Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Deep Crab
A Crab variant with a deeper 0.886 B point, completing at the same 1.618 extension.
- B = 0.886 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 2.0-3.618 of BC
- D = 1.618 of XA
- B = 0.886 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 2.0-3.618 of BC
- D = 1.618 of XA
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random long entry (-1.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.6% of the time vs 44.4% for a random long entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 122 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.6% | 44.4% | -1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.0% | 22.6% | +0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.6% | 12.5% | +3.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.9% | 45.9% | +0.0 |
| Went sideways | 11.5% | 9.7% | +1.8 |
122 occurrences · 136,704 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (-2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.9% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 136 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.9% | 44.6% | -2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.1% | 24.2% | -2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.7% | 14.1% | +0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 48.5% | 47.6% | +0.9 |
| Went sideways | 9.6% | 7.8% | +1.8 |
136 occurrences · 136,054 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
57.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (+13.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.45×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.32R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 57.1% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 13.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±21.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 21 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 21 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 57.1% | 44.1% | +13.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.0% | 22.7% | -3.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.0% | 13.1% | +6.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 38.1% | 43.4% | -5.3 |
| Went sideways | 4.8% | 12.5% | -7.7 |
21 occurrences · 30,293 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
53.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random short entry (+9.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.07×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.44R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 53.6% of the time vs 44.3% for a random short entry. The 9.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 28 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 28 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 53.6% | 44.3% | +9.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.7% | 24.8% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 15.2% | +9.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.9% | 47.0% | -4.1 |
| Went sideways | 3.6% | 8.8% | -5.2 |
28 occurrences · 29,992 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (+5.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.21×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 5.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 44.1% | +5.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 24.7% | -4.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 15.7% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 42.7% | +7.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.2% | -13.2 |
10 occurrences · 10,656 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.0% for a random short entry (+23.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.80R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 43.0% for a random short entry. The 23.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±39.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 43.0% | +23.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 66.7% | 25.9% | +40.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 17.0% | +16.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 47.1% | -13.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.9% | -9.9 |
6 occurrences · 10,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (-11.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.29R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 11.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 44.5% | -11.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 24.1% | +9.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 14.6% | +18.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 43.5% | +23.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.0% | -12.0 |
3 occurrences · 5,466 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
57.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random short entry (+13.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.43×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.50R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 57.1% of the time vs 44.0% for a random short entry. The 13.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 57.1% | 44.0% | +13.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 42.9% | 26.3% | +16.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 42.9% | 17.3% | +25.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 28.6% | 47.6% | -19.1 |
| Went sideways | 14.3% | 8.4% | +5.9 |
7 occurrences · 5,325 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 48.1% for a random long entry (+11.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.25×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.95R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.24R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 48.1% for a random long entry. The 11.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 48.1% | +11.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 60.0% | 27.8% | +32.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 60.0% | 15.9% | +44.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 42.8% | -2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.1% | -9.1 |
5 occurrences · 2,616 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (-43.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.53R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 43.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 43.8% | -43.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.7% | -26.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.2% | -17.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 50.6% | +49.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.6% | -5.6 |
1 occurrences · 2,611 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Deep Crab
Limited sample (59). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
49.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (+4.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 49.2% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 4.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 59 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 49.2% | 44.3% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.7% | 21.6% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.6% | 11.6% | +2.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.8% | 45.7% | +0.0 |
| Went sideways | 5.1% | 10.0% | -4.9 |
59 occurrences · 100,574 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random short entry (-6.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.6% of the time vs 44.4% for a random short entry. The 6.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 101 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.6% | 44.4% | -6.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 16.8% | 23.0% | -6.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 8.9% | 13.0% | -4.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.5% | 47.3% | +4.1 |
| Went sideways | 10.9% | 8.2% | +2.7 |
101 occurrences · 99,273 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (-2.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.29×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.1% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 2.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±22.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 19 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 19 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.1% | 44.3% | -2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.6% | 22.4% | +9.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.3% | 12.5% | +13.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.1% | 43.3% | -1.2 |
| Went sideways | 15.8% | 12.4% | +3.4 |
19 occurrences · 26,201 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.2% for a random short entry (+15.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.32×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.43R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 44.2% for a random short entry. The 15.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±19.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 25 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 25 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 44.2% | +15.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 36.0% | 23.9% | +12.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 14.4% | +5.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 32.0% | 46.8% | -14.8 |
| Went sideways | 8.0% | 9.0% | -1.0 |
25 occurrences · 25,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (-1.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 1.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 44.5% | -1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 24.7% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 15.0% | -0.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.1% | 42.4% | +14.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.1% | -13.1 |
7 occurrences · 9,935 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-5.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.68×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.5% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 5.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.5% | 43.3% | -5.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 12.5% | 25.5% | -13.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 16.4% | -3.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 46.3% | -21.3 |
| Went sideways | 37.5% | 10.4% | +27.1 |
8 occurrences · 9,497 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
25.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (-19.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.71×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.69R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 19.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 25.0% | 44.3% | -19.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.3% | -23.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.2% | -14.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 43.7% | -18.7 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 12.0% | +38.0 |
4 occurrences · 5,306 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
75.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (+29.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.72×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.46R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 75.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 29.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 75.0% | 45.2% | +29.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 26.5% | -1.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 16.9% | +8.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 46.6% | -46.6 |
| Went sideways | 25.0% | 8.2% | +16.8 |
4 occurrences · 5,060 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (+3.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.45R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 3.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 46.6% | +3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 26.0% | -1.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 15.2% | +9.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 44.2% | -19.2 |
| Went sideways | 25.0% | 9.1% | +15.9 |
4 occurrences · 2,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (-45.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.32×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.59R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.21R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 45.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 45.2% | -45.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 28.0% | -28.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 19.0% | -19.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 49.7% | +50.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.1% | -5.1 |
1 occurrences · 2,539 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.9% for a random long entry (-2.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.13×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.04R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.4% of the time vs 42.9% for a random long entry. The 2.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 329 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.4% | 42.9% | -2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.6% | 22.4% | -0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.3% | 12.8% | -2.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.7% | 46.3% | -1.6 |
| Went sideways | 14.9% | 10.9% | +4.0 |
329 occurrences · 393,642 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-2.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.12×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.4% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 2.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 319 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.4% | 43.6% | -2.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.8% | 23.3% | -4.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.1% | 13.5% | -4.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.8% | 46.4% | -0.6 |
| Went sideways | 12.9% | 10.0% | +2.8 |
319 occurrences · 391,020 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
Limited sample (67). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (+1.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.16R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.8% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 1.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 67 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.8% | 43.3% | +1.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.9% | 22.8% | +1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.9% | 13.0% | +1.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.3% | 45.4% | -5.1 |
| Went sideways | 14.9% | 11.3% | +3.6 |
67 occurrences · 98,903 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random short entry (-1.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.06R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.1% of the time vs 44.1% for a random short entry. The 1.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 102 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.1% | 44.1% | -1.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.6% | 23.8% | -5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.8% | 14.0% | -3.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.2% | 45.9% | -3.7 |
| Went sideways | 14.7% | 10.0% | +4.7 |
102 occurrences · 97,699 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
Limited sample (34). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (-5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.60×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.2% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 34 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.2% | 43.3% | -5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 17.6% | 23.2% | -5.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 8.8% | 13.8% | -4.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 44.7% | +5.3 |
| Went sideways | 11.8% | 11.9% | -0.2 |
34 occurrences · 36,235 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
Limited sample (35). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
31.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random short entry (-12.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 31.4% of the time vs 43.9% for a random short entry. The 12.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 35 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 31.4% | 43.9% | -12.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 24.3% | -4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.1% | 14.8% | +2.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 45.4% | +14.6 |
| Went sideways | 8.6% | 10.7% | -2.1 |
35 occurrences · 35,963 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
30.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.6% for a random long entry (-12.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.77R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 30.0% of the time vs 42.6% for a random long entry. The 12.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±21.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 20 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 20 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 30.0% | 42.6% | -12.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 5.0% | 23.5% | -18.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 5.0% | 14.0% | -9.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 44.1% | +5.9 |
| Went sideways | 20.0% | 13.2% | +6.8 |
20 occurrences · 18,830 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
22.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-20.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.72R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 22.7% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 22 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 22.7% | 43.6% | -20.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.2% | 24.3% | -6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.1% | 15.2% | -6.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 45.1% | +18.5 |
| Went sideways | 13.6% | 11.3% | +2.3 |
22 occurrences · 18,516 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
27.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random long entry (-17.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.37×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 27.3% of the time vs 44.6% for a random long entry. The 17.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±29.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 11 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 27.3% | 44.6% | -17.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.3% | 24.5% | +2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.1% | 14.8% | -5.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 44.9% | +18.7 |
| Went sideways | 9.1% | 10.5% | -1.4 |
11 occurrences · 9,536 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random short entry (+22.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.14×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.57R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 44.5% for a random short entry. The 22.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±39.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 44.5% | +22.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 25.7% | +7.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 15.7% | +17.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 46.5% | -13.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.0% | -9.0 |
6 occurrences · 9,392 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (-46.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.72×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 46.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 46.6% | -46.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.1% | -26.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.1% | -16.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 44.5% | +5.5 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 8.9% | +41.1 |
4 occurrences · 2,338 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (-3.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.21×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.5% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 3.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 311 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.5% | 43.3% | -3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.3% | 22.9% | -4.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.0% | 13.2% | -3.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.9% | 46.4% | +1.5 |
| Went sideways | 12.5% | 10.2% | +2.3 |
311 occurrences · 371,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random short entry (+0.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 43.5% for a random short entry. The 0.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 308 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 43.5% | +0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.1% | 23.3% | -2.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.3% | 13.5% | -1.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 43.5% | 46.5% | -3.0 |
| Went sideways | 12.3% | 9.9% | +2.4 |
308 occurrences · 369,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
Limited sample (81). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
49.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random long entry (+5.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.26R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 49.4% of the time vs 43.9% for a random long entry. The 5.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 81 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 49.4% | 43.9% | +5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.4% | 23.5% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.8% | 13.6% | +6.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.7% | 45.1% | -4.4 |
| Went sideways | 9.9% | 11.0% | -1.1 |
81 occurrences · 92,926 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
Limited sample (96). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
35.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (-8.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 35.4% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 8.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 96 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 35.4% | 43.7% | -8.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 21.9% | 23.8% | -1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 14.0% | -1.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.1% | 45.8% | +6.3 |
| Went sideways | 12.5% | 10.5% | +2.0 |
96 occurrences · 92,675 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (-1.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.3% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 1.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±19.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 26 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 26 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.3% | 43.4% | -1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.1% | 23.4% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.2% | 13.8% | +5.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.2% | 44.4% | +1.7 |
| Went sideways | 11.5% | 12.2% | -0.6 |
26 occurrences · 34,385 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
Limited sample (34). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (+3.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.1% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 3.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 34 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 43.8% | +3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.4% | 24.3% | +5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.6% | 14.4% | +6.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 38.2% | 45.2% | -7.0 |
| Went sideways | 14.7% | 11.0% | +3.7 |
34 occurrences · 33,999 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.1% for a random long entry (-1.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.26R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.7% of the time vs 43.1% for a random long entry. The 1.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±28.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 12 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.7% | 43.1% | -1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 23.2% | +1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.7% | 14.1% | +2.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 43.3% | -18.3 |
| Went sideways | 33.3% | 13.7% | +19.7 |
12 occurrences · 17,693 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-4.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.83×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.01R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.5% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 4.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 13 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 13 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.5% | 43.3% | -4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.1% | 24.4% | -1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.7% | 15.3% | -7.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.5% | 44.4% | +17.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.3% | -12.3 |
13 occurrences · 17,912 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
20.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random long entry (-23.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.74×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.84R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 20.0% of the time vs 43.5% for a random long entry. The 23.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 20.0% | 43.5% | -23.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 23.4% | -3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 14.1% | +5.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 45.5% | -5.5 |
| Went sideways | 40.0% | 11.0% | +29.0 |
5 occurrences · 9,070 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
14.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.9% for a random short entry (-30.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.76×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.38R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 14.3% of the time vs 44.9% for a random short entry. The 30.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 14.3% | 44.9% | -30.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 25.5% | -25.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.8% | -15.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 85.7% | 45.6% | +40.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.5% | -9.5 |
7 occurrences · 9,047 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
25.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random long entry (-18.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.68R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random long entry. The 18.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 25.0% | 43.8% | -18.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 23.4% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 11.5% | -11.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 75.0% | 48.7% | +26.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 7.5% | -7.5 |
4 occurrences · 2,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (+22.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.29×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.72R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry. The 22.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±39.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 44.6% | +22.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 25.5% | +24.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 15.0% | +18.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 48.6% | -15.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.8% | -6.8 |
6 occurrences · 2,319 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.1% for a random long entry (+52.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.52×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.44R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.19R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 47.1% for a random long entry. The 52.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 47.1% | +52.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 23.8% | +76.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.9% | -14.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 43.0% | -43.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 10.0% | -10.0 |
1 occurrences · 442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+3.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.25×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.16R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.4% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 3.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 183 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.4% | 42.5% | +3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.9% | 23.0% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.4% | 13.6% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 38.8% | 46.8% | -8.0 |
| Went sideways | 14.8% | 10.7% | +4.1 |
183 occurrences · 276,772 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random short entry (-2.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.2% of the time vs 42.4% for a random short entry. The 2.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 189 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.2% | 42.4% | -2.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.1% | 23.1% | -3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.9% | 13.7% | -5.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.0% | 47.0% | -2.0 |
| Went sideways | 14.8% | 10.7% | +4.1 |
189 occurrences · 276,314 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
Limited sample (61). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (+4.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.5% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 4.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 61 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.5% | 43.4% | +4.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 24.6% | 23.4% | +1.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.7% | 13.9% | +5.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.6% | 45.5% | -2.8 |
| Went sideways | 9.8% | 11.1% | -1.3 |
61 occurrences · 69,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
Limited sample (57). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (+2.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.28×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.19R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.6% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 2.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 57 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.6% | 43.6% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.1% | 23.6% | +4.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.5% | 14.0% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 49.1% | 45.2% | +3.9 |
| Went sideways | 5.3% | 11.3% | -6.0 |
57 occurrences · 68,562 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.8%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.8% for a random long entry (+5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.8% of the time vs 42.8% for a random long entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±20.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 23 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 23 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.8% | 42.8% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.1% | 23.8% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.4% | 14.6% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 39.1% | 45.4% | -6.2 |
| Went sideways | 13.0% | 11.9% | +1.2 |
23 occurrences · 25,869 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (-10.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.91×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 10.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±22.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 18 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 18 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 43.7% | -10.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.2% | 23.7% | -1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 14.2% | +8.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.4% | 44.5% | -0.0 |
| Went sideways | 22.2% | 11.8% | +10.4 |
18 occurrences · 25,622 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random long entry (-2.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.96R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 42.4% for a random long entry. The 2.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 42.4% | -2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 13.3% | 24.0% | -10.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 6.7% | 15.2% | -8.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.7% | 45.4% | +1.3 |
| Went sideways | 13.3% | 12.3% | +1.1 |
15 occurrences · 13,514 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
57.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+13.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.53R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 57.1% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 13.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 14 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 14 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 57.1% | 43.3% | +13.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.7% | 24.2% | +11.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 35.7% | 15.2% | +20.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 28.6% | 44.1% | -15.5 |
| Went sideways | 14.3% | 12.6% | +1.7 |
14 occurrences · 13,523 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
75.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random long entry (+31.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 75.0% of the time vs 44.0% for a random long entry. The 31.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 75.0% | 44.0% | +31.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 12.5% | 24.4% | -11.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.0% | -15.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 25.0% | 46.4% | -21.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.6% | -9.6 |
8 occurrences · 6,841 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Deep Crab
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-14.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.6% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 14.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.6% | 43.3% | -14.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 14.3% | 25.0% | -10.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 14.7% | -0.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.9% | 46.5% | -3.7 |
| Went sideways | 28.6% | 10.1% | +18.5 |
7 occurrences · 6,967 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
The Deep Crab is a Crab variant with one change: the B point retraces a deep 0.886 of the X-to-A leg instead of the Crab’s shallower 0.382 to 0.618. It is a five-point structure, X to A to B to C to D, defined by Fibonacci ratios between the legs. The signature is the completion: D extends to a 1.618 extension of the whole X-to-A leg, beyond the origin X.
How to spot it
- A clear X-to-A trend leg, then a deep pullback that runs almost the full length of it.
- B retraces 0.886 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, and D projects 2.0 to 3.618 of BC.
- D lands at a 1.618 extension of XA, beyond the origin X. All four ratios hold at once.
- The structure completes at D, a swing low in an uptrend (a buy) or a swing high in a downtrend (a sell).
The chart above marks the X, A, B, C, D points on a real occurrence, with the ratio of each leg.
Why it matters
A Deep Crab is a bet on exhaustion at a far overshoot. The deep B point means the pullback inside the structure runs almost the full length of the first leg before the extension begins, and the C-to-D leg then projects price well past the prior origin into a measured extension. Because D pushes beyond X, the Deep Crab fades an overstretched move rather than buying a dip, with the same read as the Crab. The deeper retracement is sometimes taken as a sign of a more decisive structure.
That places it among the extension harmonics, alongside the Crab, where the completion sits beyond the origin. The retracement harmonics, the Gartley and Bat, are the opposite case: D stays short of X, so they buy a dip inside the prior move rather than fade a new high or low. The Deep Crab is a counter-trend member of the family, which is also where it is dangerous: fading a violent move that does not stop, and because the deep B sits close to the origin, a shape that looked like a Deep Crab can resolve as a simple trend continuation instead.
The honest question is not whether the shape can be drawn on a chart, it always can after the fact, but whether a completion actually leads anywhere. That is what the data below measures.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the question is not “did it win” but “how much room did the move offer before the structure was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each completion we measure the room price offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random swing pivot of the same kind would have done. A Deep Crab that turns up from a swing low is judged against ordinary swing lows; one that turns down from a swing high, against ordinary swing highs. When the completion offers more room more often than those random swings, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Harmonic structures are rare, so read the sample size in view. On the slower timeframes a Deep Crab completes only single digits of times, or not at all, while the faster timeframes give a larger sample. Thin samples are flagged for you.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the bar that confirms the D point, the earliest a trader could act without hindsight.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close to D itself, the swing extreme the structure completes at. A move back through D says the pattern has failed.
- We follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before D gave way.
- The comparison is a random swing pivot of the same side, which already sits at a turning point with a tight stop. That keeps it apples-to-apples: the question is whether a Deep Crab swing runs further than an ordinary swing of the same shape, not whether a tight stop flatters the numbers.
What this page does not cover
- A profit target. Harmonic tradition puts one at a Fibonacci retracement, but where you take profit is a strategy choice, so this measures only the room the structure tends to offer.
- A trend filter, or confluence with support, resistance, or a higher-timeframe level, which traders normally use to weight a completion.
- A guarantee. A valid shape on the chart is a setup, not a certainty. What it tends to do next is exactly what the numbers above describe.
FAQ
Do harmonic patterns like the Deep Crab actually work?
Harmonic patterns are described everywhere but rarely tested honestly. This page scores every completed Deep Crab by the room it offered in units of its own risk, measured against random swing pivots of the same kind, and counts a pattern only on the bar its final pivot confirms, so nothing is read in hindsight. The result is a like-for-like comparison rather than the round-number success rates usually quoted for harmonics.
What is the Deep Crab pattern success rate?
There is no single reliable figure, and the often-cited round-number rates rarely specify instrument, timeframe, or test period, and almost never state what target and stop they assume. The Deep Crab is also uncommon, so counts run low. Rather than quote folklore, this page measures how far a completion runs in units of its own risk and whether that beats an ordinary swing of the same shape. The tabs show that comparison across five markets and seven timeframes.
How is the Deep Crab defined here?
It is a five-point XABCD structure where B retraces 0.886 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, D projects 2.0 to 3.618 of BC, and D extends to 1.618 of XA, beyond the origin, all holding at once within a 5% tolerance. Pivots use 3 bars on each side and are confirmed before they count.
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bullish | 58.25 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bullish | 40.75 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bearish | 29 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bullish | 22.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Bullish | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Bullish | 12.5 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Bearish | 12.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Bearish | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bullish | 15.25 | 0.98R | Flat |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Bearish | 13.5 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Bearish | 48.5 | 2.90R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Bullish | 12 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Bearish | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Bearish | 45.75 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Bullish | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Bearish | 5.25 | 2.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 16, 2025 | Bearish | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2025 | Bearish | 16 | 0.02R | Stopped |
| May 2, 2025 | Bullish | 48.5 | 0.34R | Stopped |
| May 2, 2025 | Bearish | 19.5 | 2.47R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Bearish | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bullish | 30.5 | 1.66R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Bullish | 72.75 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Bearish | 17.25 | 1.49R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Bullish | 52.75 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Bearish | 23.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Bearish | 15 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Bearish | 8.25 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Bullish | 28.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Bullish | 32.75 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Aug 4, 2022 | Bearish | 32.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Bullish | 10.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 9, 2021 | Bearish | 57 | 1.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 7, 2021 | Bearish | 23.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Bearish | 24 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Aug 11, 2020 | Bullish | 22 | 0.77R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2020 | Bullish | 87.5 | 1.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 25, 2019 | Bullish | 6.5 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2019 | Bearish | 9.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 23, 2019 | Bullish | 7.75 | 1.26R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | Bullish | 80.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Bullish | 46.75 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 8, 2018 | Bullish | 40.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 22, 2018 | Bullish | 29 | 0.78R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Bearish | 42 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Bullish | 57.5 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2015 | Bearish | 5.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 5, 2014 | Bullish | 8.5 | 1.56R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 28, 2014 | Bearish | 5 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Bearish | 12.5 | 2.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 14, 2011 | Bullish | 17.75 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2011 | Bullish | 6.25 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Nov 25, 2010 | Bullish | 5.75 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Aug 5, 2009 | Bullish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2008 | Bearish | 8.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (10)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2025 | Bearish | 163.75 | 0.29R | Flat |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bearish | 28 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Bearish | 55 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2022 | Bullish | 80.25 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Oct 1, 2018 | Bearish | 20.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Bearish | 60.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2015 | Bearish | 21 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Bearish | 8.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 14, 2011 | Bullish | 8.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 4, 2010 | Bullish | 9.75 | 0.77R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (6)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | Bearish | 153.75 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Apr 25, 2018 | Bullish | 79.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Bullish | 30.5 | 0.42R | Stopped |
| Oct 26, 2017 | Bullish | 36.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 7, 2014 | Bullish | 17.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 16, 2008 | Bullish | 45.5 | 0.32R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 7.5 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.64R | Flat |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Bearish | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Bullish | 6 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bullish | 6.25 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bullish | 2.5 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Bearish | 10 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bearish | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bearish | 4.75 | 2.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Bearish | 1.75 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Bearish | 1.25 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Bullish | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Bearish | 3.25 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| May 5, 2025 | Bearish | 4.5 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| May 5, 2025 | Bullish | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 2, 2025 | Bullish | 8.25 | 1.21R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Bearish | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Bearish | 5 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Bullish | 3 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Bullish | 4.5 | 0.22R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Bearish | 18.5 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Bullish | 6 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Bearish | 6.25 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2022 | Bearish | 8.25 | 2.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Bullish | 13.25 | 0.02R | Stopped |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Bullish | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 24, 2022 | Bullish | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 14, 2021 | Bullish | 5.75 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Bearish | 2.5 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Bearish | 4.25 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Bearish | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2020 | Bearish | 16.25 | 1.88R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Bearish | 2 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 1, 2019 | Bearish | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Bullish | 19.75 | 0.70R | Flat |
| Jun 20, 2018 | Bullish | 2.75 | 0.82R | Stopped |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Bearish | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2018 | Bullish | 2.25 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Bullish | 10.25 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (14)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | Bullish | 24.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Bearish | 2.75 | 1.55R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Bullish | 11.5 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Bullish | 9.5 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Bullish | 10.75 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2018 | Bearish | 4.25 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2016 | Bearish | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2014 | Bullish | 4.75 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Bearish | 4 | 0.56R | Flat |
| Aug 13, 2012 | Bearish | 3.75 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 21, 2012 | Bullish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 17, 2011 | Bullish | 8.25 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Jan 6, 2009 | Bearish | 14.25 | 0.28R | Flat |
| Aug 21, 2008 | Bearish | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Bearish | 6.5 | 1.46R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Bearish | 60.75 | 0.27R | Flat |
| Apr 28, 2016 | Bearish | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 12, 2011 | Bullish | 5.5 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 17, 2009 | Bullish | 3.75 | 0.33R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2025 | Bullish | 67.75 | 1.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Bearish | 71.5 | 0.59R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2021 | Bullish | 35 | 0.99R | Flat |
| Jul 6, 2015 | Bullish | 7.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 27, 2009 | Bullish | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Bearish | 4.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Bullish | 1.9 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bullish | 2.7 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bullish | 4.6 | 2.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Bearish | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bullish | 7.3 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bearish | 6.6 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bullish | 11.9 | 0.67R | Flat |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Bullish | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Bearish | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bearish | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bullish | 13.9 | 1.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Bullish | 39.7 | 0.52R | Flat |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bearish | 6.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Bearish | 8 | 1.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Bullish | 7 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Bearish | 2.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Bullish | 6.6 | 1.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bullish | 2.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bearish | 2.8 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Bullish | 14 | 0.78R | Flat |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Bearish | 19.1 | 1.70R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bullish | 17.4 | 0.64R | Flat |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Bearish | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Bearish | 9.2 | 0.59R | Flat |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Bearish | 7.6 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bullish | 10.4 | 0.79R | Flat |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Bullish | 9.5 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Bullish | 1.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Bullish | 5.2 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2025 | Bearish | 3.7 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Bullish | 3.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Bearish | 2.5 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Bullish | 3.2 | 0.25R | Flat |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Bullish | 2.4 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Bullish | 2.1 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Bearish | 2.3 | 0.61R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024 | Bullish | 1.3 | 1.00R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2024 | Bullish | 13.3 | 1.07R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Bullish | 1.3 | 0.62R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bullish | 7.6 | 2.55R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2025 | Bullish | 6.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Bullish | 5.7 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Bearish | 3.7 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Bearish | 6.8 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Bullish | 2.9 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Bearish | 2.8 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Bullish | 3.7 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2023 | Bearish | 2.2 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Bullish | 4.3 | 0.93R | Flat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Bearish | 2 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Bearish | 4.4 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Bullish | 6.4 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Bullish | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2022 | Bullish | 6.4 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Bullish | 4.9 | 0.86R | Stopped |
| May 21, 2021 | Bullish | 2.7 | 2.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2021 | Bullish | 1.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 14, 2020 | Bearish | 12.8 | 0.37R | Flat |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Bearish | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Bullish | 38 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Bullish | 11.6 | 0.84R | Stopped |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Bullish | 7.4 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Bullish | 5.1 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Bearish | 3.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Bullish | 8.7 | 0.92R | Flat |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Bearish | 5.6 | 0.18R | Stopped |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Bearish | 7.2 | 0.42R | Stopped |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Bullish | 6.6 | 1.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Bullish | 9.8 | 0.71R | Flat |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Bearish | 2.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2023 | Bearish | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Bearish | 6.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Bullish | 1.5 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Bearish | 2 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Bearish | 9.6 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Bearish | 5.4 | 0.41R | Stopped |
| Sep 17, 2019 | Bearish | 3.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 10, 2017 | Bullish | 1.7 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Nov 3, 2016 | Bullish | 8.9 | 1.16R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | Bullish | 28.2 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Bearish | 15.5 | 1.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Bullish | 9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Bullish | 2.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Bullish | 12.2 | 0.89R | Flat |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Bearish | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 12, 2018 | Bullish | 2.4 | 2.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 18, 2018 | Bullish | 3 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Bullish | 3.2 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Oct 29, 2014 | Bullish | 2.2 | 0.73R | Stopped |
| Sep 30, 2013 | Bullish | 10.4 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Feb 21, 2012 | Bearish | 3.2 | 1.34R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 20, 2010 | Bullish | 5.8 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2010 | Bearish | 1.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 21, 2008 | Bullish | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2022 | 22 | 0.28R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 46.4 | 0.08R | Flat |
| Dec 5, 2012 | 14.1 | 0.11R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bullish | 0.15 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bearish | 0.16 | 0.31R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bearish | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bullish | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Bullish | 1.54 | 2.21R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Bullish | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Bearish | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Bullish | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Bearish | 0.03 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.08 | 1.88R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Bearish | 0.03 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Bullish | 0.09 | 0.67R | Flat |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Bullish | 0.05 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bearish | 0.05 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bullish | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Bullish | 0.14 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Bullish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Bullish | 0.1 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Bullish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bullish | 0.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Bullish | 0.52 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.65 | 1.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Bullish | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Bearish | 0.17 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Aug 28, 2025 | Bullish | 0.04 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bearish | 0.08 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Bearish | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Bullish | 0.08 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Bullish | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Bullish | 0.05 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Bearish | 0.08 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Bullish | 0.15 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Bullish | 0.32 | 1.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Bullish | 0.24 | 1.92R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Bearish | 0.13 | 2.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Bullish | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Bullish | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Bearish | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 6, 2023 | Bearish | 0.4 | 0.48R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | Bullish | 0.29 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Bearish | 0.43 | 0.65R | Flat |
| May 2, 2024 | Bearish | 0.21 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Bearish | 0.68 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Bullish | 0.27 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Bearish | 0.22 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Bearish | 1.12 | 0.49R | Flat |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Bullish | 0.38 | 0.82R | Stopped |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Bearish | 0.54 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Bullish | 0.16 | 1.31R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Bullish | 0.13 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Bearish | 0.45 | 0.02R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Bullish | 0.23 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Bullish | 0.07 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2019 | Bullish | 0.22 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 2, 2018 | Bearish | 0.41 | 0.39R | Flat |
| Apr 30, 2018 | Bullish | 0.12 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Mar 15, 2018 | Bearish | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2017 | Bearish | 0.13 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2017 | Bullish | 0.07 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (19)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bearish | 0.17 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Bearish | 0.31 | 0.48R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Bearish | 0.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Bullish | 0.52 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Bearish | 0.2 | 2.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Bearish | 0.28 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Jul 6, 2021 | Bearish | 0.1 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Bearish | 0.17 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2020 | Bullish | 1.21 | 0.88R | Flat |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Bullish | 0.59 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Feb 13, 2017 | Bullish | 0.11 | 2.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2016 | Bearish | 0.24 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2015 | Bearish | 0.29 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| May 18, 2015 | Bullish | 0.64 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Mar 21, 2014 | Bearish | 0.13 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2011 | Bearish | 0.45 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2009 | Bullish | 0.77 | 1.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 31, 2008 | Bullish | 0.81 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2008 | Bullish | 0.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (10)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Bullish | 0.38 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2024 | Bearish | 0.45 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Bearish | 0.73 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Bearish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Bullish | 0.57 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Jun 7, 2016 | Bearish | 0.41 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2016 | Bullish | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 24, 2015 | Bearish | 0.31 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2008 | Bullish | 3.6 | 0.88R | Flat |
| Feb 19, 2008 | Bearish | 0.39 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (10)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2023 | Bearish | 0.5 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Bullish | 0.5 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Aug 6, 2020 | Bearish | 1.13 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2019 | Bullish | 1.23 | 2.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2016 | Bearish | 0.97 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2015 | Bearish | 1.1 | 2.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 31, 2013 | Bearish | 0.36 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 9, 2009 | Bullish | 1.12 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2009 | Bullish | 0.64 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2009 | Bearish | 1.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2018 | 2.18 | 2.44R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Bullish | 0.004 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bullish | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Bullish | 0.007 | 1.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bullish | 0.021 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Bearish | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bearish | 0.018 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Bearish | 0.008 | 0.87R | Flat |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bullish | 0.005 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bullish | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Bearish | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.029 | 0.48R | Flat |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.005 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Bullish | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.00R | Flat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Bullish | 0.011 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.56R | Flat |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Bullish | 0.007 | 0.29R | Flat |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Bullish | 0.006 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Bullish | 0.014 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bullish | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.78R | Flat |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Bullish | 0.024 | 0.67R | Flat |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Bearish | 0.015 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Bearish | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Bullish | 0.039 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Bearish | 0.013 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bearish | 0.028 | 0.89R | Flat |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Bearish | 0.023 | 0.78R | Flat |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Bullish | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Bearish | 0.006 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Bearish | 0.016 | 1.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Bullish | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Bearish | 0.017 | 2.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Bearish | 0.02 | 1.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Bullish | 0.008 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Bullish | 0.078 | 0.37R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Bearish | 0.025 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2023 | Bullish | 0.012 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Bullish | 0.015 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Bullish | 0.029 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Bearish | 0.029 | 0.79R | Flat |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Bullish | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 6, 2020 | Bullish | 0.011 | 2.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 6, 2018 | Bullish | 0.05 | 0.02R | Stopped |
| Sep 28, 2018 | Bullish | 0.005 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 12, 2018 | Bullish | 0.002 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Bullish | 0.003 | 1.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2018 | Bearish | 0.004 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Feb 21, 2018 | Bearish | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Bearish | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 25, 2017 | Bearish | 0.02 | 0.30R | Flat |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Bullish | 0.008 | 0.75R | Flat |
| May 4, 2017 | Bullish | 0.024 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2017 | Bullish | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bearish | 0.039 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Bearish | 0.032 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Bearish | 0.027 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2022 | Bullish | 0.23 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Bullish | 0.038 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Bullish | 0.013 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Bearish | 0.033 | 0.58R | Flat |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Bullish | 0.039 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Bullish | 0.035 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2020 | Bullish | 0.039 | 0.69R | Flat |
| Mar 27, 2020 | Bullish | 0.024 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| May 28, 2019 | Bullish | 0.021 | 1.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2018 | Bearish | 0.138 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Bearish | 0.024 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 17, 2018 | Bearish | 0.036 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2017 | Bullish | 0.023 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2017 | Bullish | 0.02 | 2.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Bearish | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Bearish | 0.053 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 6, 2015 | Bullish | 0.012 | 0.17R | Stopped |
Sample Deep Crab Completions (14)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bullish | 0.142 | 1.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Bearish | 0.136 | 0.82R | Flat |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Bearish | 0.016 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Bearish | 0.092 | 0.37R | Flat |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Bullish | 0.05 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 3, 2023 | Bullish | 0.026 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Bearish | 0.223 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| May 19, 2022 | Bullish | 0.23 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 16, 2022 | Bearish | 0.405 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Bearish | 0.014 | 1.93R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2020 | Bullish | 0.012 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 12, 2019 | Bullish | 0.023 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Feb 4, 2010 | Bullish | 0.199 | 1.28R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 2, 2009 | Bullish | 0.026 | 2.31R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample backtests (6)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.
ES 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 76.92%
- Profit factor
- 3.09
- Max drawdown
- 1.10%
NQ 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 50.00%
- Profit factor
- 1.46
- Max drawdown
- 3.78%
GC 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 48.78%
- Profit factor
- 1.20
- Max drawdown
- 1.75%
ES 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 46.81%
- Profit factor
- 1.02
- Max drawdown
- 4.27%
NQ 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 47.62%
- Profit factor
- 0.91
- Max drawdown
- 4.71%
GC 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Deep Crab · balanced
- Win rate
- 35.00%
- Profit factor
- 0.30
- Max drawdown
- 4.71%