Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Gartley
The original harmonic pattern: a 0.786 retracement completing an XABCD structure, read as an exhausted pullback turning back with the larger trend.
- B = 0.618 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 1.272-1.618 of BC
- D = 0.786 of XA
- B = 0.618 of XA
- C = 0.382-0.886 of AB
- D = 1.272-1.618 of BC
- D = 0.786 of XA
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random long entry (+2.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.5% of the time vs 44.4% for a random long entry. The 2.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 155 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.5% | 44.4% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.6% | 22.6% | -0.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.9% | 12.5% | +0.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 43.9% | 45.9% | -2.0 |
| Went sideways | 9.7% | 9.7% | -0.0 |
155 occurrences · 136,704 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (-5.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.17×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.8% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry. The 5.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 152 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.8% | 44.6% | -5.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.1% | 24.2% | -5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 14.1% | -1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.0% | 47.6% | +4.3 |
| Went sideways | 9.2% | 7.8% | +1.4 |
152 occurrences · 136,054 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (35). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (-6.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.01R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.1% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 6.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 35 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.1% | 44.1% | -6.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 17.1% | 22.7% | -5.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 11.4% | 13.1% | -1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.1% | 43.4% | +13.7 |
| Went sideways | 5.7% | 12.5% | -6.8 |
35 occurrences · 30,293 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
Limited sample (38). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random short entry (+3.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.85×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.30R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.4% of the time vs 44.3% for a random short entry. The 3.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 38 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.4% | 44.3% | +3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.2% | 24.8% | +9.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.7% | 15.2% | +8.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.4% | 47.0% | +0.4 |
| Went sideways | 5.3% | 8.8% | -3.5 |
38 occurrences · 29,992 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random long entry (-6.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.18×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.5% of the time vs 44.1% for a random long entry. The 6.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.5% | 44.1% | -6.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 24.7% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 12.5% | 15.7% | -3.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.5% | 42.7% | +19.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.2% | -13.2 |
8 occurrences · 10,656 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.0% for a random short entry (-1.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.17×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.7% of the time vs 43.0% for a random short entry. The 1.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±28.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 12 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.7% | 43.0% | -1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 16.7% | 25.9% | -9.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.7% | 17.0% | -0.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.3% | 47.1% | +11.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.9% | -9.9 |
12 occurrences · 10,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (-44.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.79×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 44.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.5% | -44.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.1% | -24.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.6% | -14.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 43.5% | +56.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.0% | -12.0 |
2 occurrences · 5,466 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random short entry (-44.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.70×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.36R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 44.0% for a random short entry. The 44.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 44.0% | -44.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.3% | -26.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.3% | -17.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 47.6% | +2.4 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 8.4% | +41.6 |
2 occurrences · 5,325 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 48.1% for a random long entry (-48.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.24R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 48.1% for a random long entry. The 48.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±69.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 48.1% | -48.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 27.8% | -27.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.9% | -15.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 42.8% | +57.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.1% | -9.1 |
2 occurrences · 2,616 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (+6.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.59×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.73R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 6.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 43.8% | +6.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 26.7% | +23.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 17.2% | -17.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 50.6% | -0.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.6% | -5.6 |
2 occurrences · 2,611 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.1% for a random short entry (+59.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.12×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 40.1% for a random short entry. The 59.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 40.1% | +59.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.9% | -24.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.2% | -16.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 56.6% | -56.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
1 occurrences · 401 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.9% for a random short entry (+59.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.12×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.53R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 40.9% for a random short entry. The 59.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 40.9% | +59.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.6% | -23.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.4% | -14.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 55.8% | -55.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
1 occurrences · 403 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (92). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (+0.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.94R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.6% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 0.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 92 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.6% | 44.3% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 17.4% | 21.6% | -4.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 5.4% | 11.6% | -6.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.1% | 45.7% | +5.3 |
| Went sideways | 4.3% | 10.0% | -5.6 |
92 occurrences · 100,574 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.4% for a random short entry (-2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.7% of the time vs 44.4% for a random short entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 103 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.7% | 44.4% | -2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.4% | 23.0% | -4.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 11.7% | 13.0% | -1.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 49.5% | 47.3% | +2.2 |
| Went sideways | 8.7% | 8.2% | +0.5 |
103 occurrences · 99,273 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (-4.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.13×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 4.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 44.3% | -4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 22.4% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 12.5% | +0.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.7% | 43.3% | +3.3 |
| Went sideways | 13.3% | 12.4% | +0.9 |
15 occurrences · 26,201 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
Limited sample (30). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.3%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.2% for a random short entry (-0.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.07×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.3% of the time vs 44.2% for a random short entry. The 0.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±17.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 30 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.3% | 44.2% | -0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.0% | 23.9% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.3% | 14.4% | +8.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 46.8% | +3.2 |
| Went sideways | 6.7% | 9.0% | -2.4 |
30 occurrences · 25,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random long entry (+5.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.67×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.17R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 44.5% for a random long entry. The 5.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 44.5% | +5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 24.7% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.0% | -15.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 37.5% | 42.4% | -4.9 |
| Went sideways | 12.5% | 13.1% | -0.6 |
8 occurrences · 9,935 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-3.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.78R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 3.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 43.3% | -3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 25.5% | -25.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.4% | -16.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.3 |
| Went sideways | 20.0% | 10.4% | +9.6 |
10 occurrences · 9,497 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.3% for a random long entry (+5.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.68×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 44.3% for a random long entry. The 5.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 44.3% | +5.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 23.3% | +1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 14.2% | +10.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 43.7% | +6.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 12.0% | -12.0 |
4 occurrences · 5,306 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (-45.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.47R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 45.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 45.2% | -45.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.5% | -26.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.9% | -16.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 46.6% | +20.1 |
| Went sideways | 33.3% | 8.2% | +25.1 |
3 occurrences · 5,060 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (-46.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.93×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.80R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 46.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 46.6% | -46.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.0% | -26.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.2% | -15.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 44.2% | +55.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.1% | -9.1 |
1 occurrences · 2,573 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.2% for a random short entry (+4.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.58×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.58R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.21R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 45.2% for a random short entry. The 4.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±48.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 4 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 4 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 45.2% | +4.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 28.0% | +22.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 19.0% | +6.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 49.7% | +0.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 5.1% | -5.1 |
4 occurrences · 2,539 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
This pattern did not fire often enough on this market and timeframe to measure. Try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.2% for a random long entry (+52.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.44×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.04R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 47.2% for a random long entry. The 52.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 47.2% | +52.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 21.2% | -21.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 9.6% | -9.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 39.2% | -39.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 13.7% | -13.7 |
1 occurrences · 439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.9% for a random long entry (+2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.03×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.6% of the time vs 42.9% for a random long entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 406 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.6% | 42.9% | +2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 24.4% | 22.4% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 15.3% | 12.8% | +2.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.1% | 46.3% | -1.2 |
| Went sideways | 9.4% | 10.9% | -1.5 |
406 occurrences · 393,642 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (+2.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.06×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.5% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 2.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 447 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.5% | 43.6% | +2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.3% | 23.3% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.4% | 13.5% | -0.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.3% | 46.4% | -0.1 |
| Went sideways | 7.2% | 10.0% | -2.9 |
447 occurrences · 391,020 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
54.7%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (+11.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.31R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 54.7% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry — a 11.4-point gap, wider than the ±8.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 54.7% | 43.3% | +11.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 22.8% | +6.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.0% | 13.0% | +4.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 35.2% | 45.4% | -10.2 |
| Went sideways | 10.2% | 11.3% | -1.1 |
128 occurrences · 98,903 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
52.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.1% for a random short entry (+7.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.23R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 52.0% of the time vs 44.1% for a random short entry. The 7.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 127 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 52.0% | 44.1% | +7.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.2% | 23.8% | +1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.4% | 14.0% | -0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.2% | 45.9% | -5.7 |
| Went sideways | 7.9% | 10.0% | -2.1 |
127 occurrences · 97,699 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (41). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (-6.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.82R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.6% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 6.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 41 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.6% | 43.3% | -6.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 7.3% | 23.2% | -15.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 2.4% | 13.8% | -11.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.7% | 44.7% | +8.9 |
| Went sideways | 9.8% | 11.9% | -2.2 |
41 occurrences · 36,235 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
Limited sample (38). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random short entry (+6.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.19R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 43.9% for a random short entry. The 6.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 38 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 43.9% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.3% | 24.3% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 7.9% | 14.8% | -6.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 44.7% | 45.4% | -0.6 |
| Went sideways | 5.3% | 10.7% | -5.4 |
38 occurrences · 35,963 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.6% for a random long entry (+17.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.89×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.49R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 42.6% for a random long entry. The 17.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 42.6% | +17.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 23.5% | +9.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 14.0% | +6.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 26.7% | 44.1% | -17.5 |
| Went sideways | 13.3% | 13.2% | +0.1 |
15 occurrences · 18,830 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-5.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.20×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.1% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 5.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±21.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 21 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 21 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.1% | 43.6% | -5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.8% | 24.3% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.0% | 15.2% | +3.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.1% | 45.1% | +12.0 |
| Went sideways | 4.8% | 11.3% | -6.6 |
21 occurrences · 18,516 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random long entry (-0.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.14R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.16R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.4% of the time vs 44.6% for a random long entry. The 0.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±32.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 9 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 9 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 44.6% | -0.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.2% | 24.5% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 14.8% | +7.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 44.9% | -11.6 |
| Went sideways | 22.2% | 10.5% | +11.8 |
9 occurrences · 9,536 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.5% for a random short entry (+15.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.35×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.40R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 44.5% for a random short entry. The 15.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±21.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 20 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 20 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 44.5% | +15.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 25.7% | +14.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 15.7% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 46.5% | -6.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.0% | -9.0 |
20 occurrences · 9,392 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.6% for a random long entry (+20.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.96×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 46.6% for a random long entry. The 20.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 46.6% | +20.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 26.1% | -26.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.1% | -16.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 44.5% | -11.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 8.9% | -8.9 |
3 occurrences · 2,338 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
66.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.5% for a random short entry (+20.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.76×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.20R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 46.5% for a random short entry. The 20.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 66.7% | 46.5% | +20.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 66.7% | 26.5% | +40.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.8% | -15.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 46.9% | -13.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.5% | -6.5 |
3 occurrences · 2,207 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 49.4% for a random long entry (+50.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
2.30×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
3.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.24R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 49.4% for a random long entry. The 50.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±98.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 49.4% | +50.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 100.0% | 27.1% | +72.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 100.0% | 16.5% | +83.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 41.2% | -41.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.4% | -9.4 |
1 occurrences · 425 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
100.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.4% for a random short entry (+60.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.70×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 39.4% for a random short entry. The 60.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±95.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 100.0% | 39.4% | +60.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 21.9% | -21.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 12.7% | -12.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 50.7% | -50.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.9% | -9.9 |
1 occurrences · 424 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
48.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random long entry (+4.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.18×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 48.0% of the time vs 43.3% for a random long entry. The 4.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 306 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 48.0% | 43.3% | +4.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 22.9% | +6.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.3% | 13.2% | +4.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.8% | 46.4% | -0.7 |
| Went sideways | 6.2% | 10.2% | -4.0 |
306 occurrences · 371,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random short entry (+0.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.19×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.1% of the time vs 43.5% for a random short entry. The 0.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 390 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.1% | 43.5% | +0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.8% | 23.3% | +0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.1% | 13.5% | +0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 42.8% | 46.5% | -3.7 |
| Went sideways | 13.1% | 9.9% | +3.2 |
390 occurrences · 369,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (96). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
49.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random long entry (+5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 49.0% of the time vs 43.9% for a random long entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 96 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 49.0% | 43.9% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.1% | 23.5% | +4.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.7% | 13.6% | +4.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 35.4% | 45.1% | -9.7 |
| Went sideways | 15.6% | 11.0% | +4.7 |
96 occurrences · 92,926 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
49.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (+5.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.02×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 49.5% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 5.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 109 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 49.5% | 43.7% | +5.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.6% | 23.8% | +2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.7% | 14.0% | +0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 36.7% | 45.8% | -9.1 |
| Went sideways | 13.8% | 10.5% | +3.2 |
109 occurrences · 92,675 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (34). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (-5.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.05R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.2% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 5.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 34 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.2% | 43.4% | -5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.6% | 23.4% | -2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 11.8% | 13.8% | -2.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.1% | 44.4% | +2.6 |
| Went sideways | 14.7% | 12.2% | +2.5 |
34 occurrences · 34,385 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
Limited sample (41). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random short entry (-7.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.83×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.6% of the time vs 43.8% for a random short entry. The 7.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 41 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.6% | 43.8% | -7.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 12.2% | 24.3% | -12.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 9.8% | 14.4% | -4.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.1% | 45.2% | +10.9 |
| Went sideways | 7.3% | 11.0% | -3.7 |
41 occurrences · 33,999 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.1% for a random long entry (+16.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.18×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.49R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 43.1% for a random long entry. The 16.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 43.1% | +16.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 23.2% | +3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.7% | 14.1% | +12.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 43.3% | -9.9 |
| Went sideways | 6.7% | 13.7% | -7.0 |
15 occurrences · 17,693 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+3.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.1% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 3.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±23.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 17 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 17 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 43.3% | +3.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.4% | 24.4% | +5.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.6% | 15.3% | +2.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 35.3% | 44.4% | -9.1 |
| Went sideways | 17.6% | 12.3% | +5.3 |
17 occurrences · 17,912 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.5% for a random long entry (-3.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.77×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 43.5% for a random long entry. The 3.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 43.5% | -3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 23.4% | -3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.1% | -14.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 30.0% | 45.5% | -15.5 |
| Went sideways | 30.0% | 11.0% | +19.0 |
10 occurrences · 9,070 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.9% for a random short entry (-11.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 44.9% for a random short entry. The 11.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±28.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 12 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 44.9% | -11.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 25.5% | +7.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 15.8% | +17.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 41.7% | 45.6% | -4.0 |
| Went sideways | 25.0% | 9.5% | +15.5 |
12 occurrences · 9,047 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.8% for a random long entry (-43.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.61×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.29R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 43.8% for a random long entry. The 43.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 43.8% | -43.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.4% | -23.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 11.5% | -11.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 48.7% | +51.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 7.5% | -7.5 |
1 occurrences · 2,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.6% for a random short entry (-11.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.73×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.25R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.17R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 44.6% for a random short entry. The 11.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 44.6% | -11.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 25.5% | +7.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 15.0% | +18.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 48.6% | +18.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.8% | -6.8 |
3 occurrences · 2,319 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 47.1% for a random long entry (-47.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.38×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.75R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.19R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 47.1% for a random long entry. The 47.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±97.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 47.1% | -47.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 23.8% | -23.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 14.9% | -14.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 43.0% | -43.0 |
| Went sideways | 100.0% | 10.0% | +90.0 |
1 occurrences · 442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+0.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 0.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 245 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 42.5% | +0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 24.1% | 23.0% | +1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.9% | 13.6% | +0.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.3% | 46.8% | +0.6 |
| Went sideways | 9.8% | 10.7% | -0.9 |
245 occurrences · 276,772 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random short entry (-3.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.22×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.4% of the time vs 42.4% for a random short entry. The 3.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 254 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.4% | 42.4% | -3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.3% | 23.1% | -3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.0% | 13.7% | -0.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.0% | 47.0% | +5.0 |
| Went sideways | 8.7% | 10.7% | -2.0 |
254 occurrences · 276,314 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
Limited sample (60). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.4% for a random long entry (-1.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.20R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.7% of the time vs 43.4% for a random long entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 60 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.7% | 43.4% | -1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.3% | 23.4% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 13.9% | -0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 43.3% | 45.5% | -2.1 |
| Went sideways | 15.0% | 11.1% | +3.9 |
60 occurrences · 69,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
Limited sample (86). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.6% for a random short entry (-1.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.9% of the time vs 43.6% for a random short entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 86 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.9% | 43.6% | -1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 19.8% | 23.6% | -3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.0% | 14.0% | -0.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 45.3% | 45.2% | +0.2 |
| Went sideways | 12.8% | 11.3% | +1.5 |
86 occurrences · 68,562 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
52.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.8% for a random long entry (+9.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.14×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 52.6% of the time vs 42.8% for a random long entry. The 9.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±22.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 19 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 19 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 52.6% | 42.8% | +9.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 10.5% | 23.8% | -13.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 10.5% | 14.6% | -4.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.4% | 45.4% | +2.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 11.9% | -11.9 |
19 occurrences · 25,869 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.7% for a random short entry (-0.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.28×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.27R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 43.7% for a random short entry. The 0.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±21.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 21 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 21 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 43.7% | -0.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 23.7% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.8% | 14.2% | +9.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 47.6% | 44.5% | +3.2 |
| Went sideways | 9.5% | 11.8% | -2.3 |
21 occurrences · 25,622 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
20.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.4% for a random long entry (-22.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.14×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.47R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 20.0% of the time vs 42.4% for a random long entry. The 22.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 20.0% | 42.4% | -22.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.0% | -24.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.2% | -15.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 45.4% | +14.6 |
| Went sideways | 20.0% | 12.3% | +7.7 |
10 occurrences · 13,514 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+3.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.12R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.7% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 3.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±25.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.7% | 43.3% | +3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.7% | 24.2% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 13.3% | 15.2% | -1.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.7% | 44.1% | +2.6 |
| Went sideways | 6.7% | 12.6% | -5.9 |
15 occurrences · 13,523 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 44.0% for a random long entry (+16.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.40R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 44.0% for a random long entry. The 16.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 44.0% | +16.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 24.4% | -4.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.0% | 15.0% | +5.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 46.4% | -6.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 9.6% | -9.6 |
5 occurrences · 6,841 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
80.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (+36.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.39×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.77R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.15R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 80.0% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 36.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 80.0% | 43.3% | +36.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 25.0% | +15.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 40.0% | 14.7% | +25.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 20.0% | 46.5% | -26.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 10.1% | -10.1 |
5 occurrences · 6,967 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.1% for a random long entry (-46.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.54×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.30R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.19R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 46.1% for a random long entry. The 46.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±69.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 46.1% | -46.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 27.3% | -27.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 15.5% | -15.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 47.0% | +53.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 6.9% | -6.9 |
2 occurrences · 1,688 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.3% for a random short entry (-10.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.65×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.26R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 43.3% for a random short entry. The 10.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±56.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 43.3% | -10.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.3% | 22.3% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 12.5% | +20.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 33.3% | 48.0% | -14.6 |
| Went sideways | 33.3% | 8.7% | +24.6 |
3 occurrences · 1,722 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bullish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 53.3% for a random long entry (-3.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.11×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.77R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.32R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 53.3% for a random long entry. The 3.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±69.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 29.5% | +20.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 50.0% | 16.5% | +33.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 0.0% | 39.8% | -39.8 |
| Went sideways | 50.0% | 7.0% | +43.0 |
2 occurrences · 400 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Bearish Gartley
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 4 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.1% for a random short entry (-43.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.29×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.18R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 43.1% for a random short entry. The 43.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 43.1% | -43.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 19.0% | -19.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 11.8% | -11.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 46.5% | +53.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 10.4% | -10.4 |
2 occurrences · 415 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
The Gartley is the oldest of the harmonic patterns, named for H.M. Gartley who described the shape in 1935. It is a five-point structure, X to A to B to C to D, defined by Fibonacci ratios between the legs. The signature is the completion: D sits at a 0.786 retracement of the whole X-to-A leg.
How to spot it
- A clear X-to-A trend leg, then a sequence of swings that pull back against it.
- B retraces 0.618 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, and D projects 1.272 to 1.618 of BC.
- D lands at a 0.786 retracement of XA, short of the origin X. All four ratios hold at once.
- The structure completes at D, a swing low in an uptrend (a buy) or a swing high in a downtrend (a sell).
The chart above marks the X, A, B, C, D points on a real occurrence, with the ratio of each leg.
Why it matters
A Gartley forms inside a trend. The X-to-A move is the trend leg, and everything after it is a pullback that overshoots then completes at a measured depth. D is read as the point where the pullback is spent and the original trend resumes. Because D stays well short of X, the Gartley is a buy-the-dip structure rather than a bet on a full reversal, and the shallow completion keeps the stop close.
That places it among the retracement harmonics, alongside the Bat, where the completion sits inside the prior move. The extension harmonics, the Butterfly and Crab, are the opposite case: D pushes past the origin, so they fade an overstretched move rather than buy a dip. The Gartley is the conservative, in-trend member of the family.
The honest question is not whether the shape can be drawn on a chart, it always can after the fact, but whether a completion actually leads anywhere. That is what the data below measures.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the question is not “did it win” but “how much room did the move offer before the structure was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each completion we measure the room price offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random swing pivot of the same kind would have done. A Gartley that turns up from a swing low is judged against ordinary swing lows; one that turns down from a swing high, against ordinary swing highs. When the completion offers more room more often than those random swings, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Harmonic structures are rare, so read the sample size in view. On the slower timeframes a Gartley completes only single digits of times, or not at all, while the faster timeframes give a larger sample. Thin samples are flagged for you.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the bar that confirms the D point, the earliest a trader could act without hindsight.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close to D itself, the swing extreme the structure completes at. A move back through D says the pattern has failed.
- We follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before D gave way.
- The comparison is a random swing pivot of the same side, which already sits at a turning point with a tight stop. That keeps it apples-to-apples: the question is whether a Gartley swing runs further than an ordinary swing of the same shape, not whether a tight stop flatters the numbers.
What this page does not cover
- A profit target. Harmonic tradition puts one at a 0.618 retracement, but where you take profit is a strategy choice, so this measures only the room the structure tends to offer.
- A trend filter, or confluence with support, resistance, or a higher-timeframe level, which traders normally use to weight a completion.
- A guarantee. A valid shape on the chart is a setup, not a certainty. What it tends to do next is exactly what the numbers above describe.
FAQ
Do harmonic patterns like the Gartley actually work?
Harmonic patterns are described everywhere but rarely tested honestly. This page scores every completed Gartley by the room it offered in units of its own risk, measured against random swing pivots of the same kind, and counts a pattern only on the bar its final pivot confirms, so nothing is read in hindsight. The result is a like-for-like comparison rather than the round-number success rates usually quoted for harmonics.
What is the Gartley pattern success rate?
There is no single reliable figure, and the often-cited 70 to 80% numbers rarely specify instrument, timeframe, or test period, and almost never state what target and stop they assume. Rather than quote folklore, this page measures how far a completion runs in units of its own risk and whether that beats an ordinary swing of the same shape. The tabs show that comparison across five markets and seven timeframes.
How is the Gartley defined here?
It is a five-point XABCD structure where B retraces 0.618 of XA, C retraces 0.382 to 0.886 of AB, D projects 1.272 to 1.618 of BC, and D completes at 0.786 of XA, all holding at once within a 5% tolerance. Pivots use 3 bars on each side and are confirmed before they count.
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 35.25 | 0.99R | Flat |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bearish | 32.25 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bullish | 25 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Bearish | 22.25 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bearish | 15.75 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bullish | 22.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Bullish | 17.25 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Bullish | 3.25 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Bullish | 12.75 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Bearish | 10.5 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Bullish | 12 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Bullish | 32.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Bullish | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Bullish | 9.75 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Bearish | 18 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Bullish | 14.75 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bullish | 8.5 | 1.91R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Bullish | 6.5 | 1.42R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Bearish | 7.25 | 0.97R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Bullish | 10.5 | 0.71R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Bearish | 36 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Bearish | 39.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Bearish | 11.75 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Bullish | 53.5 | 0.45R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Bearish | 47.25 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Bullish | 24 | 1.61R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Bearish | 12.5 | 1.90R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Bearish | 60.25 | 2.26R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Bearish | 7 | 2.61R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Bullish | 32.75 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Bullish | 25.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Bullish | 39 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Bullish | 21 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Bearish | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Bearish | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Bearish | 39.5 | 2.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Bullish | 35.5 | 1.70R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Bullish | 43 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Bearish | 7.25 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Bullish | 16.75 | 0.91R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2025 | Bearish | 87.25 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2024 | Bullish | 49.25 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 5, 2018 | Bearish | 12.25 | 1.94R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2015 | Bearish | 29.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Bearish | 10.25 | 0.73R | Stopped |
| Oct 29, 2014 | Bullish | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2013 | Bullish | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Bearish | 5 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Dec 28, 2012 | Bullish | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2011 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 30, 2009 | Bullish | 6.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 8, 2009 | Bearish | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2009 | Bearish | 5.25 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2009 | Bullish | 12.75 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 18, 2008 | Bullish | 14.25 | 0.18R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 32.75 | 0.26R | Stopped |
| Jun 16, 2021 | 38.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (4)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | Bullish | 66.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Bullish | 20.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 19, 2009 | Bearish | 16.25 | 2.98R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 23, 2009 | Bearish | 16.75 | 0.48R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2010 | 83.25 | 1.89R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2010 | 95.25 | 1.53R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Bullish | 4 | 0.63R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Bearish | 5.5 | 0.18R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Bearish | 8.75 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bullish | 4.75 | 0.74R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bearish | 11 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Bullish | 2.25 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Bearish | 5.75 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Bearish | 2.75 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bullish | 2.5 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bullish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Bullish | 3 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Bullish | 2.75 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bearish | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Bullish | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Bearish | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Bullish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 30, 2025 | Bearish | 4 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 9, 2025 | Bullish | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Bearish | 11.25 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Bearish | 2 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Bullish | 37.5 | 0.12R | Flat |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bearish | 6.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bearish | 1.25 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Bullish | 9.75 | 2.79R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Bullish | 15.25 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| May 24, 2024 | Bearish | 7.75 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Bearish | 5.5 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Bullish | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Bearish | 19.5 | 0.18R | Stopped |
| Nov 21, 2022 | Bullish | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Bearish | 15.5 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Bearish | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Bearish | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2021 | Bearish | 4.75 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Bearish | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2020 | Bearish | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 21, 2019 | Bearish | 1.25 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Jul 12, 2017 | Bearish | 2.5 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2017 | Bearish | 1.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2016 | Bearish | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (13)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bullish | 13.5 | 0.07R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Bearish | 13.75 | 0.49R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Bearish | 1.75 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Bullish | 7.5 | 2.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Bullish | 14 | 1.88R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 7, 2014 | Bullish | 1.5 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 4, 2013 | Bearish | 5.5 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| Jul 19, 2013 | Bearish | 1.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Oct 4, 2011 | Bearish | 10 | 1.48R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 15, 2010 | Bearish | 1.75 | 1.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 12, 2009 | Bullish | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 17, 2009 | Bearish | 2.25 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 4, 2008 | Bearish | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Bullish | 11.5 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Bearish | 22.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Bullish | 8.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Bullish | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2015 | Bullish | 16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | Bearish | 8.75 | 2.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2016 | Bearish | 2.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Bearish | 18.75 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Sep 5, 2013 | Bearish | 3.5 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2012 | Bullish | 3.75 | 0.80R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bullish | 7.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Bearish | 2 | 0.20R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Bullish | 1.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Bearish | 4.3 | 0.51R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bearish | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Bullish | 2.5 | 2.84R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Bearish | 4.6 | 2.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Bullish | 13.8 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Bullish | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Bearish | 5.8 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bullish | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bearish | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bearish | 14.4 | 2.01R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bullish | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Bullish | 2.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bearish | 2.3 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bearish | 5.4 | 0.74R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bullish | 4.3 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Bullish | 0.8 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Bearish | 6.3 | 1.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bullish | 7.3 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Bullish | 22.1 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Bullish | 49.6 | 0.25R | Flat |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bullish | 60.2 | 0.53R | Flat |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Bullish | 10.5 | 2.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Bullish | 8.4 | 0.01R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Bullish | 9.7 | 1.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Bearish | 11.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Bearish | 3.2 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bullish | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Bullish | 3.4 | 1.35R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Bearish | 3.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Bearish | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bullish | 3.1 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Bullish | 1 | 1.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Bullish | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Bullish | 1.7 | 2.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2025 | Bullish | 2.2 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 12, 2025 | Bearish | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Bullish | 40.6 | 1.66R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bullish | 13.5 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bullish | 10.4 | 1.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Bearish | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Bearish | 12.3 | 2.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Bearish | 6 | 2.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Bullish | 8.6 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Bearish | 5.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Bearish | 3.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Bearish | 4.1 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Bearish | 2.6 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Bearish | 2.4 | 1.04R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Bearish | 3.8 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Bullish | 3.9 | 0.90R | Flat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | Bullish | 2.7 | 0.15R | Stopped |
| Oct 11, 2021 | Bullish | 2.9 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Bearish | 1.2 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Bearish | 5.8 | 0.45R | Flat |
| Apr 19, 2021 | Bearish | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2020 | Bullish | 2.9 | 1.34R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bearish | 27.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Bullish | 16.3 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Bearish | 5.3 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Bearish | 21.3 | 2.66R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 29, 2025 | Bearish | 7.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Bearish | 3.3 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Bearish | 3.2 | 0.31R | Stopped |
| May 17, 2024 | Bullish | 3.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Bullish | 2.5 | 0.92R | Flat |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Bearish | 1.5 | 0.80R | Stopped |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Bearish | 3.6 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Bullish | 3.6 | 1.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 1, 2018 | Bullish | 2 | 1.65R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2016 | Bearish | 1.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2015 | Bullish | 0.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 6, 2015 | Bearish | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2015 | Bullish | 2.2 | 2.55R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2014 | Bullish | 2.5 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| May 28, 2014 | Bearish | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 14, 2014 | Bullish | 1.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Bearish | 24.2 | 2.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Bearish | 9.1 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Bearish | 5.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 23, 2022 | Bearish | 6.9 | 1.01R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 9, 2021 | Bearish | 7.7 | 2.88R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 20, 2021 | Bearish | 6.7 | 1.21R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Bullish | 6.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Bearish | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 1, 2018 | Bullish | 4.1 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Jul 16, 2018 | Bearish | 1.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 25, 2017 | Bearish | 4.8 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Jul 13, 2017 | Bullish | 2.2 | 0.41R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2016 | Bullish | 3.3 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2016 | Bearish | 6.4 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Jan 11, 2016 | Bearish | 4.6 | 2.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2015 | Bearish | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2015 | Bullish | 3.8 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 6, 2014 | Bearish | 5.9 | 2.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 14, 2014 | Bullish | 3.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 13, 2013 | Bearish | 4.5 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2023 | Bearish | 6 | 0.98R | Stopped |
| Jul 7, 2020 | Bearish | 4.9 | 2.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 17, 2016 | Bearish | 12.6 | 2.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 29, 2016 | Bullish | 22.8 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 28, 2013 | Bullish | 10.2 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2014 | Bearish | 26.2 | 1.89R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2008 | Bullish | 39.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bullish | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bullish | 0.12 | 0.67R | Flat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Bearish | 0.3 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bearish | 0.05 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Bullish | 0.16 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Bearish | 0.46 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Bullish | 0.12 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Bearish | 0.42 | 1.76R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Bullish | 0.07 | 2.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bullish | 0.03 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Bearish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Bearish | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Bearish | 0.07 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Bearish | 0.07 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Bullish | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Bearish | 0.04 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Bearish | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Bullish | 0.06 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Bearish | 0.05 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Bullish | 0.02 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Bearish | 0.31 | 0.68R | Flat |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bullish | 0.46 | 1.98R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Bullish | 0.3 | 2.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Bullish | 0.07 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Bearish | 0.06 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Bearish | 0.11 | 0.27R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Bullish | 0.18 | 0.22R | Flat |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Bullish | 0.11 | 0.91R | Flat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Bearish | 0.19 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Bullish | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Bullish | 0.04 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| May 23, 2025 | Bearish | 0.1 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2025 | Bullish | 0.12 | 1.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Bullish | 0.23 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Bearish | 0.09 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Bearish | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Bearish | 0.1 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Bullish | 0.07 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Bearish | 0.05 | 0.80R | Stopped |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Bullish | 0.04 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | Bearish | 0.08 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Bullish | 0.11 | 1.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Bullish | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Bearish | 0.17 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Bullish | 0.06 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Bullish | 0.13 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Bearish | 0.22 | 1.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 2, 2024 | Bearish | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Bullish | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Bearish | 0.05 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Bearish | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Bearish | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Bearish | 0.2 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Bearish | 0.54 | 0.19R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Bullish | 0.26 | 0.58R | Flat |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Bullish | 0.63 | 0.68R | Flat |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Bearish | 0.46 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 9, 2023 | Bearish | 0.47 | 0.62R | Flat |
| Aug 1, 2022 | Bearish | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 20, 2022 | Bullish | 0.52 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2025 | Bearish | 0.34 | 0.18R | Stopped |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Bearish | 0.33 | 2.85R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Bearish | 0.75 | 0.45R | Flat |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Bearish | 0.23 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Bullish | 0.15 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 27, 2021 | Bullish | 0.19 | 0.21R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2020 | Bullish | 0.36 | 0.42R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2020 | Bearish | 0.23 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 3, 2020 | Bearish | 0.98 | 0.31R | Flat |
| Jun 19, 2019 | Bullish | 0.22 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Jan 31, 2019 | Bullish | 0.18 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Bullish | 0.09 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 14, 2018 | Bullish | 0.13 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2016 | Bearish | 0.07 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2016 | Bullish | 0.34 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2016 | Bullish | 0.42 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2016 | Bullish | 0.26 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 3, 2015 | Bearish | 0.32 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Bearish | 0.5 | 0.22R | Stopped |
| Jun 18, 2014 | Bearish | 0.42 | 1.64R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (16)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Bearish | 0.33 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Bearish | 0.43 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Bearish | 0.15 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Bullish | 0.47 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Bullish | 1.31 | 0.95R | Flat |
| Dec 27, 2021 | Bullish | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Bullish | 0.36 | 2.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 8, 2018 | Bearish | 0.49 | 0.24R | Stopped |
| May 13, 2016 | Bullish | 0.16 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Bearish | 0.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 18, 2014 | Bearish | 0.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 11, 2014 | Bearish | 0.29 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2011 | Bullish | 0.29 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 15, 2010 | Bearish | 0.69 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 11, 2010 | Bullish | 1.75 | 0.33R | Flat |
| Mar 10, 2009 | Bearish | 1.28 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (4)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2024 | Bearish | 1.27 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 25, 2019 | Bearish | 1.24 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2012 | Bearish | 0.56 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2011 | Bullish | 1.1 | 0.29R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 6.32 | 0.75R | Flat |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Bearish | 0.004 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.80R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Bearish | 0.003 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Bullish | 0.019 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Bearish | 0.021 | 0.90R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bearish | 0.038 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Bullish | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Bearish | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Bearish | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Bearish | 0.008 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bearish | 0.012 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Bearish | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bullish | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bullish | 0.004 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Bullish | 0.004 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bullish | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Bullish | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Bullish | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Bearish | 0.012 | 0.25R | Flat |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bearish | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Bullish | 0.031 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bearish | 0.007 | 1.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Bearish | 0.013 | 1.31R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 27, 2025 | Bearish | 0.036 | 0.83R | Flat |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Bearish | 0.027 | 0.41R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Bullish | 0.066 | 1.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Bearish | 0.012 | 0.42R | Stopped |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Bearish | 0.029 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Bullish | 0.039 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Bullish | 0.044 | 0.48R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Bullish | 0.007 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Bearish | 0.008 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Bearish | 0.016 | 0.31R | Flat |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Bullish | 0.006 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2023 | Bearish | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 5, 2023 | Bearish | 0.006 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2023 | Bearish | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bullish | 0.007 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bullish | 0.014 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Bullish | 0.018 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Bearish | 0.026 | 0.96R | Flat |
| May 22, 2024 | Bullish | 0.02 | 1.90R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Bearish | 0.003 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Bearish | 0.049 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Bearish | 0.029 | 0.66R | Flat |
| May 16, 2022 | Bearish | 0.033 | 2.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Bullish | 0.025 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Bearish | 0.02 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 7, 2022 | Bullish | 0.023 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Bearish | 0.043 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Bullish | 0.012 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Bullish | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Bearish | 0.025 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Bearish | 0.015 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Bearish | 0.01 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Bullish | 0.005 | 1.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (12)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bearish | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Bearish | 0.039 | 2.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Bearish | 0.022 | 0.41R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2020 | Bullish | 0.052 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Bullish | 0.008 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Bearish | 0.016 | 1.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 28, 2016 | Bearish | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 16, 2014 | Bearish | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2014 | Bearish | 0.047 | 0.13R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2014 | Bearish | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2013 | Bullish | 0.013 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2008 | Bullish | 0.047 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Gartley Completions (8)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | Bearish | 0.06 | 1.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 8, 2022 | Bearish | 0.052 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 25, 2020 | Bullish | 0.016 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Bullish | 0.015 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2016 | Bullish | 0.057 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Jun 27, 2013 | Bearish | 0.027 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 16, 2010 | Bearish | 0.024 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2008 | Bullish | 0.135 | 1.95R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Gartley Completions (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2023 | Bullish | 0.134 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Bullish | 0.028 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 30, 2019 | Bearish | 0.065 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 5, 2015 | Bearish | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2010 | Bearish | 0.269 | 0.77R | Flat |
Sample Gartley Completions (3)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Direction | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | Bearish | 0.534 | 0.36R | Stopped |
| May 17, 2019 | Bearish | 0.047 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 24, 2016 | Bullish | 0.025 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample backtests (6)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.
GC 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 59.68%
- Profit factor
- 1.35
- Max drawdown
- 1.66%
ES 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 62.50%
- Profit factor
- 1.40
- Max drawdown
- 1.18%
NQ 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 56.52%
- Profit factor
- 0.94
- Max drawdown
- 1.77%
GC 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 40.00%
- Profit factor
- 0.41
- Max drawdown
- 2.74%
ES 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 45.28%
- Profit factor
- 0.49
- Max drawdown
- 4.93%
NQ 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Gartley · balanced
- Win rate
- 46.25%
- Profit factor
- 0.69
- Max drawdown
- 7.55%