish | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Bullish | 10.2 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Bearish | 35.1 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bullish | 14.4 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| May 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Bullish | 4.6 | 2.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Bullish | 1.8 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Bullish | 5.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Bearish | 4.8 | 0.85R | Flat |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Bearish | 2.6 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Bearish | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2022 | Bearish | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Bearish | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2022 | Bullish | 8 | 0.39R | Flat |
| Aug 12, 2021 | Bearish | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Bullish | 3.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 25, 2020 | Bearish | 2.5 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| May 4, 2020 | Bullish | 3.8 | 2.03R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2020 | Bearish | 3.7 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2020 | Bullish | 13.9 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 22, 2019 | Bearish | 2.6 | 0.12R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bullish | 53.8 | 2.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Bearish | 28.9 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Bullish | 21.9 | 1.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Bullish | 22.3 | 0.46R | Flat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Bearish | 8.5 | 0.26R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Bearish | 5.7 | 0.37R | Flat |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Bearish | 2 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Bearish | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Bullish | 2.9 | 2.79R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2022 | Bullish | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2022 | Bullish | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 31, 2022 | Bearish | 0.7 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Bearish | 2.8 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Jan 10, 2020 | Bullish | 1.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Bearish | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Bullish | 3 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Bullish | 2.6 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2019 | Bullish | 1.3 | 2.23R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2019 | Bullish | 2.4 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2017 | Bearish | 1.5 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bearish | 6.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Bearish | 5.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Bearish | 2.5 | 1.84R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Bearish | 1.8 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 24, 2019 | Bearish | 7.1 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| Jan 17, 2019 | Bullish | 3.6 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2019 | Bullish | 5.3 | 1.02R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Bearish | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Bearish | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2016 | Bullish | 7.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2015 | Bearish | 2.2 | 1.32R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 27, 2015 | Bearish | 5.1 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Nov 24, 2014 | Bullish | 4.2 | 1.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2012 | Bearish | 5.4 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2012 | Bullish | 15.3 | 0.66R | Flat |
| Feb 14, 2011 | Bearish | 5.3 | 0.32R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2011 | Bearish | 9.3 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2009 | Bullish | 5.2 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| Jul 10, 2009 | Bullish | 2.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 19, 2009 | Bullish | 2.7 | 2.41R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (13)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | Bearish | 11.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Bearish | 10.2 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Bearish | 5.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2020 | Bullish | 20.6 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Bullish | 3.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 17, 2019 | Bullish | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2017 | Bearish | 7.3 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Bearish | 7.4 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 4, 2014 | Bullish | 12.7 | 1.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2013 | Bullish | 7.1 | 0.01R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2009 | Bearish | 14 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 24, 2009 | Bearish | 4.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 5, 2008 | Bearish | 9.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Bearish | 0.07 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bullish | 0.19 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bearish | 0.06 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bullish | 0.08 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Bearish | 0.2 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Bullish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bullish | 0.21 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bullish | 0.3 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.04 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bearish | 0.11 | 0.73R | Flat |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.06 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.06 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Bearish | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Bearish | 0.07 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Bearish | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Bullish | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Bearish | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Bullish | 0.12 | 0.75R | Flat |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Bullish | 0.07 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Bullish | 0.07 | 0.43R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bearish | 0.84 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bullish | 0.34 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Bullish | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Bullish | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.04 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Bullish | 0.09 | 0.78R | Stopped |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Bullish | 0.05 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Bearish | 0.08 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Bearish | 0.41 | 2.32R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Bullish | 0.1 | 2.90R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Bullish | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Bullish | 0.14 | 2.79R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Bearish | 0.26 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Bearish | 0.19 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Bullish | 0.09 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| May 21, 2024 | Bullish | 0.1 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Bullish | 0.13 | 0.62R | Flat |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Bearish | 0.22 | 0.14R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Bearish | 0.54 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Bullish | 0.77 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Bullish | 0.72 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Bearish | 0.22 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bearish | 0.07 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Bullish | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Bullish | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 24, 2024 | Bullish | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Bullish | 0.09 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Bearish | 0.42 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Bearish | 0.32 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Bullish | 0.15 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Bearish | 0.21 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Bearish | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Bearish | 1.36 | 0.88R | Flat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Bearish | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2021 | Bullish | 0.44 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Bullish | 0.09 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Bearish | 0.16 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Bearish | 0.69 | 0.49R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bearish | 0.42 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Bullish | 0.19 | 2.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2023 | Bearish | 0.33 | 0.85R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Bullish | 0.22 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Bullish | 0.84 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Bearish | 0.3 | 1.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Bullish | 0.77 | 1.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Bearish | 0.2 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Bullish | 0.11 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Bullish | 0.09 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2014 | Bearish | 0.4 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Oct 15, 2013 | Bullish | 0.79 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2013 | Bearish | 0.25 | 2.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 20, 2011 | Bearish | 0.46 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2011 | Bearish | 0.95 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 8, 2010 | Bullish | 0.41 | 0.54R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2010 | Bearish | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2010 | Bullish | 0.31 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Jun 15, 2010 | Bearish | 0.42 | 0.26R | Stopped |
| May 26, 2010 | Bearish | 0.24 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (11)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2023 | Bullish | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Bullish | 1.09 | 2.94R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 10, 2021 | Bearish | 0.48 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Bullish | 0.42 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 3, 2017 | Bearish | 0.23 | 1.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2015 | Bullish | 0.32 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2015 | Bullish | 0.72 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Jun 11, 2013 | Bullish | 0.79 | 1.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 24, 2011 | Bearish | 0.6 | 2.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 8, 2010 | Bullish | 0.5 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2009 | Bearish | 1.02 | 0.59R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Bullish | 2.58 | 0.71R | Flat |
| Sep 26, 2014 | Bearish | 1.07 | 0.22R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2013 | Bullish | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2010 | 5.36 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Bullish | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.005 | 2.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bearish | 0.004 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bearish | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Bearish | 0.012 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bearish | 0.007 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Bearish | 0.015 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Bullish | 0.005 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bullish | 0.002 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bullish | 0.019 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Bullish | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Bullish | 0.005 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Bullish | 0.003 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Bearish | 0.004 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.22R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Bullish | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Bearish | 0.003 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.20R | Flat |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bullish | 0.033 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bullish | 0.018 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bearish | 0.032 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Bearish | 0.02 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Bullish | 0.01 | 0.90R | Flat |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Bullish | 0.005 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Bearish | 0.01 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Bullish | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Jul 11, 2024 | Bearish | 0.004 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 23, 2024 | Bullish | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Bearish | 0.003 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Bullish | 0.019 | 0.32R | Stopped |
| Aug 2, 2023 | Bullish | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Bullish | 0.017 | 1.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Bullish | 0.027 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Bullish | 0.021 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Jan 4, 2023 | Bearish | 0.016 | 1.69R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Bearish | 0.019 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Bullish | 0.022 | 0.68R | Flat |
| Jul 9, 2024 | Bullish | 0.009 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Bullish | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Bearish | 0.04 | 1.68R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Bullish | 0.009 | 0.78R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Bullish | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Bearish | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Bullish | 0.045 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2022 | Bullish | 0.131 | 0.40R | Flat |
| May 20, 2022 | Bullish | 0.054 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| May 6, 2022 | Bullish | 0.099 | 0.68R | Flat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Bullish | 0.035 | 0.94R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Bearish | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 3, 2020 | Bullish | 0.013 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Jul 15, 2020 | Bearish | 0.004 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 3, 2020 | Bullish | 0.026 | 0.38R | Flat |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Bullish | 0.02 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 19, 2020 | Bearish | 0.029 | 0.72R | Flat |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Bullish | 0.037 | 1.03R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bat Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bearish | 0.022 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Bullish | 0.033 | 1.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2023 | Bullish | 0.079 | 0.42R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Bullish | 0.119 | 2.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Bullish | 0.042 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| May 11, 2021 | Bullish | 0.011 | 0.73R | Stopped |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Bearish | 0.018 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2020 | Bullish | 0.019 | 0.95R | Flat |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Bearish | 0.012 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 15, 2018 | Bullish | 0.032 | 1.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2017 | Bearish | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 8, 2016 | Bearish | 0.045 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Bearish | 0.022 | 0.82R | Stopped |
| Sep 7, 2015 | Bullish | 0.028 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 7, 2012 | Bearish | 0.032 | 0.72R | Flat |
| Jan 18, 2011 | Bullish | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 7, 2010 | Bullish | 0.034 | 1.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2010 | Bullish | 0.065 | 1.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2009 | Bearish | 0.082 | 2.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 11, 2008 | Bullish | 0.056 | 0.39R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (11)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bearish | 0.069 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Bearish | 0.045 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Bearish | 0.095 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Bearish | 0.033 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2017 | Bullish | 0.031 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Jul 8, 2016 | Bearish | 0.038 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Jul 1, 2016 | Bearish | 0.021 | 2.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Bearish | 0.025 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Bullish | 0.106 | 2.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 11, 2011 | Bearish | 0.041 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| May 28, 2008 | Bullish | 0.273 | 0.33R | Stopped |
Sample Bat Completions (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | Bearish | 0.123 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2018 | Bullish | 0.025 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample backtests (6)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.
ES 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 64.71%
- Profit factor
- 1.05
- Max drawdown
- 1.30%
GC 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 40.00%
- Profit factor
- 0.80
- Max drawdown
- 1.89%
GC 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 50.88%
- Profit factor
- 0.85
- Max drawdown
- 3.05%
NQ 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 60.00%
- Profit factor
- 0.58
- Max drawdown
- 4.85%
ES 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 52.17%
- Profit factor
- 0.50
- Max drawdown
- 5.25%
NQ 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Bat · balanced
- Win rate
- 46.15%
- Profit factor
- 0.47
- Max drawdown
- 10.63%