Sample Run
Harmonic Patterns
NQ 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024 · NQ
Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Net P&L
-$1,934.30
Max Drawdown %
4.59%
Profit Factor
0.91
Win Rate
59.52%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Total Trades
126
Monthly Returns
Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 5 | -552 | 329 | -464 | -217 | 158 | 209 | 390 | 343 | 282 | -336 | · | 148 |
| 2021 | -998 | · | -119 | 617 | -1.7k | 1.7k | · | 108 | -108 | -558 | 207 | 3.1k | 2.2k |
| 2022 | -957 | -234 | -1.4k | · | -991 | 2.0k | -682 | 468 | 1.1k | -1.1k | -120 | -312 | -2.2k |
| 2023 | 229 | -616 | -182 | -96 | 185 | 780 | 12 | 164 | 173 | -267 | -237 | 72 | 217 |
| 2024 | -393 | 81 | 28 | 296 | -828 | · | 204 | -280 | -1.1k | -282 | 169 | -94 | -2.2k |
Detailed Metrics
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Sortino Ratio
-0.24
Profit Factor
0.91
Avg Win / Avg Loss
0.62
Avg Winner
$261.21
Avg Loser
-$422.06
Expectancy
-$15.35
Recovery Factor
-0.41
Max Drawdown ($)
$4,696.85
Max Drawdown (%)
4.59%
Max DD ($) Trough
1011d
Max DD ($) Recovery
Not yet recovered
Max DD (%) Trough
1011d
Max DD (%) Recovery
Not yet recovered
Commission
$346.50
Winning / Losing
75 / 51
Total Orders
381
Configuration
Strategy
Harmonic Patterns
Contracts
NQ
Timeframe
5m
Date Range
Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024
Initial Capital
$100,000.00
Slippage Model
Realistic
Parameters
Pattern
Butterfly
Strictness
Balanced
Contracts per trade
1
Streaks
Max Consecutive Wins
8
Max Consecutive Losses
5
Avg Consecutive Wins
2.7
Avg Consecutive Losses
1.8
Median Consecutive Wins
2
Median Consecutive Losses
1
Daily Performance
Tradeable Days
1,293
Days Traded
116
Profitable Days
66
Daily Win Rate
56.90%
Avg Daily Return
-$16.68
Std Dev Daily
$456.05
Max Daily Return
$2,109.95
Min Daily Return
-$1,072.90
Max EOD Drawdown
$4,696.85
Per-Trade P&L Distribution
Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.
Daily P&L Distribution
Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.
Streak Distribution
How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.
Recent Daily P&L
Last 116 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.
Orders
381 orders generated by this run.
Other sample runs for this strategy
-
ES 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $1,198.75 · DD 5.92% · PF 1.03
-
ES 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net -$4,672.00 · DD 12.78% · PF 0.95
-
ES 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net $182.75 · DD 1.30% · PF 1.05
-
ES 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$4,579.00 · DD 5.25% · PF 0.50
-
ES 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $1,792.75 · DD 1.79% · PF 1.37
-
ES 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net -$2,228.00 · DD 2.90% · PF 0.80
-
ES 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,315.25 · DD 1.54% · PF 0.43
-
ES 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,032.00 · DD 2.47% · PF 0.74
-
ES 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,906.50 · DD 3.01% · PF 0.26
-
ES 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net $1,253.50 · DD 0.58% · PF 1.48
-
ES 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $4,240.25 · DD 1.10% · PF 3.09
-
ES 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $220.25 · DD 4.27% · PF 1.02
-
ES 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net $810.50 · DD 1.18% · PF 1.40
-
ES 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$4,592.75 · DD 4.93% · PF 0.49
-
ES 15m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$16,797.75 · DD 18.18% · PF 0.64
-
ES 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$12,663.00 · DD 17.34% · PF 0.81
-
ES 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $8,782.75 · DD 3.27% · PF 1.31
-
ES 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$2,061.00 · DD 7.90% · PF 0.97
-
GC 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $2,638.75 · DD 8.70% · PF 1.05
-
GC 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net -$12,553.00 · DD 16.53% · PF 0.87
-
GC 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$693.25 · DD 1.89% · PF 0.80
-
GC 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$1,072.75 · DD 3.05% · PF 0.85
-
GC 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net -$3,600.50 · DD 4.88% · PF 0.64
-
GC 5m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $924.50 · DD 3.13% · PF 1.10
-
GC 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,492.00 · DD 2.11% · PF 0.37
-
GC 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$3,355.00 · DD 3.35% · PF 0.27
-
GC 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net $484.50 · DD 1.17% · PF 1.26
-
GC 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$389.50 · DD 2.18% · PF 0.92
-
GC 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$4,181.00 · DD 4.71% · PF 0.30
-
GC 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $965.25 · DD 1.75% · PF 1.20
-
GC 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$1,964.25 · DD 2.74% · PF 0.41
-
GC 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net $1,687.50 · DD 1.66% · PF 1.35
-
GC 15m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$2,808.50 · DD 7.95% · PF 0.93
-
GC 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$6,456.50 · DD 8.69% · PF 0.89
-
GC 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $5,182.50 · DD 6.10% · PF 1.18
-
GC 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $10,590.75 · DD 5.15% · PF 1.21
-
NQ 15m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $3,581.60 · DD 11.47% · PF 1.04
-
NQ 5m · AB=CD · 2020-2024
Net $11,733.30 · DD 10.96% · PF 1.07
-
NQ 15m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$3,109.75 · DD 4.85% · PF 0.58
-
NQ 5m · Bat · 2020-2024
Net -$10,067.35 · DD 10.63% · PF 0.47
-
NQ 15m · Butterfly · 2020-2024
Net $1,775.30 · DD 6.60% · PF 1.14
-
NQ 15m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$414.80 · DD 3.39% · PF 0.92
-
NQ 5m · Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$841.60 · DD 3.65% · PF 0.89
-
NQ 15m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,491.45 · DD 5.49% · PF 0.65
-
NQ 5m · Cypher · 2020-2024
Net -$2,364.30 · DD 2.41% · PF 0.69
-
NQ 15m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net $3,609.20 · DD 3.78% · PF 1.46
-
NQ 5m · Deep Crab · 2020-2024
Net -$1,493.05 · DD 4.71% · PF 0.91
-
NQ 15m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$288.45 · DD 1.77% · PF 0.94
-
NQ 5m · Gartley · 2020-2024
Net -$5,367.00 · DD 7.55% · PF 0.69
-
NQ 15m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$21,317.85 · DD 28.48% · PF 0.63
-
NQ 5m · Shark · 2020-2024
Net -$20,205.70 · DD 24.56% · PF 0.85
-
NQ 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $11,644.00 · DD 5.59% · PF 1.21
-
NQ 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$11,327.85 · DD 17.03% · PF 0.92