Sample Run
Harmonic Patterns
ES 15m · Shark · 2020-2024 · ES
Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Net P&L
-$16,797.75
Max Drawdown %
18.18%
Profit Factor
0.64
Win Rate
52.66%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.87
Total Trades
169
Monthly Returns
Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | · | -1.1k | 707 | -3.4k | -1.6k | -495 | 226 | -85 | -665 | -1.3k | 3.1k | 995 | -3.6k |
| 2021 | 241 | -1.1k | -344 | 191 | -804 | 1.4k | -434 | 961 | -1.3k | 324 | · | -691 | -1.6k |
| 2022 | -992 | 691 | -224 | 554 | 222 | 818 | -525 | -134 | -394 | 335 | 9 | 195 | 556 |
| 2023 | -649 | -206 | -2.3k | 77 | -1.1k | -277 | -100 | 1.9k | -277 | -878 | -128 | 171 | -3.8k |
| 2024 | -435 | -22 | -332 | · | -202 | -3.7k | 259 | -3.1k | 1.3k | -1.3k | · | -884 | -8.4k |
Detailed Metrics
Sharpe Ratio
-0.87
Sortino Ratio
-1.05
Profit Factor
0.64
Avg Win / Avg Loss
0.58
Avg Winner
$340.45
Avg Loser
-$588.73
Expectancy
-$99.39
Recovery Factor
-0.91
Max Drawdown ($)
$18,489.25
Max Drawdown (%)
18.18%
Max DD ($) Trough
1741d
Max DD ($) Recovery
Not yet recovered
Max DD (%) Trough
1741d
Max DD (%) Recovery
Not yet recovered
Commission
$464.75
Winning / Losing
89 / 80
Total Orders
510
Configuration
Strategy
Harmonic Patterns
Contracts
ES
Timeframe
15m
Date Range
Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024
Initial Capital
$100,000.00
Slippage Model
Realistic
Parameters
Pattern
Shark
Strictness
Balanced
Contracts per trade
1
Streaks
Max Consecutive Wins
5
Max Consecutive Losses
7
Avg Consecutive Wins
2.2
Avg Consecutive Losses
1.9
Median Consecutive Wins
2
Median Consecutive Losses
1.5
Daily Performance
Tradeable Days
1,295
Days Traded
155
Profitable Days
81
Daily Win Rate
52.26%
Avg Daily Return
-$108.37
Std Dev Daily
$674.68
Max Daily Return
$2,188.75
Min Daily Return
-$3,565.25
Max EOD Drawdown
$18,489.25
Per-Trade P&L Distribution
Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.
Daily P&L Distribution
Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.
Streak Distribution
How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.
Recent Daily P&L
Last 120 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.
Orders
510 orders generated by this run.
Other sample runs for this strategy
-
ES 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $1,198.75 · DD 5.92% · PF 1.03
-
ES 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net -$4,672.00 · DD 12.78% · PF 0.95
-
ES 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net $182.75 · DD 1.30% · PF 1.05
-
ES 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$4,579.00 · DD 5.25% · PF 0.50
-
ES 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $1,792.75 · DD 1.79% · PF 1.37
-
ES 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net -$2,228.00 · DD 2.90% · PF 0.80
-
ES 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,315.25 · DD 1.54% · PF 0.43
-
ES 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,032.00 · DD 2.47% · PF 0.74
-
ES 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,906.50 · DD 3.01% · PF 0.26
-
ES 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net $1,253.50 · DD 0.58% · PF 1.48
-
ES 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $4,240.25 · DD 1.10% · PF 3.09
-
ES 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $220.25 · DD 4.27% · PF 1.02
-
ES 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net $810.50 · DD 1.18% · PF 1.40
-
ES 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$4,592.75 · DD 4.93% · PF 0.49
-
ES 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$12,663.00 · DD 17.34% · PF 0.81
-
ES 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $8,782.75 · DD 3.27% · PF 1.31
-
ES 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$2,061.00 · DD 7.90% · PF 0.97
-
GC 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $2,638.75 · DD 8.70% · PF 1.05
-
GC 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net -$12,553.00 · DD 16.53% · PF 0.87
-
GC 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$693.25 · DD 1.89% · PF 0.80
-
GC 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$1,072.75 · DD 3.05% · PF 0.85
-
GC 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net -$3,600.50 · DD 4.88% · PF 0.64
-
GC 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $924.50 · DD 3.13% · PF 1.10
-
GC 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,492.00 · DD 2.11% · PF 0.37
-
GC 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$3,355.00 · DD 3.35% · PF 0.27
-
GC 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net $484.50 · DD 1.17% · PF 1.26
-
GC 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$389.50 · DD 2.18% · PF 0.92
-
GC 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$4,181.00 · DD 4.71% · PF 0.30
-
GC 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $965.25 · DD 1.75% · PF 1.20
-
GC 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$1,964.25 · DD 2.74% · PF 0.41
-
GC 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net $1,687.50 · DD 1.66% · PF 1.35
-
GC 15m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$2,808.50 · DD 7.95% · PF 0.93
-
GC 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$6,456.50 · DD 8.69% · PF 0.89
-
GC 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $5,182.50 · DD 6.10% · PF 1.18
-
GC 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $10,590.75 · DD 5.15% · PF 1.21
-
NQ 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $3,581.60 · DD 11.47% · PF 1.04
-
NQ 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $11,733.30 · DD 10.96% · PF 1.07
-
NQ 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$3,109.75 · DD 4.85% · PF 0.58
-
NQ 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$10,067.35 · DD 10.63% · PF 0.47
-
NQ 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $1,775.30 · DD 6.60% · PF 1.14
-
NQ 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net -$1,934.30 · DD 4.59% · PF 0.91
-
NQ 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$414.80 · DD 3.39% · PF 0.92
-
NQ 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$841.60 · DD 3.65% · PF 0.89
-
NQ 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,491.45 · DD 5.49% · PF 0.65
-
NQ 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,364.30 · DD 2.41% · PF 0.69
-
NQ 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $3,609.20 · DD 3.78% · PF 1.46
-
NQ 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,493.05 · DD 4.71% · PF 0.91
-
NQ 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$288.45 · DD 1.77% · PF 0.94
-
NQ 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$5,367.00 · DD 7.55% · PF 0.69
-
NQ 15m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$21,317.85 · DD 28.48% · PF 0.63
-
NQ 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$20,205.70 · DD 24.56% · PF 0.85
-
NQ 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $11,644.00 · DD 5.59% · PF 1.21
-
NQ 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$11,327.85 · DD 17.03% · PF 0.92