Sample Run

VIX Spike Fade

ES + VX 1D · 2020-2024 · ES + VX

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

$40,669.00

Max Drawdown %

23.99%

Profit Factor

1.57

Win Rate

64.71%

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Total Trades

34

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
·
·
-11k
17k
16k
2.5k
11k
·
-3.4k
-281
4.0k
·
36k
2021
·
4.9k
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
4.9k
2022
·
·
-171
·
-7.9k
970
·
·
-5.1k
5.8k
·
·
-6.4k
2024
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
5.9k
·
·
·
·
5.9k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

0.70

Profit Factor

1.57

Avg Win / Avg Loss

0.85

Avg Winner

$5,113.16

Avg Loser

-$5,985.04

Expectancy

$1,196.15

Recovery Factor

1.70

Max Drawdown ($)

$23,993.00

Max Drawdown (%)

23.99%

Max DD ($) Trough

8d

Max DD ($) Recovery

35d

Max DD (%) Trough

8d

Max DD (%) Recovery

35d

Commission

$93.50

Winning / Losing

22 / 12

Total Orders

68

Configuration

Strategy

VIX Spike Fade

Contracts

ES, VX

Timeframe

1D

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Spike mode

Absolute VIX level

Absolute VIX threshold

30

Relative threshold (% above rolling mean)

30

Lookback (days, relative mode)

20

Hold (daily bars)

5

ES contracts per trade

1

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

9

Max Consecutive Losses

2

Avg Consecutive Wins

2.8

Avg Consecutive Losses

1.5

Median Consecutive Wins

2

Median Consecutive Losses

1.5

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,295

Days Traded

34

Profitable Days

22

Daily Win Rate

64.71%

Avg Daily Return

$1,196.15

Std Dev Daily

$6,484.37

Max Daily Return

$13,409.75

Min Daily Return

-$16,615.25

Max EOD Drawdown

$23,993.00

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

01234-$17k-$12k-$7.0k-$2.0k$3.0k$8.0k$13k$14k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

01234-$17k-$12k-$7.0k-$2.0k$3.0k$8.0k$13k$14k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
11223344123456789

Recent Daily P&L

Last 34 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

22W / 12L

Orders

68 orders generated by this run.