Pattern Detail

Bearish Descending Hawk

Two-candle bearish reversal: two up candles where the second is small and held entirely inside the first, a fading rally.

A real Bearish Descending Hawk on NQ daily bars, Feb 9, 2009. Price then followed through 5.2% over the next 5 bars. The bright candles are the pattern; the dimmed bars are surrounding context.

How to read this

Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.6%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.6% for a random short entry (-0.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.92×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.06R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 40.6% of the time vs 41.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.6%	41.6%	-0.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	31.9%	28.2%	+3.7
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	24.8%	20.1%	+4.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	59.2%	57.1%	+2.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.2%	1.3%	-1.1

13,002 occurrences · 5,120,720 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

39.6%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (-0.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.04R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 39.6% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry. The 0.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±2.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 2,327 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	39.6%	40.4%	-0.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.8%	27.4%	+3.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.6%	19.8%	+3.8
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.2%	58.1%	+2.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.2%	1.5%	-1.3

2,327 occurrences · 1,146,594 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.0%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (-1.6 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.85×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.00R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 38.0% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry. The 1.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 581 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.0%	39.6%	-1.6
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.1%	26.9%	+1.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.2%	19.6%	+3.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	62.0%	58.5%	+3.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.9%	-1.9

581 occurrences · 392,491 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.7%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+1.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.86×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.09R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 40.7% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 268 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.7%	38.9%	+1.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.2%	26.4%	+3.8
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.1%	19.4%	+3.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.6%	58.7%	-0.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.7%	2.4%	-1.7

268 occurrences · 197,303 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

43.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.3% for a random short entry (+5.5 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.87×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.11R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 43.8% of the time vs 38.3% for a random short entry. The 5.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±8.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 121 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	43.8%	38.3%	+5.5
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.8%	26.4%	+3.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	24.0%	19.5%	+4.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	56.2%	60.0%	-3.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.7%	-1.7

121 occurrences · 98,132 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (65). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.5%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.6% for a random short entry (+5.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.76×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.05R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.98R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 41.5% of the time vs 36.6% for a random short entry. The 5.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 65 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.5%	36.6%	+5.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	24.6%	25.8%	-1.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	18.5%	19.7%	-1.2
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.5%	62.5%	-4.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.9%	-0.9

65 occurrences · 22,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

25.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 33.9% for a random short entry (-8.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.92×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.66R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.92R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 33.9% for a random short entry. The 8.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±26.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 12 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 12 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	25.0%	33.9%	-8.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	16.7%	23.7%	-7.0
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	8.3%	17.3%	-8.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	75.0%	65.6%	+9.4
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.5%	-0.5

12 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

35.9%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 37.8% for a random short entry (-1.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.11×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.88R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.89R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 35.9% of the time vs 37.8% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	35.9%	37.8%	-1.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.3%	23.7%	+3.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.0%	15.7%	+4.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	64.0%	61.0%	+3.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.2

8,058 occurrences · 4,948,951 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

36.2%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.5% for a random short entry (-2.3 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.85×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.92R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 36.2% of the time vs 38.5% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	36.2%	38.5%	-2.3
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.3%	25.2%	+2.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.8%	17.5%	+3.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	63.7%	60.1%	+3.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.2%	1.4%	-1.3

1,987 occurrences · 1,157,568 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

35.4%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.4% for a random short entry (-3.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.86R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 35.4% of the time vs 38.4% for a random short entry. The 3.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 632 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	35.4%	38.4%	-3.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	24.8%	25.6%	-0.7
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	16.9%	18.2%	-1.2
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	64.6%	59.7%	+4.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.9%	-1.9

632 occurrences · 404,347 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.1% for a random short entry (+0.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.76×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.99R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 38.8% of the time vs 38.1% for a random short entry. The 0.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 278 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.8%	38.1%	+0.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.8%	25.5%	+3.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	21.9%	18.4%	+3.6
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.8%	59.7%	+1.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	2.2%	-1.9

278 occurrences · 205,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.1%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.0% for a random short entry (+0.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.75×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.00R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.00R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 38.1% of the time vs 38.0% for a random short entry. The 0.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 147 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.1%	38.0%	+0.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.6%	25.7%	+2.9
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	19.7%	18.6%	+1.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	61.2%	60.3%	+0.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.7%	1.7%	-1.0

147 occurrences · 102,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (41). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.5%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.8% for a random short entry (+4.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.78×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.09R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 41.5% of the time vs 36.8% for a random short entry. The 4.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 41 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.5%	36.8%	+4.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	24.4%	26.1%	-1.8
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	14.6%	19.8%	-5.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.5%	62.4%	-3.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.9%	-0.9

41 occurrences · 23,231 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 34.9% for a random short entry (+5.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.98×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.26R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.93R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 34.9% for a random short entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±29.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.0%	34.9%	+5.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	40.0%	24.0%	+16.0
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	40.0%	17.7%	+22.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.0%	64.6%	-4.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.6%	-0.6

10 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

37.9%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-2.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.08×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.00R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 37.9% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	37.9%	40.3%	-2.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.1%	26.9%	+2.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.6%	18.9%	+3.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	62.0%	58.2%	+3.7
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.1%	1.5%	-1.4

13,910 occurrences · 5,259,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.4%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (-2.3 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.93×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.02R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 38.4% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.4%	40.7%	-2.3
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.0%	27.3%	+1.7
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.2%	19.4%	+2.8
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	61.4%	57.8%	+3.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.2%	1.6%	-1.4

2,504 occurrences · 1,200,551 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.9%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (-1.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.92×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.03R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 38.9% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 597 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.9%	40.7%	-1.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.3%	27.4%	+0.9
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.3%	19.6%	+3.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	61.1%	57.4%	+3.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.9%	-1.9

597 occurrences · 412,684 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.2%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (+3.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.91×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.13R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry. The 3.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 215 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.2%	40.7%	+3.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	33.0%	27.5%	+5.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.3%	19.8%	+3.4
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	55.8%	57.0%	-1.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	2.3%	-2.3

215 occurrences · 207,345 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (88). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

31.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (-9.2 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.91×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.81R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 31.8% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry. The 9.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 88 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	31.8%	41.0%	-9.2
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	21.6%	28.0%	-6.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	12.5%	20.4%	-7.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	68.2%	57.1%	+11.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.9%	-1.9

88 occurrences · 102,946 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

37.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.5% for a random short entry (-3.5 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.95×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.93R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 37.0% of the time vs 40.5% for a random short entry. The 3.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 27 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 27 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	37.0%	40.5%	-3.5
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	18.5%	28.2%	-9.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	14.8%	20.7%	-5.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	63.0%	58.2%	+4.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

27 occurrences · 23,320 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.1% for a random short entry (+1.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.03×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.28R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 38.1% for a random short entry. The 1.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±42.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.0%	38.1%	+1.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	40.0%	25.2%	+14.8
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	40.0%	17.9%	+22.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.0%	60.3%	-0.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.5%	-1.5

5 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.2%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (-1.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.11×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.01R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 38.2% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.2%	39.6%	-1.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.2%	26.1%	+3.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.7%	18.4%	+4.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	61.7%	58.9%	+2.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.1%	1.6%	-1.4

11,658 occurrences · 5,086,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

37.9%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.2% for a random short entry (-2.3 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.86×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.00R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 37.9% of the time vs 40.2% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	37.9%	40.2%	-2.3
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.1%	27.1%	+1.0
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	21.6%	19.3%	+2.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	62.0%	58.0%	+3.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.1%	1.7%	-1.6

2,426 occurrences · 1,173,784 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.2%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (+0.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.10R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 41.2% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 0.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 629 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.2%	40.3%	+0.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.5%	27.3%	+3.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	24.2%	19.7%	+4.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.8%	57.7%	+1.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	2.1%	-2.1

629 occurrences · 404,433 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

35.1%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-5.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.87×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.91R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 35.1% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 222 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	35.1%	40.3%	-5.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	23.0%	27.4%	-4.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	19.4%	19.8%	-0.4
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	64.4%	57.1%	+7.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	2.7%	-2.2

222 occurrences · 203,442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

32.0%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random short entry (-8.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.91×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.86R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 32.0% of the time vs 40.8% for a random short entry. The 8.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 100 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	32.0%	40.8%	-8.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	23.0%	28.1%	-5.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.0%	20.5%	-0.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	68.0%	57.4%	+10.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.8%	-1.8

100 occurrences · 101,072 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (41). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

31.7%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random short entry (-8.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.97R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 31.7% of the time vs 39.7% for a random short entry. The 8.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 41 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	31.7%	39.7%	-8.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	24.4%	27.8%	-3.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	19.5%	20.4%	-0.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	68.3%	59.1%	+9.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

41 occurrences · 23,097 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+1.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.67×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.20R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 1.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±42.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.0%	38.9%	+1.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	40.0%	26.6%	+13.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	40.0%	19.5%	+20.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.0%	59.8%	+0.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.4%	-1.4

5 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.9%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.7% for a random short entry (+2.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.32×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.08R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 40.9% of the time vs 38.7% for a random short entry — a 2.1-point gap, wider than the ±1.1-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.9%	38.7%	+2.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	31.7%	25.6%	+6.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	24.9%	18.0%	+6.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	59.0%	59.3%	-0.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.2%	2.0%	-1.8

7,438 occurrences · 3,516,512 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

37.5%

Backwards

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (-2.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.97×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.98R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room only 37.5% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	37.5%	39.9%	-2.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.5%	26.9%	+1.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.9%	19.1%	+1.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	62.2%	58.1%	+4.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.3%	2.0%	-1.7

2,172 occurrences · 898,027 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

39.3%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-1.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.95×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.06R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 39.3% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 1.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 591 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	39.3%	40.3%	-1.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.4%	27.1%	+2.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	23.0%	19.4%	+3.6
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.2%	57.4%	+2.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	2.3%	-1.8

591 occurrences · 316,487 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

47.3%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (+6.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.99×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.26R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 47.3% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry — a 6.9-point gap, wider than the ±6.0-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	47.3%	40.4%	+6.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	38.4%	27.2%	+11.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	30.6%	19.5%	+11.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	52.7%	57.0%	-4.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	2.6%	-2.6

258 occurrences · 160,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

39.3%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (-1.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.96×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.03R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 39.3% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry. The 1.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 112 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	39.3%	41.0%	-1.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.5%	28.3%	+1.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.3%	20.6%	+1.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	60.7%	57.3%	+3.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.7%	-1.7

112 occurrences · 80,057 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (42). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

33.3%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (-6.6 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.99×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.97R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry. The 6.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 42 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	33.3%	39.9%	-6.6
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	26.2%	27.4%	-1.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	14.3%	20.2%	-5.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	66.7%	58.8%	+7.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

42 occurrences · 18,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

71.4%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (+31.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.33×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.

Typical room (20-bar)

2.14R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 71.4% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry. The 31.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	71.4%	39.6%	+31.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	71.4%	26.0%	+45.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	57.1%	18.0%	+39.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	28.6%	59.3%	-30.7
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.1%	-1.1

7 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

A bearish descending hawk is a two-candle stall built from two up candles. The first is a large up candle that runs with the trend, and the second is a smaller up candle whose whole range fits inside the first. Both bars are green, so it still looks bullish on the surface, but the shrinking second candle shows buyers losing reach. The narrowing after a strong push is the warning.

How to spot it

The market is rising into the pattern.
The first candle is a large up (green) candle.
The second candle is also an up (green) candle, but smaller.
The second candle’s entire range sits inside the first candle’s range.
The signal is the loss of momentum, not a down candle yet.

The dashed box on the chart above marks the 2 candles on a real occurrence, with the advance before and the move after.

The psychology

Both candles are green, so the rally looks intact at a glance. The first is a large up bar that runs hard with the trend, exactly what a healthy advance should produce. The second is up as well, but small, and its whole range fits inside the first.

That shrinking is the catch. Buyers tried again on the second bar and could not extend the move. They held the ground but covered far less of it, which is the first sign that demand is thinning right when it should be strongest. Nobody is selling yet, there is no red candle to point to, but the loss of reach after a strong push says the side in control is running low on fuel. The narrowing, not a down bar, is the warning.

A rally that stalls while still green is a quiet kind of top. The figures below show how often that stall tends to turn into a real one.

Does it actually work?

A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.

For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.

Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.

How we measured it

Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close up to the pattern’s invalidation point: the highest high of the two candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.

What this page does not cover

Volume on the pattern’s candles.
Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful resistance level.
Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 28, 2026, 11:29 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 2:41 PM CDT	3.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 7:36 AM CDT	5.25	0.67R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 1:29 AM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 1:22 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 12:25 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 12:24 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 9:38 PM CDT	3.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 9:35 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 3:28 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 11:09 AM CDT	4.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 6:48 AM CDT	3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 1:47 AM CDT	1.5	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 11:26 PM CDT	2.25	1.44R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 7:21 PM CDT	1.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 12:50 AM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 10:50 PM CDT	4.25	0.12R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 8:03 PM CDT	3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 5:51 PM CDT	1.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 12:20 AM CDT	3.75	2.80R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 3:55 AM CDT	7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 11:10 AM CDT	16.25	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2026, 7:30 PM CDT	23.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2026, 1:35 AM CDT	6.5	1.31R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 21, 2026, 7:20 PM CDT	7.5	1.17R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 20, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT	2.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 17, 2026, 12:40 PM CDT	12	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 15, 2026, 6:50 PM CDT	8.5	2.56R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 14, 2026, 5:20 AM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 14, 2026, 1:40 AM CDT	6.75	1.59R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 7, 2026, 8:10 AM CDT	20.25	0.89R	Stopped
Mar 31, 2026, 5:25 PM CDT	15.5	1.31R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 24, 2026, 6:10 AM CDT	11.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 22, 2026, 8:40 PM CDT	9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 15, 2026, 10:35 PM CDT	3.25	0.54R	Stopped
Mar 11, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 10, 2026, 8:55 PM CDT	6	2.63R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 10, 2026, 3:20 AM CDT	9.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 5, 2026, 1:10 AM CST	16.5	0.67R	Stopped
Feb 26, 2026, 8:05 PM CST	14.5	1.21R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 21, 2026, 7:15 PM CDT	14	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 AM CDT	25.5	1.20R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 20, 2026, 6:15 AM CDT	16.5	2.55R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 10, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT	6.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 27, 2026, 1:30 AM CST	4	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 27, 2026, 3:30 AM CST	11.5	1.39R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 13, 2026, 6:30 AM CST	3.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 5, 2026, 12:00 AM CST	6.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 1, 2026, 10:15 PM CST	9	1.86R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 19, 2025, 3:30 PM CST	7.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 18, 2025, 1:30 AM CST	6.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 14, 2025, 6:15 PM CST	7.5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 9, 2025, 1:15 AM CST	7.75	1.42R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 12, 2025, 10:00 PM CST	6.75	1.85R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 7, 2025, 12:30 AM CST	5.25	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 21, 2025, 8:30 PM CDT	4.75	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT	7.25	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 8, 2025, 11:30 PM CDT	5.25	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 6, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT	6	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 22, 2025, 6:45 PM CDT	9	1.36R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 27, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT	14.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 15, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT	24.5	0.99R	Stopped
Apr 13, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT	18	0.21R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 2:30 AM CDT	40.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 15, 2026, 7:00 PM CST	16	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 12, 2026, 5:30 AM CST	14.25	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 15, 2025, 4:30 AM CST	5.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 4, 2025, 12:30 AM CST	11.5	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 2, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT	6.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 5, 2025, 10:30 AM CDT	15	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 14, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT	16.25	0.26R	Stopped
Jan 31, 2025, 12:30 AM CST	12.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 4, 2024, 6:01 AM CST	9.25	1.22R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 6, 2024, 3:00 AM CST	32.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 6, 2024, 2:00 AM CST	25.25	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 11, 2024, 5:30 AM CDT	7.5	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 9, 2024, 8:00 PM CDT	11.75	0.72R	Stopped
Sep 13, 2024, 5:31 AM CDT	4.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 10, 2024, 1:30 AM CDT	8.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 1, 2024, 7:30 AM CDT	11.75	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Feb 4, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	114.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 26, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT	11.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 29, 2025, 5:00 AM CDT	10	2.05R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 2, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	17.75	0.35R	Stopped
May 21, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT	43.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 18, 2025, 9:00 PM CST	5.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 13, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	41	0.20R	Stopped
Apr 5, 2024, 7:00 AM CDT	45.5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 5, 2023, 12:00 PM CST	24.75	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 31, 2023, 4:00 AM CDT	3.5	0.00R	Stopped
May 10, 2023, 10:00 PM CDT	6.25	1.04R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 15, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	9.5	0.00R	Stopped
May 29, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	14.25	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 9, 2022, 10:00 AM CST	18.25	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 30, 2021, 1:00 AM CDT	29.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 21, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT	9.25	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 1, 2021, 2:00 AM CST	20.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 26, 2021, 8:00 AM CST	31.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 25, 2021, 5:00 PM CST	16.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 21, 2020, 3:00 AM CDT	14.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 10, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT	126.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 18, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	149.5	2.01R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 2, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	62	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 1, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	71.75	1.25R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 17, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	22.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 7, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	44.25	0.25R	Stopped
Feb 22, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	14.5	2.91R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 7, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	38	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 14, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	17.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 2, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	30.25	0.24R	Stopped
Apr 3, 2023, 1:00 AM CDT	27.5	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 3, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	20.25	1.42R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 18, 2021, 9:00 PM CST	25.5	2.22R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 6, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT	36	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 18, 2020, 9:00 PM CDT	21	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 12, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT	61.5	0.41R	Stopped
Oct 28, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	11.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 21, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	13.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 25, 2018, 5:00 PM CST	39.75	0.03R	Stopped
Jan 23, 2018, 5:00 PM CST	17	0.10R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (13)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 20, 2026	110.5	—	Open
May 15, 2025	133.25	0.57R	Stopped
Dec 18, 2020	41.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 26, 2018	104	2.49R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 27, 2017	10	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 29, 2015	13.75	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 16, 2015	14	0.71R	Stopped
Jun 23, 2014	14.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 23, 2012	18	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 25, 2011	10	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 11, 2009	5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2009	15	1.17R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 9, 2009	11.5	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 28, 2026, 10:09 PM CDT	0.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 7:02 PM CDT	0.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:40 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:24 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 7:11 PM CDT	1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 2:47 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 11:49 AM CDT	0.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 9:25 AM CDT	1.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 7:12 AM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 11:26 PM CDT	0.5	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 6:47 PM CDT	0.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:09 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 8:50 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 6:01 PM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 9:12 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 5:59 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 12:32 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 22, 2026, 2:06 AM CDT	0.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 23, 2026, 1:10 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 15, 2026, 5:50 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 14, 2026, 1:40 AM CDT	1.25	2.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 13, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT	0.5	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 9, 2026, 8:45 PM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 9, 2026, 8:35 PM CDT	1.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 AM CDT	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 10:05 AM CDT	6.25	0.80R	Stopped
Mar 20, 2026, 3:40 PM CDT	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 16, 2026, 6:20 PM CDT	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 16, 2026, 1:10 PM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 5, 2026, 9:55 AM CST	4.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 2, 2026, 1:20 PM CST	5.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 25, 2026, 7:50 PM CST	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 24, 2026, 7:40 PM CST	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 20, 2026, 7:05 AM CST	1	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 19, 2026, 1:25 AM CST	1	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 18, 2026, 10:00 AM CST	2	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 17, 2026, 3:40 AM CST	1.5	1.33R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 10, 2026, 5:05 PM CST	2	0.88R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 21, 2026, 5:15 AM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 9, 2026, 11:45 PM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2026, 5:45 PM CST	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 21, 2026, 8:00 PM CST	1.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 5, 2026, 7:30 PM CST	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 1, 2026, 9:00 PM CST	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 31, 2025, 6:00 AM CST	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 10, 2025, 1:00 AM CST	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 6, 2025, 2:00 PM CST	4.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 24, 2025, 8:45 AM CDT	5.5	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 20, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 15, 2025, 1:15 PM CDT	5.5	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 28, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 22, 2025, 3:31 AM CDT	2.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 19, 2025, 5:45 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 17, 2025, 7:04 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 26, 2025, 3:45 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 24, 2025, 7:15 PM CDT	1	2.25R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 18, 2025, 12:45 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 20, 2025, 7:45 PM CDT	3	1.33R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 13, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT	4.25	0.18R	Stopped
Jan 15, 2026, 3:30 AM CST	4.5	0.33R	Stopped
Jan 7, 2026, 6:30 AM CST	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 18, 2025, 8:00 PM CST	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 7, 2025, 9:30 PM CST	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 4, 2025, 3:00 PM CST	1.5	1.67R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 22, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	3.75	0.33R	Stopped
Sep 28, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 8, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 28, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT	2.75	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 26, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	1.75	2.14R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 30, 2025, 5:01 AM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
May 21, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	7.5	0.30R	Stopped
May 11, 2025, 11:30 PM CDT	1.75	1.14R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 16, 2025, 11:30 PM CDT	2	1.25R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 5, 2025, 1:00 AM CST	6.5	0.77R	Stopped
Jan 31, 2025, 12:30 AM CST	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 5, 2024, 1:01 AM CST	5.75	0.96R	Stopped
Oct 9, 2024, 8:00 PM CDT	2.5	0.80R	Stopped
Sep 13, 2024, 10:00 AM CDT	7.25	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 2, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT	2.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 4, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	23	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 15, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT	5	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 13, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT	7.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 2, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	2.75	0.27R	Stopped
Jan 13, 2025, 6:00 PM CST	8.75	1.09R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 27, 2024, 9:00 PM CST	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 4, 2024, 10:03 PM CDT	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 9, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT	0.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 12, 2024, 4:11 AM CST	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 6, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	2.5	0.60R	Stopped
Nov 28, 2023, 10:00 PM CST	1.25	1.80R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 14, 2023, 9:00 PM CST	1.25	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 22, 2023, 5:00 AM CDT	2.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 12, 2022, 5:00 PM CST	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 6, 2022, 8:00 PM CST	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 18, 2022, 6:00 PM CDT	4.25	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 18, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	9.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 1, 2022, 7:00 PM CST	2	1.38R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 10, 2021, 4:00 AM CST	0.75	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jan 5, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	12.25	1.65R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 4, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT	3.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 7, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	7.5	0.33R	Stopped
Dec 7, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	4.5	0.39R	Stopped
Nov 27, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	6.5	2.54R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 2, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	6.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 3, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	5.25	1.33R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 18, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT	7.25	0.10R	Stopped
Jan 6, 2021, 5:00 PM CST	11.5	1.17R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 18, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT	17.25	0.10R	Stopped
Dec 16, 2019, 5:00 PM CST	5.75	0.83R	Stopped
Sep 8, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	5.25	0.14R	Stopped
Aug 29, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	2.25	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 19, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	10.5	0.02R	Stopped
May 16, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	13.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 14, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	9.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 30, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT	6.25	0.24R	Stopped
Apr 16, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT	5.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 1, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT	5.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 12, 2018, 5:00 PM CST	10.25	2.24R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (11)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 20, 2026	33.75	—	Open
Jul 22, 2025	26.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2025	33.25	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 28, 2021	17	0.65R	Stopped
Nov 6, 2020	12.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 29, 2019	6.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 26, 2018	9.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 29, 2017	2.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 9, 2014	5.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 20, 2013	6.75	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 16, 2009	18.25	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 3:38 PM CDT	0.2	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 2:50 PM CDT	0.6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 11:24 AM CDT	0.9	1.22R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 29, 2026, 4:05 AM CDT	0.1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 3:54 AM CDT	1	0.60R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 7:34 PM CDT	0.9	2.56R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 7:44 AM CDT	1.7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 4:29 AM CDT	0.6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 8:24 PM CDT	0.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 7:11 PM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 3:19 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 3:13 PM CDT	0.2	0.50R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 11:08 AM CDT	1.2	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 2:34 AM CDT	0.8	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 2:25 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 1:51 AM CDT	0.6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 12:17 PM CDT	0.6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 PM CDT	1.2	1.08R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 2:14 PM CDT	0.7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 1:36 PM CDT	1.7	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 6:12 AM CDT	2.4	2.08R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 9:12 PM CDT	1.8	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 12:46 PM CDT	1.2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 9:41 PM CDT	1.9	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 5:10 PM CDT	2.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 1:15 PM CDT	5.7	0.60R	Stopped
Apr 13, 2026, 5:10 AM CDT	0.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 9, 2026, 6:50 AM CDT	0.9	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 8, 2026, 12:15 AM CDT	1.8	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 6, 2026, 7:32 PM CDT	1	0.80R	Stopped
Apr 6, 2026, 4:16 AM CDT	3.5	0.94R	Stopped
Mar 31, 2026, 7:55 PM CDT	7.7	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 25, 2026, 6:24 AM CDT	1.1	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 2:20 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 19, 2026, 12:35 PM CDT	12.5	0.30R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2026, 10:15 PM CDT	1.7	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 18, 2026, 6:10 PM CDT	2.3	2.70R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 12, 2026, 10:52 AM CDT	3.9	0.62R	Stopped
Mar 11, 2026, 2:22 PM CDT	1.2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 10, 2026, 2:21 PM CDT	4.3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 24, 2026, 3:01 AM CDT	4.7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 21, 2026, 9:15 PM CDT	2.4	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 17, 2026, 6:52 AM CDT	7.2	0.51R	Stopped
Apr 14, 2026, 4:02 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT	7.1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 6, 2026, 11:01 AM CDT	2.1	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 1, 2026, 9:15 PM CST	4.3	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 24, 2026, 7:31 PM CST	7.2	1.19R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 18, 2026, 7:18 AM CST	5.9	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 10, 2026, 11:31 AM CST	4.7	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 8, 2026, 9:30 PM CST	6.9	2.35R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 7, 2026, 2:15 PM CST	3.7	2.14R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 25, 2025, 11:00 PM CST	2.6	1.27R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 22, 2025, 1:30 AM CST	1.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 14, 2025, 10:15 PM CST	2.4	1.87R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 5, 2025, 4:15 AM CST	3.6	1.14R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 26, 2025, 11:15 PM CST	1.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 24, 2025, 7:11 AM CST	6.6	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 29, 2025, 5:45 PM CDT	7.5	0.27R	Stopped
Oct 20, 2025, 3:15 AM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 18, 2026, 1:38 AM CDT	2.8	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 10, 2026, 1:01 AM CDT	4.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 19, 2026, 12:00 AM CST	4.6	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 19, 2025, 11:30 AM CST	3	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 11, 2025, 11:30 AM CST	3.8	1.97R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 11, 2025, 4:30 AM CST	2.4	1.12R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 5, 2025, 7:30 AM CST	3.6	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 29, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT	4.7	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 10, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT	2.1	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 19, 2025, 11:31 PM CDT	1.5	1.13R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 28, 2025, 3:01 PM CDT	1.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 15, 2025, 7:32 PM CDT	1.8	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 21, 2025, 5:30 AM CDT	2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 17, 2025, 9:30 PM CST	2.5	0.84R	Stopped
Dec 4, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.3	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 10, 2024, 2:36 PM CDT	1.7	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 5, 2024, 6:03 PM CDT	0.4	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 30, 2024, 2:06 AM CDT	1.8	1.33R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 28, 2024, 1:38 AM CDT	1.4	0.00R	Stopped
May 30, 2024, 6:00 PM CDT	2.2	0.64R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Aug 21, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	1.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 10, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	2.4	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 10, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	11.1	0.82R	Stopped
Jun 9, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT	4.6	2.98R	Ran ≥1R
May 5, 2025, 6:00 AM CDT	5.8	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 7, 2024, 5:00 AM CST	1.9	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 24, 2024, 4:01 AM CDT	2.7	0.19R	Stopped
Sep 24, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	5.8	0.66R	Stopped
Sep 10, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.6	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 26, 2024, 3:01 AM CDT	4	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 26, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	1.9	0.63R	Stopped
Dec 20, 2023, 12:01 AM CST	1.3	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 27, 2023, 1:05 PM CST	0.8	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 14, 2023, 2:06 AM CST	1	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 6, 2023, 1:01 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 26, 2023, 11:03 PM CDT	1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 1, 2023, 2:00 AM CST	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 27, 2023, 6:01 AM CST	1.8	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 2, 2022, 5:11 AM CDT	1.2	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Dec 22, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	12.3	1.49R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 19, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	4	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	4.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 19, 2022, 5:00 PM CST	4	0.83R	Stopped
Aug 4, 2021, 1:09 AM CDT	2.2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 31, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT	5	0.36R	Stopped
Dec 23, 2020, 9:00 PM CST	3.2	2.56R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 8, 2019, 9:01 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 20, 2018, 5:00 PM CST	4.9	1.43R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 21, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT	2.9	0.10R	Stopped
Oct 25, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT	1.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 26, 2016, 5:00 PM CST	1.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 7, 2014, 9:24 PM CDT	1.1	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 10, 2014, 5:00 PM CDT	4.9	0.04R	Stopped
Apr 25, 2013, 1:15 AM CDT	2.7	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 17, 2013, 5:00 PM CST	9.3	1.24R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 19, 2012, 5:00 PM CST	2	1.25R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 11, 2012, 9:01 PM CST	3.2	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 30, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT	2.6	0.62R	Stopped
Mar 25, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT	5.6	0.29R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (5)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jun 4, 2019	3.9	0.00R	Stopped
May 2, 2016	12.6	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 8, 2012	6.4	0.42R	Stopped
Aug 5, 2010	8.3	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 11, 2008	4.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 2:19 PM CDT	0.06	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 8:29 AM CDT	0.06	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 4:42 AM CDT	0.06	0.50R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 2:33 AM CDT	0.05	2.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 10:46 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 28, 2026, 9:37 PM CDT	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:48 PM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:31 PM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 7:48 PM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 12:06 PM CDT	0.04	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 9:12 AM CDT	0.2	2.30R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 2:37 AM CDT	0.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 11:05 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 3:02 AM CDT	0.04	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 12:40 AM CDT	0.09	2.89R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 7:05 PM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:24 PM CDT	0.03	2.67R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 1:03 PM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 8:52 PM CDT	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 5:10 PM CDT	0.01	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 23, 2026, 3:48 AM CDT	0.15	1.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 AM CDT	0.17	1.71R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 19, 2026, 10:25 PM CDT	0.11	1.09R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 19, 2026, 6:35 PM CDT	0.13	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 15, 2026, 2:29 AM CDT	0.13	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 9, 2026, 1:35 PM CDT	0.4	1.05R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 5, 2026, 6:20 PM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 26, 2026, 10:05 PM CDT	0.14	0.50R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 10:46 AM CDT	0.15	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 19, 2026, 7:35 PM CDT	0.14	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2026, 2:45 PM CDT	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT	0.08	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 17, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT	0.17	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 16, 2026, 12:10 AM CDT	0.16	1.06R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 13, 2026, 9:00 AM CDT	0.41	1.02R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 11, 2026, 6:35 PM CDT	0.66	2.83R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 9, 2026, 1:40 PM CDT	0.35	1.31R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 5, 2026, 3:55 AM CST	0.07	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 4, 2026, 3:55 PM CST	0.07	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 4, 2026, 1:00 AM CST	—	—	Open

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 24, 2026, 11:34 AM CDT	0.41	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 13, 2026, 2:37 AM CDT	0.12	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM CDT	0.18	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT	0.2	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 27, 2026, 5:37 AM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 11, 2026, 1:14 AM CST	0.09	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 5, 2026, 8:31 PM CST	0.32	0.66R	Stopped
Jan 28, 2026, 8:31 PM CST	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 26, 2026, 1:05 AM CST	0.14	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 26, 2026, 12:50 AM CST	0.14	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 13, 2026, 12:33 AM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 11, 2026, 8:45 PM CST	0.04	0.75R	Stopped
Jan 8, 2026, 12:00 PM CST	0.05	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 6, 2026, 3:25 AM CST	0.08	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 31, 2025, 2:42 PM CST	0.03	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 18, 2025, 10:40 PM CST	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 15, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.05	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 25, 2025, 2:26 PM CST	0.08	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 17, 2025, 2:27 AM CST	0.11	1.55R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 21, 2025, 3:38 PM CDT	0.05	0.60R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 14, 2026, 10:01 PM CDT	0.28	0.86R	Stopped
Dec 23, 2025, 2:59 PM CST	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 10, 2025, 2:19 PM CST	0.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 22, 2025, 6:40 AM CDT	0.11	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 7, 2025, 10:04 PM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 29, 2025, 9:38 PM CDT	0.09	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 14, 2025, 5:09 AM CDT	0.12	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 2, 2025, 10:41 AM CST	0.13	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 10, 2024, 4:13 AM CDT	0.08	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 9, 2024, 2:06 PM CDT	0.08	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 7, 2024, 4:34 AM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 8, 2024, 11:13 PM CDT	0.06	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 30, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.1	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 1, 2024, 2:08 AM CDT	0.08	1.88R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 23, 2024, 11:13 PM CDT	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 3, 2024, 3:04 AM CDT	0.24	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 24, 2024, 10:05 PM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.07	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 12, 2024, 12:06 PM CST	0.06	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 15, 2024, 11:53 AM CST	0.09	1.11R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 18, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT	1.59	2.38R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 16, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	0.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 11, 2026, 3:31 AM CST	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 13, 2025, 9:01 PM CDT	0.1	0.50R	Stopped
Aug 3, 2025, 9:04 PM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
May 6, 2025, 7:01 PM CDT	0.11	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 12, 2024, 2:08 AM CST	0.23	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 4, 2024, 6:05 AM CDT	0.28	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 24, 2024, 1:22 PM CDT	0.12	0.08R	Stopped
May 16, 2024, 6:12 PM CDT	0.09	1.78R	Ran ≥1R
May 15, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2024, 10:05 PM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 11, 2023, 11:09 PM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 10, 2023, 10:01 PM CST	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 19, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.23	1.26R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 14, 2023, 7:08 PM CDT	0.11	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 13, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.11	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 25, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 24, 2022, 10:02 PM CDT	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
May 16, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.26	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Feb 18, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 8, 2025, 1:43 AM CDT	0.27	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 12, 2025, 9:00 PM CST	0.45	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 29, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 11, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.52	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 22, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.53	0.30R	Stopped
Mar 13, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 12, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.36	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 5, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.19	2.32R	Ran ≥1R
May 26, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.48	0.98R	Stopped
Apr 14, 2021, 5:00 PM CDT	0.53	0.06R	Stopped
Mar 3, 2021, 5:00 PM CST	0.48	2.06R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 19, 2021, 9:01 PM CST	0.05	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 5, 2021, 5:00 PM CST	0.19	1.16R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 2, 2020, 5:00 PM CST	0.66	0.89R	Stopped
Sep 17, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT	0.24	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 9, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT	0.62	1.87R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 27, 2018, 5:00 PM CDT	0.41	0.83R	Stopped
Nov 6, 2017, 5:00 PM CST	0.13	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 6, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT	0.08	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (5)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jun 11, 2024	0.18	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 2, 2018	0.4	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 15, 2013	0.3	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 7, 2011	2.2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 4, 2010	0.53	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 9:57 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 6:04 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 3:39 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 1:56 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 11:29 AM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 26, 2026, 5:24 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 24, 2026, 3:56 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 24, 2026, 2:24 PM CDT	0.001	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 3:54 AM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 22, 2026, 3:06 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 22, 2026, 12:19 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 AM CDT	0.002	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 21, 2026, 11:34 PM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 21, 2026, 1:11 PM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 17, 2026, 7:11 AM CDT	0.004	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 16, 2026, 11:40 AM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 16, 2026, 3:15 AM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 7:06 AM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 5:14 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 27, 2026, 6:07 AM CDT	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:57 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 15, 2026, 1:51 PM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 1, 2026, 2:26 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2026, 9:24 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2026, 9:14 PM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2026, 8:58 PM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 26, 2026, 8:46 PM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 26, 2026, 2:25 PM CDT	0.002	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 25, 2026, 3:53 AM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 10:15 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 12:47 AM CDT	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 16, 2026, 4:13 AM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 13, 2026, 11:04 AM CDT	0.004	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 9, 2026, 9:51 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 9, 2026, 5:15 AM CDT	0.007	1.43R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 9, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT	0.014	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 8, 2026, 9:00 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 6, 2026, 2:45 AM CST	0.004	1.25R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 5, 2026, 6:54 AM CST	0.007	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 31, 2026, 10:40 PM CDT	0.006	0.50R	Stopped
Mar 26, 2026, 6:15 AM CDT	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 25, 2026, 9:58 AM CDT	0.007	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 9, 2026, 9:51 PM CDT	0.007	0.43R	Stopped
Feb 25, 2026, 9:20 AM CST	0.015	0.53R	Stopped
Feb 10, 2026, 4:32 AM CST	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 20, 2026, 11:06 PM CST	0.026	0.62R	Stopped
Jan 8, 2026, 5:15 PM CST	0.01	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 26, 2025, 1:37 AM CST	0.011	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 17, 2025, 5:31 PM CST	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 11, 2025, 1:14 AM CST	0.008	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 30, 2025, 7:30 PM CST	0.002	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 24, 2025, 1:25 AM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 23, 2025, 11:22 PM CDT	0.004	1.75R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 20, 2025, 2:49 AM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 10, 2025, 1:58 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 23, 2025, 8:57 AM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 18, 2025, 3:11 AM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 15, 2025, 7:49 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 9, 2025, 2:21 AM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 18, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT	0.007	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 8, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT	0.024	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 5, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	0.032	2.25R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 19, 2025, 2:29 AM CST	0.013	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 20, 2025, 4:20 AM CDT	0.008	2.37R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 8, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	0.008	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 7, 2025, 4:39 AM CDT	0.022	0.68R	Stopped
Sep 23, 2025, 3:01 AM CDT	0.006	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 7, 2025, 11:25 PM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 15, 2025, 7:36 AM CDT	0.014	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 20, 2025, 3:16 PM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
May 20, 2025, 12:59 PM CDT	0.027	2.96R	Ran ≥1R
May 12, 2025, 7:03 PM CDT	0.007	2.43R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 17, 2025, 10:33 AM CDT	0.013	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 11, 2025, 1:33 PM CDT	0.02	0.25R	Stopped
Jan 16, 2025, 2:12 PM CST	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 17, 2024, 7:22 PM CST	0.005	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 4, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.012	2.33R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 30, 2024, 10:26 AM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 14, 2024, 9:42 AM CDT	0.011	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 5, 2026, 8:03 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 2, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	0.014	0.14R	Stopped
Feb 24, 2026, 10:06 AM CST	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 2, 2025, 1:10 AM CST	0.019	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 27, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.008	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 29, 2025, 12:38 AM CDT	0.012	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 8, 2025, 12:32 AM CDT	0.006	2.67R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 11, 2025, 3:23 AM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 7, 2025, 2:38 PM CST	0.022	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 11, 2024, 9:34 AM CST	0.031	2.26R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 23, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.007	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 22, 2024, 9:31 AM CDT	0.011	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 24, 2024, 3:30 AM CDT	0.008	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 1, 2024, 8:45 PM CST	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 13, 2023, 3:36 AM CST	0.011	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 10, 2023, 7:49 PM CDT	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 27, 2023, 12:58 AM CDT	0.005	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 21, 2023, 2:30 AM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped
May 31, 2023, 9:52 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 18, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.004	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Sep 3, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	0.009	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 6, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.048	0.35R	Stopped
Feb 3, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.067	2.67R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 29, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.013	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 5, 2024, 11:50 AM CDT	0.019	0.84R	Stopped
May 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.031	0.00R	Stopped
May 13, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.021	2.71R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 19, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.024	0.25R	Stopped
Jan 9, 2024, 5:00 PM CST	0.194	1.30R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 17, 2023, 10:33 PM CST	0.007	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 7, 2023, 11:33 PM CST	0.016	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 25, 2023, 2:32 AM CDT	0.029	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 27, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.045	0.67R	Stopped
Jul 18, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.022	0.50R	Stopped
Feb 24, 2023, 6:05 AM CST	0.051	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 31, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.095	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 13, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.035	2.37R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 24, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.036	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 2, 2022, 5:00 PM CST	0.08	0.95R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Descending Hawk Firings (7)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Aug 18, 2025	0.06	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 29, 2016	0.056	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 11, 2016	0.053	0.66R	Stopped
Nov 25, 2010	0.116	2.35R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 9, 2009	0.156	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 4, 2008	0.047	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 31, 2008	0.072	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample backtest

Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.

ES 1D · Bearish Descending Hawk · 2020-2024

Win rate: 33.33%
Profit factor: 0.16
Max drawdown: 2.98%

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