Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bullish Homing Pigeon
Two-candle bottom: a large down candle, then a smaller down candle held entirely inside the first body.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.3% for a random long entry (-0.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.5% of the time vs 42.3% for a random long entry. The 0.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±0.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12,016 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.5% | 42.3% | -0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.9% | 28.5% | +3.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 20.1% | +4.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.5% | 56.3% | +2.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.5% | -1.4 |
12,016 occurrences · 5,134,668 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random long entry (+0.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.89×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.1% of the time vs 41.8% for a random long entry. The 0.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2,081 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.1% | 41.8% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.5% | 28.1% | +4.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.8% | 19.9% | +5.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.9% | 56.3% | +1.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.8 |
2,081 occurrences · 1,150,038 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.7% for a random long entry (+3.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.19R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.8% of the time vs 41.7% for a random long entry. The 3.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 493 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.8% | 41.7% | +3.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.7% | 28.0% | +6.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 27.4% | 20.0% | +7.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.8% | 55.8% | -1.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.5% | -2.1 |
493 occurrences · 393,544 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random long entry (+1.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.13R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.1% of the time vs 41.8% for a random long entry. The 1.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 197 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.1% | 41.8% | +1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.0% | 28.1% | +5.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 24.4% | 20.1% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.9% | 55.0% | +1.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.3% | -3.3 |
197 occurrences · 197,665 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (90). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+5.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.05×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.36R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.8% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 5.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 90 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.8% | 42.5% | +5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 42.2% | 28.9% | +13.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 20.9% | +12.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.2% | 55.0% | -2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.4% | -2.4 |
90 occurrences · 98,258 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (46). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.0% for a random long entry (-3.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.09×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.1% of the time vs 43.0% for a random long entry. The 3.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 46 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.1% | 43.0% | -3.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.9% | 29.4% | -5.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.6% | 21.0% | -1.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.9% | 55.4% | +5.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.6% | -1.6 |
46 occurrences · 22,487 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 45.1% for a random long entry (-5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.84×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.20R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.18R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 45.1% for a random long entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 45.1% | -5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 30.4% | +9.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 40.0% | 20.6% | +19.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 53.5% | +6.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.4% | -1.4 |
5 occurrences · 4,706 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.4%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.3% for a random long entry (-1.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.20×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.89R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.90R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 36.4% of the time vs 38.3% for a random long entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.4% | 38.3% | -1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.2% | 23.9% | +3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.4% | 15.7% | +4.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 60.3% | +3.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.4% | -1.4 |
7,751 occurrences · 4,973,170 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.3%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random long entry (-2.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.94R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.3% of the time vs 39.7% for a random long entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.3% | 39.7% | -2.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.4% | 25.8% | +2.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.8% | 17.5% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.7% | 58.6% | +4.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
1,711 occurrences · 1,163,478 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.2% for a random long entry (-1.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.98R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.7% of the time vs 40.2% for a random long entry. The 1.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 476 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.7% | 40.2% | -1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.2% | 26.4% | +1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.2% | 18.3% | +2.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.3% | 57.5% | +3.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.3% | -2.3 |
476 occurrences · 406,561 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.5% for a random long entry (+0.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.86×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.0% of the time vs 40.5% for a random long entry. The 0.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 217 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.0% | 40.5% | +0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.3% | 26.7% | +4.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 18.7% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 59.0% | 56.5% | +2.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.0% | -3.0 |
217 occurrences · 205,912 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (94). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
46.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.4% for a random long entry (+5.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.28R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 46.8% of the time vs 41.4% for a random long entry. The 5.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 94 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 46.8% | 41.4% | +5.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 38.3% | 27.4% | +10.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 27.7% | 19.4% | +8.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.2% | 56.2% | -3.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.4% | -2.4 |
94 occurrences · 102,855 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (35). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
48.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.3% for a random long entry (+6.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.86×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.42R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 48.6% of the time vs 42.3% for a random long entry. The 6.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 35 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 48.6% | 42.3% | +6.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 42.9% | 28.9% | +13.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 28.6% | 20.6% | +8.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.4% | 56.1% | -4.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
35 occurrences · 23,296 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 43.9% for a random long entry (+6.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.71×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.53R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 43.9% for a random long entry. The 6.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±68.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 2 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 43.9% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 28.3% | -28.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 18.6% | -18.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 54.4% | -4.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
2 occurrences · 4,710 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.8%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.2% for a random long entry (-2.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.14×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.8% of the time vs 40.2% for a random long entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.8% | 40.2% | -2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 26.6% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 18.6% | +3.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.0% | 58.1% | +3.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 1.6% | -1.4 |
13,133 occurrences · 5,273,492 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.6%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random long entry (-2.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 38.6% of the time vs 40.8% for a random long entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.6% | 40.8% | -2.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.6% | 27.1% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.7% | 19.1% | +2.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.4% | 57.4% | +4.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.7 |
2,357 occurrences · 1,202,903 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.3%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random long entry (+1.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.14R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.3% of the time vs 41.3% for a random long entry. The 1.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 548 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.3% | 41.3% | +1.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.5% | 27.5% | +5.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.9% | 19.5% | +6.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.3% | 56.5% | +0.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 2.2% | -1.8 |
548 occurrences · 413,296 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.6% for a random long entry (+2.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.97×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.4% of the time vs 41.6% for a random long entry. The 2.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 196 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 41.6% | +2.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.1% | 27.8% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.9% | 19.8% | +1.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.6% | 55.8% | -0.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.6% | -2.6 |
196 occurrences · 207,610 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (70). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.3% for a random long entry (+4.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.08×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.1% of the time vs 42.3% for a random long entry. The 4.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 70 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.1% | 42.3% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 41.4% | 28.6% | +12.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 31.4% | 20.7% | +10.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.4% | 55.6% | -4.2 |
| Went sideways | 1.4% | 2.1% | -0.7 |
70 occurrences · 103,079 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (44). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.7% for a random long entry (-1.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.14R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.9% of the time vs 42.7% for a random long entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 44 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.9% | 42.7% | -1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.8% | 29.7% | +2.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 21.8% | +3.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 59.1% | 55.8% | +3.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.5% | -1.5 |
44 occurrences · 23,332 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 46.2% for a random long entry (+3.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.12×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.50R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.22R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 46.2% for a random long entry. The 3.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 46.2% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 50.0% | 32.2% | +17.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 50.0% | 23.6% | +26.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.2% | -1.2 |
8 occurrences · 4,706 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random long entry (-0.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.12×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.4% of the time vs 39.7% for a random long entry. The 0.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±0.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11,190 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.4% | 39.7% | -0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 26.2% | +3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 18.3% | +4.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.5% | 58.6% | +1.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.7% | -1.6 |
11,190 occurrences · 5,085,799 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.6% for a random long entry (-0.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.88×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.07R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.2% of the time vs 40.6% for a random long entry. The 0.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2,373 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.2% | 40.6% | -0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.0% | 27.3% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.0% | 19.3% | +5.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 59.8% | 57.5% | +2.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 1.8% | -1.7 |
2,373 occurrences · 1,174,599 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
43.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.9% for a random long entry (+2.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.14R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 43.0% of the time vs 40.9% for a random long entry. The 2.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 547 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 43.0% | 40.9% | +2.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.0% | 27.5% | +6.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.5% | 19.7% | +6.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.9% | 56.7% | +0.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 2.3% | -2.1 |
547 occurrences · 404,950 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random long entry (+3.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.92×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 41.0% for a random long entry. The 3.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 206 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 41.0% | +3.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.0% | 27.5% | +7.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 30.1% | 19.7% | +10.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.8% | 56.1% | -0.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.9% | -2.9 |
206 occurrences · 203,708 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (91). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.5% for a random long entry (-1.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.11R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.6% of the time vs 41.5% for a random long entry. The 1.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 91 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.6% | 41.5% | -1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 31.9% | 28.1% | +3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 28.6% | 20.3% | +8.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.4% | 56.5% | +3.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.0% | -2.0 |
91 occurrences · 101,155 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (45). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
51.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.9% for a random long entry (+10.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.15×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.59R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 51.1% of the time vs 40.9% for a random long entry. The 10.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 45 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 51.1% | 40.9% | +10.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 42.2% | 28.2% | +14.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 37.8% | 20.4% | +17.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 46.7% | 57.8% | -11.2 |
| Went sideways | 2.2% | 1.2% | +1.0 |
45 occurrences · 23,115 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
60.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.5% for a random long entry (+17.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.50R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.13R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 60.0% of the time vs 42.5% for a random long entry. The 17.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 60.0% | 42.5% | +17.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 29.0% | +11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 40.0% | 20.5% | +19.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 40.0% | 56.3% | -16.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.2% | -1.2 |
5 occurrences · 4,699 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.9%
Reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.0% for a random long entry (+1.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.36×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room 40.9% of the time vs 39.0% for a random long entry — a 1.9-point gap, wider than the ±1.1-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.9% | 39.0% | +1.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.0% | 25.8% | +6.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.3% | 18.1% | +7.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.9% | 59.1% | -0.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 1.9% | -1.7 |
7,337 occurrences · 3,527,527 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.1% for a random long entry (-0.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.01×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.04R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.7% of the time vs 40.1% for a random long entry. The 0.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2,276 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.7% | 40.1% | -0.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.3% | 27.0% | +3.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.4% | 19.2% | +3.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.1% | 58.0% | +2.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 1.9% | -1.7 |
2,276 occurrences · 900,514 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.7%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random long entry (-2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.94×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.7% of the time vs 40.4% for a random long entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 636 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.7% | 40.4% | -2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.8% | 27.2% | +0.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.2% | 19.6% | +1.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.8% | 57.4% | +4.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.5% | 2.2% | -1.8 |
636 occurrences · 317,082 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.5% for a random long entry (-0.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.00×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.06R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.1% of the time vs 40.5% for a random long entry. The 0.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 269 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.1% | 40.5% | -0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.7% | 27.2% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 24.2% | 19.9% | +4.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 59.9% | 57.0% | +2.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.5% | -2.5 |
269 occurrences · 160,707 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random long entry (+0.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.00×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.05R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.2% of the time vs 40.7% for a random long entry. The 0.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 102 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.2% | 40.7% | +0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.5% | 28.0% | -0.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.6% | 20.5% | -0.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.8% | 57.7% | +1.1 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.6% | -1.6 |
102 occurrences · 80,124 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (50). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
26.0%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.8% for a random long entry (-13.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.96×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.71R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 26.0% of the time vs 39.8% for a random long entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 26.0% | 39.8% | -13.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 20.0% | 28.0% | -8.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.0% | 20.8% | -6.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 74.0% | 59.0% | +15.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.2% | -1.2 |
50 occurrences · 18,549 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its lowest low over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.6%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random long entry (-12.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.04×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.69R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random long entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.6% of the time vs 41.3% for a random long entry. The 12.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random long entry
Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.6% | 41.3% | -12.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 14.3% | 29.1% | -14.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 21.3% | -21.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 71.4% | 58.1% | +13.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 0.6% | -0.6 |
7 occurrences · 4,690 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
A bullish homing pigeon is a two-candle bottom built from two down candles. The first is a large down candle in line with the fall. The second is a smaller down candle that sits completely inside the body of the first. Both days closed lower, but the second day’s range shrank and stayed inside the first. That loss of downside force is the signal that selling is winding down.
How to spot it
- The market is falling into the pattern.
- The first candle is a large down (red) candle that fits the decline.
- The second candle is also a down (red) candle, but smaller.
- That second candle sits entirely inside the body of the first.
- The smaller the second candle, the clearer the loss of selling force.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the two candles on a real occurrence, with the decline before and the move after.
The psychology
The first candle is the decline carrying on as it has been, a large down bar that fits right into the fall. Sellers are pressing and price is dropping in step with them.
The second candle still closes lower, so on the surface the sellers got their way again. But look at its size: the whole bar fits inside the body of the one before it. The session never broke to a new low and never ran as far as the last one did. The sellers are still nominally in charge, yet they cannot push price as hard or as far as they could a bar ago. That shrinking range is the quiet part of the story. The down move is running out of fuel even while it technically continues, and the smaller the second candle, the more obvious that fade becomes.
Whether fading pressure actually flips into a bounce is the matter the figures below settle.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close down to the pattern’s invalidation point: the lowest low of the two candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful support level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:22 PM CDT | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 11:37 AM CDT | 7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:06 AM CDT | 9.5 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:12 AM CDT | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:57 AM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:52 AM CDT | 4 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:34 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:22 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:09 PM CDT | 6.25 | 2.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 7:28 PM CDT | 8.5 | 2.68R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 6:42 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 5:40 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 10:52 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:40 PM CDT | 6.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 2:17 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:57 PM CDT | 3 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 3:16 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:31 AM CDT | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 9:59 PM CDT | 1.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 4:40 AM CDT | 9.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 1:20 AM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 8:35 PM CDT | 9.75 | 1.10R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 11:56 AM CDT | 17.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 2:10 AM CDT | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2026, 1:05 AM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2026, 3:20 PM CDT | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 10:25 PM CDT | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 5, 2026, 10:30 PM CDT | 9.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 7.25 | 1.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 29, 2026, 6:25 PM CDT | 9.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 7:45 PM CDT | 9.75 | 1.56R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT | 9.25 | 2.35R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 22, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 6.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026, 2:00 AM CDT | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026, 10:05 PM CDT | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026, 10:31 AM CDT | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 5 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 2:30 AM CDT | 21.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026, 9:45 PM CDT | 26.75 | 1.03R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT | 62.75 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 8:30 AM CST | 16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 15.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 18, 2026, 5:15 PM CST | 44.5 | 0.66R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2025, 5:45 PM CST | 13.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2025, 9:15 PM CST | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 8, 2025, 2:15 PM CDT | 10.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 21, 2025, 8:45 PM CDT | 10.75 | 2.49R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 15, 2025, 2:15 PM CDT | 31.5 | 2.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 7, 2025, 11:45 PM CDT | 6.25 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 7, 2025, 8:45 PM CDT | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 28, 2025, 4:45 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 23, 2025, 10:15 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 8, 2025, 5:45 PM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 5, 2025, 12:15 AM CDT | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 74.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2025, 5:45 PM CDT | 87.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026, 9:30 AM CDT | 39.75 | 2.16R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 32 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2026, 12:00 AM CST | 10.25 | 1.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CST | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 12, 2025, 2:30 PM CST | 64 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 1, 2025, 11:00 PM CST | 12.5 | 0.40R | Stopped |
| Nov 11, 2025, 3:00 AM CST | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 14, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 16 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 13, 2025, 10:30 AM CDT | 32.75 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Jul 3, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT | 8.25 | 2.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 10, 2025, 3:00 AM CDT | 62.5 | 2.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT | 7.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2025, 11:30 PM CST | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2025, 12:30 AM CST | 11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2025, 11:00 PM CST | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 17, 2025, 2:30 PM CST | 21.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 12, 2025, 9:30 PM CST | 22.75 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 2, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 16 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| Nov 7, 2024, 4:00 AM CST | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT | 11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 12, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 24, 2025, 1:00 PM CST | 24 | 2.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 2, 2024, 12:00 AM CDT | 21.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 4, 2024, 12:00 AM CDT | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 17, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 13.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 14, 2023, 5:00 AM CDT | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 23, 2023, 3:00 AM CDT | 10.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2022, 7:00 PM CST | 10 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 44.25 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2022, 7:00 PM CDT | 18 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 24, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 32.5 | 0.04R | Stopped |
| May 12, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT | 67.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 11, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT | 28.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 27 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 28.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 42.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 31, 2020, 4:00 AM CDT | 16 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Aug 11, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 82.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 178.25 | 0.91R | Stopped |
| Oct 31, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 34.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT | 56 | 0.85R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 124.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 92 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 2, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 17.75 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Sep 12, 2023, 5:03 AM CDT | 51.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 6, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 68.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 184.25 | 0.70R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 90 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 4, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 92.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 8, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 71.25 | 1.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 99.25 | 2.30R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 61.75 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Nov 4, 2018, 5:00 PM CST | 57.75 | 0.32R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 84.5 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Jun 25, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 50.5 | 1.84R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 29, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 45.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 32.75 | 0.30R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 83.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 18, 2023 | 134.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 10, 2023 | 129.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 25, 2016 | 43 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2008 | 31.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:06 AM CDT | 2 | 0.75R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 4:34 AM CDT | 1 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:55 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 1:28 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 23, 2026, 8:44 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:52 PM CDT | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:42 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 6:03 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:38 PM CDT | 1.25 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 12:37 PM CDT | 1.25 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 3:58 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 2:11 PM CDT | 0.5 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 7:58 AM CDT | 0.75 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 19, 2026, 9:13 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026, 3:35 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026, 1:32 AM CDT | 0.5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 16, 2026, 1:25 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:34 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:05 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:15 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 12, 2026, 9:25 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 8:20 PM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026, 5:20 AM CDT | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026, 1:55 AM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 10:45 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 26, 2026, 2:35 AM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2026, 3:50 AM CST | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026, 2:35 PM CST | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 2:10 PM CST | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2026, 9:10 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 5, 2026, 12:25 PM CST | 3 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2026, 3:00 AM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 5:05 AM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 3:10 AM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2026, 10:20 PM CST | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2026, 8:30 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2026, 9:45 PM CDT | 6.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2026, 11:00 PM CST | 3 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2026, 1:15 PM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 5:45 PM CST | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2025, 10:00 PM CST | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2025, 3:45 AM CST | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 29, 2025, 12:30 PM CDT | 3.75 | 2.87R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 29, 2025, 12:15 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 31, 2025, 9:45 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 29, 2025, 5:46 AM CDT | 2.75 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 28, 2025, 5:15 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 24, 2025, 8:15 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 19, 2025, 8:45 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 3, 2025, 10:15 PM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 15, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.45R | Stopped |
| May 12, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 2.5 | 2.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 26, 2025, 2:30 AM CST | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2025, 5:45 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 29, 2025, 4:00 AM CST | 4.75 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2025, 11:01 AM CDT | 10 | 1.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT | 2 | 0.63R | Stopped |
| Jun 10, 2025, 8:30 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2025, 6:30 AM CDT | 11 | 2.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT | 21 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2025, 9:00 AM CST | 8.75 | 2.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2025, 11:00 PM CST | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 26, 2024, 11:00 PM CST | 2.25 | 2.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2024, 11:30 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 23, 2024, 1:30 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2024, 7:00 AM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 15, 2024, 1:01 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 25, 2024, 6:30 PM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 3, 2024, 4:00 AM CST | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2023, 4:30 AM CST | 1 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 14, 2023, 1:34 AM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2023, 9:30 PM CST | 1.75 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Oct 9, 2023, 11:30 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT | 7.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2025, 6:00 PM CST | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 18, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 6.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 11.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 21, 2024, 4:06 AM CDT | 2 | 1.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 11, 2024, 4:00 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 13, 2023, 7:00 PM CST | 1.25 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 17, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 25, 2023, 10:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 21, 2022, 4:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 0.72R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2022, 4:00 AM CDT | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 15, 2022, 8:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 15, 2022, 7:00 PM CDT | 4.5 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 16.75 | 0.25R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2022, 9:00 PM CDT | 1.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 7, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 30, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 13, 2021, 2:02 AM CDT | 3.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 27, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 25.5 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 37.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 7.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 6, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 21.75 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 4, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT | 15.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2019, 5:00 PM CST | 22.75 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Nov 4, 2018, 5:00 PM CST | 16.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 20.5 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| May 29, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 14.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 12.25 | 0.94R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2017, 5:04 AM CST | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 15, 2017, 5:09 AM CDT | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT | 9 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Aug 30, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Aug 2, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT | 10.5 | 2.95R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2016, 5:00 PM CST | 18.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (2)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2023 | 37.5 | 1.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 29, 2020 | 25.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 4:23 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:14 AM CDT | 0.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 2:12 AM CDT | 1.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:51 AM CDT | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 11:41 PM CDT | 0.5 | 1.20R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:40 PM CDT | 0.8 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:38 AM CDT | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 4:36 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 12:39 AM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:52 PM CDT | 0.6 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:29 PM CDT | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM CDT | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 10:06 PM CDT | 0.4 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 8:09 PM CDT | 1.7 | 2.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 6:02 PM CDT | 3.8 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2026, 5:43 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:06 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 11:04 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 9:57 AM CDT | 0.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 AM CDT | 1.1 | 1.09R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:42 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 9:12 AM CDT | 7.8 | 0.97R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 8:36 AM CDT | 5.8 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 1:35 AM CDT | 2.4 | 2.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2026, 11:55 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 19, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 7:02 PM CDT | 2.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 3:22 PM CDT | 0.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:35 PM CDT | 1.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 1:05 PM CDT | 4.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 2:21 PM CDT | 2.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 11:25 PM CDT | 3.9 | 0.92R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 10:46 AM CDT | 7.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 3:06 AM CDT | 1.7 | 1.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 2:11 AM CDT | 3.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 6:52 PM CDT | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 23, 2026, 10:45 PM CDT | 5.6 | 2.98R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 22, 2026, 9:55 PM CDT | 6.3 | 2.71R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 19, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026, 9:15 AM CDT | 6.8 | 0.49R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026, 9:18 PM CDT | 2.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 10:45 PM CDT | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT | 2.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 6:30 AM CDT | 6.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 23.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2026, 12:45 AM CST | 19.7 | 1.32R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 22, 2026, 10:30 PM CST | 4.2 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2026, 9:47 PM CST | 4.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2026, 7:52 AM CST | 8.3 | 0.29R | Stopped |
| Feb 15, 2026, 10:19 PM CST | 6.2 | 0.58R | Stopped |
| Feb 15, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2026, 6:45 AM CST | 4.7 | 1.96R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 30, 2025, 10:00 PM CST | 3.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2025, 3:00 PM CST | 2.3 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Dec 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CST | 4 | 2.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 20, 2025, 4:15 AM CDT | 2.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2025, 1:45 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 17, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT | 1.7 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Aug 25, 2025, 3:30 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 20, 2025, 6:45 PM CDT | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT | 9.1 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 12:31 PM CDT | 8.9 | 1.64R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 5, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 5.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM CDT | 5.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 15, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 12.8 | 1.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 21, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT | 16.2 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2025, 9:01 AM CDT | 10.7 | 2.51R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 24, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 2.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 9, 2025, 3:30 PM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 26, 2025, 8:37 PM CDT | 6.5 | 1.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 14, 2025, 12:01 AM CDT | 2.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 23, 2024, 1:33 PM CDT | 1.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 2, 2024, 6:00 AM CDT | 2.1 | 1.90R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 14, 2024, 9:38 AM CDT | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2024, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 12, 2024, 3:06 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 26, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2024, 6:31 PM CDT | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 2, 2024, 11:00 PM CDT | 1.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024, 6:17 AM CDT | 0.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 4.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 5, 2025, 2:03 PM CDT | 1.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2025, 6:00 PM CST | 11.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 25, 2024, 11:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 17, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 18, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.2 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 1, 2022, 8:00 PM CST | 2.4 | 2.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 20, 2022, 7:02 AM CDT | 3.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 7, 2022, 11:01 PM CDT | 1.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 20, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 3.4 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 19, 2021, 1:00 PM CST | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 18, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 2.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 24, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 8.1 | 0.91R | Flat |
| Apr 22, 2020, 7:02 PM CDT | 3.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 1.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 29, 2019, 9:03 PM CDT | 1.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.2 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 27, 2019, 10:00 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2019, 5:00 PM CST | 0.5 | 2.40R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025, 9:00 PM CDT | 22.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 10.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 8, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 14 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 9.1 | 0.88R | Stopped |
| Jul 29, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 10 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 12, 2023, 5:00 PM CST | 4.6 | 0.83R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 6.3 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 5.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 6.6 | 0.12R | Stopped |
| Aug 9, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 15.1 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 16, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 21, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 10.5 | 2.78R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT | 4.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 1, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT | 7.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 21, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT | 3.9 | 1.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 29, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT | 3.4 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Feb 7, 2018, 5:00 PM CST | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 5, 2017, 5:00 PM CST | 4.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.6 | 2.44R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (8)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2019 | 4.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2014 | 8.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2014 | 7.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 13.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 1, 2009 | 7.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2008 | 10.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2008 | 12.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 1:19 PM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:33 AM CDT | 0.09 | 1.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:36 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:00 AM CDT | 0.16 | 1.69R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:40 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:14 PM CDT | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 27, 2026, 3:58 PM CDT | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 9:52 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 26, 2026, 9:51 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 3:39 PM CDT | 0.08 | 0.38R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 5:44 AM CDT | 0.05 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 9:01 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 23, 2026, 6:31 PM CDT | 0.02 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 10:50 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 4:23 AM CDT | 0.07 | 1.43R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 3:16 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:56 AM CDT | 0.04 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 7:12 PM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:54 PM CDT | 0.02 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 21, 2026, 5:53 PM CDT | 0.04 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM CDT | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 7:53 AM CDT | 0.17 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 12:04 AM CDT | 0.13 | 1.23R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 1:40 PM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 11:18 PM CDT | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 11:03 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2026, 9:10 PM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 29, 2026, 8:45 PM CDT | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 1:41 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 5:01 AM CDT | 0.29 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 24, 2026, 5:45 PM CDT | 0.28 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 12:50 AM CDT | 0.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 6:35 PM CST | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 17, 2026, 11:15 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 17, 2026, 6:38 PM CST | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2026, 9:14 PM CST | — | — | Open |
| Feb 16, 2026, 8:46 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 4, 2026, 1:53 PM CST | 0.58 | 0.72R | Flat |
| Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM CST | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026, 9:16 AM CDT | 0.48 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 17, 2026, 12:00 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026, 10:02 AM CDT | 0.33 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2026, 12:17 AM CDT | 1.03 | 0.08R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 6:45 PM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 7:39 PM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 5, 2025, 12:59 PM CST | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 3, 2025, 12:32 PM CST | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 30, 2025, 10:53 PM CDT | 0.03 | 1.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 16, 2025, 9:24 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 14, 2025, 2:51 AM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025, 9:08 PM CDT | 0.04 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 23, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2025, 10:49 PM CDT | 0.04 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2025, 11:38 PM CDT | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 27, 2025, 10:17 PM CDT | 0.02 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 4, 2025, 1:09 PM CDT | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 17, 2025, 7:15 PM CDT | 0.18 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026, 12:02 AM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 9:17 PM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2025, 11:26 AM CST | 0.06 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 8, 2025, 11:57 PM CST | 0.07 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 14, 2025, 2:11 PM CST | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 6, 2025, 6:09 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2025, 6:09 PM CDT | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2025, 5:31 PM CDT | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 11, 2025, 6:44 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 19, 2025, 12:04 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 7, 2025, 8:32 AM CDT | 0.19 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2025, 6:03 PM CDT | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2025, 5:30 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 2, 2025, 10:30 PM CST | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 21, 2025, 3:20 PM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 21, 2025, 12:50 AM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2024, 2:13 PM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 17, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.57R | Stopped |
| Jul 16, 2024, 2:42 PM CDT | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026, 12:00 AM CDT | 0.18 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 26, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 17, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2025, 1:26 PM CST | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 30, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.07 | 0.43R | Stopped |
| May 18, 2025, 9:02 PM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2025, 2:26 AM CDT | 0.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 5, 2025, 12:07 PM CST | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 3, 2024, 11:26 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 22, 2024, 2:11 PM CDT | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 16, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.15 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 10, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 17, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 8, 2023, 7:07 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 23, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.36 | 0.22R | Stopped |
| Feb 13, 2023, 5:00 PM CST | 0.16 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Nov 15, 2022, 9:06 PM CST | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.27 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 19, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.26 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 31, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.61 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.39 | 0.54R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.63 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 10, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.93 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 14, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 17, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.26 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2023, 5:00 PM CST | 0.51 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 2, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.68 | 0.09R | Stopped |
| May 18, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.35 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 1, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.14 | 0.39R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2023, 9:06 AM CDT | 0.57 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 15, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.26 | 0.79R | Stopped |
| Dec 6, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 0.78 | 0.53R | Stopped |
| Jul 5, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.57 | 0.66R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 1.26 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 2.67 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| May 26, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.54 | 0.74R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2025 | 0.29 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 24, 2020 | 0.93 | 1.49R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 29, 2013 | 0.64 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2009 | 1.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2008 | 1.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 10:13 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:20 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 10:03 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 5:35 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 5:08 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 2:53 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:54 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 11:36 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 10:51 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:56 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:07 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 24, 2026, 8:17 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 6:03 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 23, 2026, 1:53 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 22, 2026, 10:38 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 22, 2026, 9:29 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 8:58 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 2:09 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 20, 2026, 3:52 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 5:29 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 12:18 AM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 3:48 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 2:21 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 15, 2026, 10:36 AM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 4:53 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 14, 2026, 5:26 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 5:23 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 3:44 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 2:26 PM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2026, 11:06 PM CDT | 0.007 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026, 12:51 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 11:10 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Mar 29, 2026, 11:38 PM CDT | 0.002 | 2.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026, 4:40 AM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 AM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2026, 7:16 PM CDT | 0.003 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:32 PM CDT | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2026, 5:19 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 AM CDT | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 26, 2026, 12:34 AM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 24, 2026, 8:11 PM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026, 3:44 PM CST | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 1, 2026, 5:47 PM CST | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 28, 2026, 3:57 AM CST | 0.025 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2026, 5:20 AM CST | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2025, 10:13 PM CST | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2025, 2:16 AM CST | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2025, 2:33 AM CST | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 9, 2025, 1:42 AM CST | 0.009 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 2, 2025, 11:03 AM CST | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 1, 2025, 1:22 AM CST | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 18, 2025, 5:15 PM CST | 0.009 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 13, 2025, 2:20 PM CST | 0.009 | 1.44R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2025, 11:05 AM CST | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 4, 2025, 12:19 AM CST | 0.007 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026, 2:38 PM CDT | 0.006 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 23, 2026, 1:23 PM CDT | 0.018 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2026, 5:34 PM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2025, 5:13 AM CST | 0.015 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2025, 5:00 PM CST | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2025, 1:50 AM CST | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 28, 2025, 3:06 AM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 21, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 27, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT | 0.002 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 23, 2025, 2:26 AM CDT | 0.007 | 0.86R | Stopped |
| Jul 8, 2025, 8:35 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 16, 2025, 7:28 PM CDT | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 8, 2025, 6:02 PM CDT | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 18, 2025, 6:38 PM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 7, 2025, 8:51 PM CDT | 0.006 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2025, 3:35 AM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2025, 3:37 AM CDT | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 2, 2025, 5:30 PM CST | 0.015 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2025, 5:30 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026, 1:59 PM CDT | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026, 9:02 PM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 23, 2025, 2:59 AM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 30, 2025, 9:48 PM CDT | 0.01 | 1.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2025, 2:56 PM CDT | 0.006 | 2.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 24, 2024, 10:05 AM CDT | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 29, 2024, 5:00 PM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2023, 6:09 PM CST | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 28, 2023, 2:03 AM CST | 0.012 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 5, 2023, 9:02 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2023, 6:21 PM CDT | 0.008 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 29, 2023, 2:31 AM CDT | 0.009 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 13, 2023, 8:07 PM CDT | 0.009 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 10, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.004 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 26, 2023, 10:08 AM CDT | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 22, 2022, 2:13 AM CST | 0.029 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 20, 2022, 11:31 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 29, 2022, 10:08 PM CDT | 0.021 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 30, 2022, 10:29 AM CDT | 0.036 | 1.33R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 17, 2022, 9:48 PM CDT | 0.021 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026, 6:24 AM CDT | 0.03 | — | Open |
| Feb 2, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 0.047 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 14, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 0.032 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 8, 2026, 5:00 PM CST | 0.045 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 19, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.025 | 0.76R | Stopped |
| Jun 30, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.029 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 14, 2025, 10:11 PM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.013 | 1.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 20, 2023, 5:00 PM CST | 0.017 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 1, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 23, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.019 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 28, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.055 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Mar 10, 2023, 2:16 AM CST | 0.031 | 2.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 1, 2023, 5:00 PM CST | 0.039 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 12, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.075 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 17, 2021, 5:00 PM CST | 0.054 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 20, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.008 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bullish Homing Pigeon Firings (7)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 0.294 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Sep 14, 2020 | 0.057 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 0.068 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 26, 2014 | 0.06 | 2.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 26, 2011 | 0.068 | 0.50R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 0.081 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 28, 2008 | 0.228 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample backtest
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.