Sample Run

VIX Spike Fade

NQ + VX 1D · 2020-2024 · NQ + VX

Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Net P&L

$50,351.50

Max Drawdown %

21.57%

Profit Factor

1.48

Win Rate

64.71%

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Total Trades

34

Monthly Returns

Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2020
·
·
-7.9k
23k
19k
7.0k
18k
·
-6.1k
-426
1.3k
·
53k
2021
·
7.3k
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
7.3k
2022
·
·
-5.9k
·
-16k
3.7k
·
·
-6.1k
4.6k
·
·
-19k
2024
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
9.2k
·
·
·
·
9.2k

Detailed Metrics

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Sortino Ratio

0.60

Profit Factor

1.48

Avg Win / Avg Loss

0.81

Avg Winner

$7,030.66

Avg Loser

-$8,693.58

Expectancy

$1,480.93

Recovery Factor

1.55

Max Drawdown ($)

$32,482.50

Max Drawdown (%)

21.57%

Max DD ($) Trough

616d

Max DD ($) Recovery

Not yet recovered

Max DD (%) Trough

8d

Max DD (%) Recovery

35d

Commission

$93.50

Winning / Losing

22 / 12

Total Orders

68

Configuration

Strategy

VIX Spike Fade

Contracts

NQ, VX

Timeframe

1D

Date Range

Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024

Initial Capital

$100,000.00

Slippage Model

Realistic

Parameters

Spike mode

Absolute VIX level

Absolute VIX threshold

30

Relative threshold (% above rolling mean)

30

Lookback (days, relative mode)

20

Hold (daily bars)

5

ES contracts per trade

1

Streaks

Max Consecutive Wins

9

Max Consecutive Losses

2

Avg Consecutive Wins

3.1

Avg Consecutive Losses

1.7

Median Consecutive Wins

2

Median Consecutive Losses

2

Daily Performance

Tradeable Days

1,293

Days Traded

34

Profitable Days

22

Daily Win Rate

64.71%

Avg Daily Return

$1,480.93

Std Dev Daily

$9,581.16

Max Daily Return

$24,182.25

Min Daily Return

-$20,202.75

Max EOD Drawdown

$32,482.50

Per-Trade P&L Distribution

Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.

012345-$22k-$14k-$6.0k$2.0k$10k$18k$26k

Daily P&L Distribution

Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.

012345-$22k-$14k-$6.0k$2.0k$10k$18k$26k

Streak Distribution

How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.

Wins
Losses
224466123456789

Recent Daily P&L

Last 34 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.

22W / 12L

Orders

68 orders generated by this run.