Backtest Sample
Three Drives
NQ 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024 · NQ
Backtest results model slippage, fills, and commissions, but cannot fully replicate live market conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Net P&L
$11,644.00
Max Drawdown %
5.59%
Profit Factor
1.21
Win Rate
58.15%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Total Trades
184
Monthly Returns
Net P&L by calendar month. Helps spot strategies that ride one or two great periods vs. those that compound steadily.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | -236 | 510 | 4.1k | -1.7k | 117 | 302 | -50 | · | 1.9k | -31 | -1.1k | 373 | 4.1k |
| 2021 | 1.1k | -736 | -1.1k | 645 | -2.5k | -321 | -11 | 193 | -1.6k | -227 | 2.1k | 2.3k | -148 |
| 2022 | -624 | 1.1k | -1.3k | -13 | 967 | -498 | 2.5k | 2.3k | 297 | · | 1.2k | -176 | 5.7k |
| 2023 | -37 | · | -732 | · | 1.0k | 860 | -731 | 1.1k | 888 | -905 | -485 | 850 | 1.9k |
| 2024 | -516 | · | -544 | 747 | 1.3k | 121 | -3.7k | 384 | 1.3k | 3.9k | -2.9k | 64 | 81 |
Detailed Metrics
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
0.65
Profit Factor
1.21
Avg Win / Avg Loss
0.87
Avg Winner
$629.37
Avg Loser
-$723.35
Expectancy
$63.28
Recovery Factor
1.98
Max Drawdown ($)
$5,883.15
Max Drawdown (%)
5.59%
Max DD ($) Trough
381d
Max DD ($) Recovery
571d
Max DD (%) Trough
381d
Max DD (%) Recovery
571d
Commission
$506.00
Winning / Losing
107 / 77
Total Orders
559
Configuration
Strategy
Harmonic Patterns
Contracts
NQ
Timeframe
15m
Date Range
Jan 1, 2020 - Dec 31, 2024
Initial Capital
$100,000.00
Slippage Model
Realistic
Parameters
Pattern
Three Drives
Strictness
Balanced
Contracts per trade
1
Streaks
Max Consecutive Wins
11
Max Consecutive Losses
5
Avg Consecutive Wins
2.5
Avg Consecutive Losses
1.8
Median Consecutive Wins
2
Median Consecutive Losses
1
Daily Performance
Tradeable Days
1,293
Days Traded
168
Profitable Days
97
Daily Win Rate
57.74%
Avg Daily Return
$69.31
Std Dev Daily
$914.11
Max Daily Return
$2,834.05
Min Daily Return
-$2,714.85
Max EOD Drawdown
$5,883.15
Per-Trade P&L Distribution
Spread of single-trade outcomes. Wide tails on the right reveal whether the strategy depends on a few large winners.
Daily P&L Distribution
Spread of net P&L per trading day. A flat right tail means consistency; a single large positive bin means luck.
Streak Distribution
How often each consecutive win or loss run occurred. Long bars on either side hint at clustered streaks.
Recent Daily P&L
Last 120 trading days, oldest top-left to newest bottom-right. Brighter green for bigger winning days, brighter red for bigger losing days.
Orders
559 orders generated by this run.
More Three Drives backtests
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ES 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $8,782.75 · DD 3.27% · PF 1.31
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ES 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$2,061.00 · DD 7.90% · PF 0.97
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GC 15m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $5,182.50 · DD 6.10% · PF 1.18
-
GC 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net $10,590.75 · DD 5.15% · PF 1.21
-
NQ 5m · Three Drives · 2020-2024
Net -$11,327.85 · DD 17.03% · PF 0.92