Fractiz
Pattern Detail
Bearish Advance Block
Three-candle bearish reversal after a rally: three up candles whose upper wicks grow longer each bar, showing buyers running out of steam.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.1%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.6% for a random short entry (-3.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.39×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 39.1% of the time vs 42.6% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.1% | 42.6% | -3.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 27.5% | +1.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.3% | 18.9% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.7% | 54.8% | +5.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.2% | 2.6% | -2.4 |
1,477 occurrences · 5,340,354 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.5% for a random short entry (-4.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.13×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.2% of the time vs 41.5% for a random short entry. The 4.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 422 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.2% | 41.5% | -4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.7% | 27.0% | +0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.7% | 18.8% | +4.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.3% | 55.6% | +6.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.5% | 2.9% | -2.5 |
422 occurrences · 1,162,047 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.6% for a random short entry (+6.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.14×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.0% of the time vs 40.6% for a random short entry. The 6.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 151 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.0% | 40.6% | +6.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 36.4% | 26.5% | +9.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 27.2% | 18.7% | +8.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 53.0% | 55.9% | -2.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.5% | -3.5 |
151 occurrences · 395,123 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (91). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.8% for a random short entry (-1.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.90×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.03R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.5% of the time vs 39.8% for a random short entry. The 1.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 91 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.5% | 39.8% | -1.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 26.1% | +2.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.0% | 18.6% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 61.5% | 56.1% | +5.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 4.1% | -4.1 |
91 occurrences · 198,092 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (73). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
34.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.4% for a random short entry (-5.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.06×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.93R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 34.2% of the time vs 39.4% for a random short entry. The 5.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 73 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 34.2% | 39.4% | -5.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.8% | 26.1% | +2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.3% | 18.8% | +4.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 65.8% | 57.7% | +8.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.9% | -2.9 |
73 occurrences · 98,375 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.4%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.2% for a random short entry (+6.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.00×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.29R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.4% of the time vs 38.2% for a random short entry. The 6.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 27 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 27 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.4% | 38.2% | +6.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 44.4% | 26.1% | +18.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 33.3% | 19.5% | +13.9 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.6% | 60.0% | -4.5 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.8% | -1.8 |
27 occurrences · 22,478 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
20.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 35.0% for a random short entry (-15.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.71×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.40R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.94R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 20.0% of the time vs 35.0% for a random short entry. The 15.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±24.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 15 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 20.0% | 35.0% | -15.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 6.7% | 23.5% | -16.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 6.7% | 16.4% | -9.7 |
| Stopped < 1R | 80.0% | 64.0% | +16.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.1% | -1.1 |
15 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.5% for a random short entry (+4.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.80×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.15R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.92R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 39.5% for a random short entry. The 4.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 190 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 39.5% | +4.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 33.2% | 23.6% | +9.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.8% | 15.0% | +11.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.8% | 58.0% | -2.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.5% | -2.5 |
190 occurrences · 5,220,587 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (68). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
27.9%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (-12.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.39×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.71R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 27.9% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 27.9% | 39.9% | -12.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 17.6% | 25.0% | -7.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.7% | 16.7% | -2.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 70.6% | 57.3% | +13.3 |
| Went sideways | 1.5% | 2.8% | -1.3 |
68 occurrences · 1,183,939 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (39). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
33.3%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random short entry (-6.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.29×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.81R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 33.3% of the time vs 39.7% for a random short entry. The 6.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±15.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 39 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 33.3% | 39.7% | -6.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 23.1% | 25.4% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 17.9% | 17.4% | +0.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 66.7% | 56.9% | +9.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.4% | -3.4 |
39 occurrences · 409,191 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.3% for a random short entry (-2.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.84×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.0% of the time vs 39.3% for a random short entry. The 2.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 27 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 27 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.0% | 39.3% | -2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.6% | 25.3% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 22.2% | 17.7% | +4.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.0% | 56.8% | +6.2 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.9% | -3.9 |
27 occurrences · 206,590 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.3% for a random short entry (-1.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.22×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.90R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 37.5% of the time vs 39.3% for a random short entry. The 1.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±19.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 24 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 24 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.5% | 39.3% | -1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 25.0% | 25.5% | -0.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 20.8% | 18.1% | +2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.5% | 57.8% | +4.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.9% | -2.9 |
24 occurrences · 102,966 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
16.7%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (-22.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.08×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.50R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 16.7% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 22.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±39.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 16.7% | 38.9% | -22.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 16.7% | 26.6% | -9.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 16.7% | 19.5% | -2.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 83.3% | 59.4% | +24.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.7% | -1.7 |
6 occurrences · 23,284 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
25.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.0% for a random short entry (-11.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.87×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.65R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 25.0% of the time vs 36.0% for a random short entry. The 11.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±23.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 16 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 16 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 25.0% | 36.0% | -11.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 18.8% | 24.3% | -5.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.8% | 17.2% | +1.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 75.0% | 62.7% | +12.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3 |
16 occurrences · 4,697 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
37.2%
Backwards
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.4% for a random short entry (-4.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.69×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.97R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered at least 1R of room only 37.2% of the time vs 41.4% for a random short entry — it offers LESS room than chance here. On this market and timeframe the structure works against you.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 37.2% | 41.4% | -4.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 27.7% | 26.3% | +1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.2% | 17.8% | +3.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.7% | 55.7% | +7.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.1% | 2.9% | -2.8 |
721 occurrences · 5,523,555 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
38.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (-3.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.34×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.01R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 38.0% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry. The 3.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 305 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 38.0% | 41.8% | -3.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.5% | 26.8% | +1.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 18.4% | +4.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 62.0% | 55.1% | +6.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.1% | -3.1 |
305 occurrences · 1,219,764 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (+0.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.28×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.10R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.5% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry. The 0.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 113 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.5% | 41.8% | +0.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 29.2% | 26.9% | +2.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.0% | 18.6% | +4.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 56.6% | 54.6% | +2.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.9% | 3.6% | -2.7 |
113 occurrences · 415,713 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (59). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.8%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.8% for a random short entry (+4.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.10×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.16R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.8% of the time vs 41.8% for a random short entry. The 4.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±12.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 59 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.8% | 41.8% | +4.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.2% | 27.1% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 27.1% | 18.9% | +8.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.2% | 54.2% | +0.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 4.0% | -4.0 |
59 occurrences · 208,216 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (46). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.1%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.2% for a random short entry (-3.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.96×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.01R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.12R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.1% of the time vs 42.2% for a random short entry. The 3.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 46 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.1% | 42.2% | -3.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.1% | 27.8% | -1.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 26.1% | 19.7% | +6.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.9% | 54.5% | +6.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.3% | -3.3 |
46 occurrences · 103,214 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
50.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.9% for a random short entry (+8.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.31R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 41.9% for a random short entry. The 8.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±30.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 10 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 10 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 50.0% | 41.9% | +8.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 27.8% | +12.2 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 40.0% | 19.5% | +20.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 50.0% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.5% | -2.5 |
10 occurrences · 23,339 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
20.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.8% for a random short entry (-18.8 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.17×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.48R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 20.0% of the time vs 38.8% for a random short entry. The 18.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±42.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 20.0% | 38.8% | -18.8 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.5% | -24.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.5% | -16.5 |
| Stopped < 1R | 80.0% | 58.2% | +21.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.0% | -3.0 |
5 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random short entry (+0.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.81×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.08R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.0% of the time vs 40.8% for a random short entry. The 0.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±4.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 529 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.0% | 40.8% | +0.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 30.6% | 25.7% | +4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 23.1% | 17.4% | +5.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.6% | 56.2% | +2.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.4% | 3.0% | -2.6 |
529 occurrences · 5,363,181 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
41.5%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+0.2 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.38×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.09R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 41.5% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 0.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 212 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 41.5% | 41.3% | +0.2 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.9% | 26.6% | +0.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 21.2% | 18.3% | +3.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 58.0% | 55.4% | +2.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.5% | 3.3% | -2.8 |
212 occurrences · 1,194,142 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (77). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
36.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (-4.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.51×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.99R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 36.4% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 4.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 77 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 36.4% | 41.3% | -4.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 26.0% | 26.8% | -0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 19.5% | 18.7% | +0.8 |
| Stopped < 1R | 63.6% | 54.9% | +8.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.8% | -3.8 |
77 occurrences · 407,609 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (49). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
42.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+1.6 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.97R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 42.9% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 1.6-point gap is no bigger than the ±13.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 49 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 42.9% | 41.3% | +1.6 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 22.4% | 26.9% | -4.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 18.4% | 18.9% | -0.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 57.1% | 54.1% | +3.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 4.6% | -4.6 |
49 occurrences · 204,489 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
39.3%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.0% for a random short entry (-2.7 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.25×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.02R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 39.3% of the time vs 42.0% for a random short entry. The 2.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±18.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 28 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 28 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 39.3% | 42.0% | -2.7 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 32.1% | 27.8% | +4.3 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 14.3% | 19.6% | -5.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.7% | 54.8% | +5.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
28 occurrences · 101,374 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.5%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.5% for a random short entry (+4.0 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.95×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.38R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.10R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.5% of the time vs 41.5% for a random short entry. The 4.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±29.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 11 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 11 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.5% | 41.5% | +4.0 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 45.5% | 27.5% | +18.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 36.4% | 19.3% | +17.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 54.5% | 56.1% | -1.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.4% | -2.4 |
11 occurrences · 23,134 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
80.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (+40.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.75×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
2.57R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 80.0% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry. The 40.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±42.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 80.0% | 39.9% | +40.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 80.0% | 25.9% | +54.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 80.0% | 18.6% | +61.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 20.0% | 57.4% | -37.4 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.7% | -2.7 |
5 occurrences · 4,694 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
45.0%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.8% for a random short entry (+5.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.98×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.22R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 45.0% of the time vs 39.8% for a random short entry. The 5.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 307 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 45.0% | 39.8% | +5.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 35.8% | 25.2% | +10.6 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 28.7% | 17.1% | +11.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.0% | 56.7% | -1.6 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.5% | -3.5 |
307 occurrences · 3,860,692 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.9%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.1% for a random short entry (+6.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.32×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.24R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.9% of the time vs 41.1% for a random short entry. The 6.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±7.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 169 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.9% | 41.1% | +6.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.3% | 26.4% | +7.9 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 27.2% | 18.1% | +9.1 |
| Stopped < 1R | 52.1% | 55.3% | -3.3 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.6% | -3.6 |
169 occurrences · 923,352 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (78). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
47.4%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+6.1 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.31×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.20R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 47.4% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 6.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.9-point margin of error you would get by chance from 78 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 47.4% | 41.3% | +6.1 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 34.6% | 26.6% | +8.0 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.6% | 18.4% | +7.3 |
| Stopped < 1R | 51.3% | 54.5% | -3.2 |
| Went sideways | 1.3% | 4.1% | -2.9 |
78 occurrences · 320,654 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (43). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
44.2%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.3% for a random short entry (+2.9 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.29×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.33R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 44.2% of the time vs 41.3% for a random short entry. The 2.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±14.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 43 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 44.2% | 41.3% | +2.9 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 41.9% | 26.8% | +15.1 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 37.2% | 18.6% | +18.6 |
| Stopped < 1R | 55.8% | 54.1% | +1.8 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 4.7% | -4.7 |
43 occurrences · 161,646 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
Limited sample (35). Directional at best.
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
28.6%
Not reliable
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 42.1% for a random short entry (-13.5 pts).
Move size vs normal
1.25×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a bigger move.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.88R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.11R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 28.6% of the time vs 42.1% for a random short entry. The 13.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±16.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 35 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 28.6% | 42.1% | -13.5 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 28.6% | 27.8% | +0.8 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 25.7% | 19.5% | +6.2 |
| Stopped < 1R | 71.4% | 54.7% | +16.7 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 3.2% | -3.2 |
35 occurrences · 80,431 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
40.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.4% for a random short entry (-1.4 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.99×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.
Typical room (20-bar)
1.29R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 40.0% of the time vs 41.4% for a random short entry. The 1.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±43.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 5 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 5 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 40.0% | 41.4% | -1.4 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 40.0% | 26.5% | +13.5 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 40.0% | 18.6% | +21.4 |
| Stopped < 1R | 60.0% | 56.0% | +4.0 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.7% | -2.7 |
5 occurrences · 18,587 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
i
How to read this
Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 3 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.
Room offered (≥ 1R)
0.0%
Too few to trust
Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-40.3 pts).
Move size vs normal
0.79×
Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.
Typical room (20-bar)
0.00R
Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.
Summary
Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 40.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±96.1-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.
Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry
Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.
| Outcome | This setup | Random entry | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offered ≥ 1R | 0.0% | 40.3% | -40.3 |
| Offered ≥ 2R | 0.0% | 24.7% | -24.7 |
| Offered ≥ 3R | 0.0% | 16.0% | -16.0 |
| Stopped < 1R | 100.0% | 57.1% | +42.9 |
| Went sideways | 0.0% | 2.6% | -2.6 |
1 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon
An advance block is a rally that loses its legs at the top. Three up candles climb in a row, so on the surface buyers are still in control. But the upper wick grows longer on each bar, meaning sellers push harder against the high every time. The advance keeps going yet weakens with each step, which often warns that the move is about to roll over.
How to spot it
- The market is rising into the pattern.
- All three candles are up (green) candles.
- Each candle opens inside the prior body, so the rally is still stepping up.
- The upper wick gets longer on the second candle, then longer still on the third.
- The growing wicks show buyers reaching higher but getting rejected harder each time.
The dashed box on the chart above marks the three candles on a real occurrence, with the advance before and the move after.
The psychology
Three green candles in a row, each closing higher, looks like a healthy rally. Buyers are still moving price up, and at first glance nothing is wrong. The warning is in the upper wicks, which stretch longer on the second bar and longer still on the third. Each session price reaches for a new high and gets sold back from it, harder every time.
That is the quiet shift. The bulls keep their grip on the close, so the trend still points up, but the cost of each step is rising. Sellers are meeting the advance higher and earlier, and the lengthening tails show how much of every push gets given back before the bar ends. A rally that has to fight this hard for smaller gains is one where the buying is thinning out, even as the candles stay green. Control has not changed hands, but it is slipping.
The tiring is written in those growing wicks. Whether a rally running this short of breath tends to roll over is what the numbers below settle.
Does it actually work?
A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.
For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.
Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.
How we measured it
- Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
- One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close up to the pattern’s invalidation point: the highest high of the three candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
- We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
- Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
- No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.
What this page does not cover
- Volume on the pattern’s candles.
- Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful resistance level.
- Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
- A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026, 7:58 PM CDT | 15.25 | 0.49R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:50 AM CDT | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 6:46 AM CDT | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 12:56 AM CDT | 6.75 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 12:18 PM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 AM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 12:49 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 10:13 AM CDT | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 12:30 PM CDT | 5.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 6:00 AM CDT | 23.25 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:46 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 8:33 PM CDT | 3.25 | 0.85R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 12:15 AM CDT | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2026, 10:47 AM CDT | 4.5 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 8, 2026, 6:26 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM CDT | 4.5 | 1.72R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 5:06 PM CDT | 18.5 | 2.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 10:11 AM CDT | 10 | 1.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 7:55 AM CDT | 21.25 | 2.99R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026, 1:35 AM CDT | 5.5 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 11:10 PM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 8:10 AM CDT | 20.25 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 3:00 AM CDT | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 1:25 AM CDT | 21.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM CDT | 33.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 16, 2026, 7:15 AM CDT | 5.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 13, 2026, 5:05 AM CDT | 12.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2026, 10:05 PM CDT | 10.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026, 6:10 AM CST | 20.75 | 0.95R | Stopped |
| Feb 23, 2026, 3:10 AM CST | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 20, 2026, 12:50 PM CST | 20.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026, 10:15 AM CST | 11.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2026, 1:20 PM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 9:05 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 15, 2026, 7:00 PM CST | — | — | Open |
| Jan 13, 2026, 6:15 AM CST | 9 | 0.06R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 8:05 PM CST | 4.75 | 1.42R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 8, 2026, 9:25 AM CST | 16.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 5, 2026, 9:25 AM CST | 10.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 4:15 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 5:00 PM CDT | 13.5 | 0.61R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 8:15 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 9:30 AM CDT | 39 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 14.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 6, 2026, 9:45 AM CST | 34.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2026, 9:30 AM CST | 56.25 | 1.51R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2026, 3:15 AM CST | 7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 26, 2026, 10:15 AM CST | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 28, 2025, 10:30 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 12, 2025, 1:30 AM CST | 16.5 | 1.97R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 22, 2025, 8:30 PM CDT | 10.75 | 0.93R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2025, 2:45 AM CDT | 8.5 | 0.44R | Stopped |
| Sep 12, 2025, 12:45 AM CDT | 5.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 8, 2025, 8:15 AM CDT | 11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 5, 2025, 2:00 PM CDT | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 12, 2025, 7:30 AM CDT | 36.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 1, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT | 9.75 | 2.08R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 30, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT | 24.5 | 0.99R | Stopped |
| Apr 15, 2026, 2:30 PM CDT | 13.25 | 2.58R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026, 8:30 PM CST | 7.75 | 2.45R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026, 8:00 PM CST | 9.75 | 1.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 6:00 PM CST | 11.5 | 2.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 22, 2026, 2:30 AM CST | 24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 1, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 1, 2026, 8:30 PM CST | 3.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 23, 2025, 2:30 PM CST | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 2, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 5, 2025, 7:30 AM CST | 9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2025, 12:30 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 17.75 | 0.45R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2025, 2:30 PM CDT | 13.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 1, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT | 11.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 28, 2025, 3:00 AM CDT | 19.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 9, 2025, 6:02 AM CDT | 11.75 | 0.89R | Stopped |
| Jun 13, 2025, 12:56 AM CDT | 21.25 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2025, 12:30 AM CDT | 13 | 2.13R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026, 10:00 AM CST | 22.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 15, 2026, 7:00 AM CST | 23 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 1, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 17, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 67.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 26, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 41.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 24, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 24, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 11.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 4, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT | 24.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 30, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 21, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT | 43.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 15, 2025, 7:00 AM CST | 47.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 6, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 15 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2024, 6:00 AM CDT | 7.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2024, 6:00 AM CDT | 8.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 29, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT | 10.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 31, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | 42.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT | 3.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 5, 2024, 7:00 AM CDT | 45.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2024, 10:00 PM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 14, 2024, 2:00 AM CST | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025, 9:00 AM CST | 66.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 16, 2025, 1:00 AM CST | 69.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 6, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 29.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | 27.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 3, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT | 9.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT | 27.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 8, 2024, 5:00 AM CST | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 2, 2023, 9:00 AM CDT | 6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 15, 2022, 5:00 AM CST | 87.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 18, 2022, 5:00 AM CDT | 24 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2022, 9:00 AM CDT | 127.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 11, 2022, 1:00 AM CDT | 16.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2022, 5:00 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 22, 2021, 5:00 AM CST | 38 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 7, 2021, 5:00 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 29, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT | 15.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2021, 5:00 AM CST | 33.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 17, 2020, 5:00 AM CST | 22.25 | 2.54R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 24, 2019, 5:00 AM CDT | 8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 4, 2018, 5:00 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (15)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2021 | 29.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 11, 2020 | 58.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 58 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 42 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 6, 2018 | 5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 11, 2018 | 22.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 18, 2017 | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 15, 2014 | 8.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 29.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 8 | 1.91R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 22, 2010 | 16.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2010 | 11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 16, 2009 | 12.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 2, 2009 | 16.5 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026, 1:57 AM CDT | 3 | 1.17R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 14, 2026, 8:11 PM CDT | 0.75 | 0.33R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026, 2:55 PM CDT | 3 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 11:40 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 8:23 PM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 10:32 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2026, 8:15 PM CST | 1 | 2.75R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 4, 2026, 10:06 PM CST | 1.25 | 0.80R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 5:45 PM CST | 0.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 4, 2026, 12:35 AM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 25, 2026, 3:35 PM CST | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2026, 5:12 PM CST | 1.25 | 2.60R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 5:35 PM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 25, 2026, 6:30 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 22, 2026, 7:19 AM CST | 0.75 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2026, 6:11 PM CST | 0.75 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 21, 2025, 5:40 PM CST | 0.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 17, 2025, 6:15 PM CST | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2025, 12:40 AM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026, 7:45 PM CDT | 9 | 2.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 19, 2026, 4:55 AM CDT | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 23, 2026, 8:35 AM CST | 4.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2025, 2:31 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 2, 2025, 2:10 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 1, 2025, 12:25 PM CDT | 1.75 | 1.86R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT | 39.75 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2025, 7:25 PM CDT | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 22, 2024, 6:00 AM CST | 2.5 | 0.60R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2024, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 16, 2024, 10:35 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2024, 8:00 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 30, 2024, 12:00 PM CDT | 2.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 25, 2024, 11:20 AM CDT | 1.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 25, 2024, 7:55 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Jun 27, 2024, 9:30 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 27, 2024, 10:00 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2024, 3:10 PM CST | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 1, 2024, 3:20 PM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 4, 2024, 9:10 AM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026, 10:30 AM CDT | 5.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 13, 2026, 7:45 AM CDT | 15 | 0.52R | Stopped |
| Dec 8, 2025, 3:45 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 29, 2025, 5:45 PM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 28, 2025, 2:30 PM CST | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 13, 2025, 12:15 PM CST | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 20, 2024, 9:30 AM CST | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 16, 2024, 1:46 AM CST | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 28, 2023, 12:45 AM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 4, 2023, 12:15 PM CDT | 6.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 2, 2022, 8:15 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2022, 4:15 AM CDT | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2022, 8:15 PM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 16, 2022, 12:45 AM CDT | 8.75 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2022, 10:30 PM CST | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2021, 8:15 PM CDT | 1.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2021, 7:30 PM CST | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2020, 8:30 AM CDT | 2.75 | 1.55R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2020, 3:00 AM CDT | 5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2019, 2:32 PM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026, 7:30 PM CST | 2.25 | 1.11R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 6, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 4.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2025, 7:30 PM CST | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 24, 2024, 7:00 PM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 24, 2023, 2:31 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2023, 11:30 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 8, 2022, 1:00 AM CDT | 5.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 2, 2021, 7:32 AM CDT | 8.25 | 1.06R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2020, 12:00 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2020, 7:00 AM CDT | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 25, 2019, 2:00 PM CDT | 1.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 13, 2018, 8:30 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2018, 1:00 AM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2018, 2:33 PM CST | 3.25 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Sep 12, 2017, 12:06 PM CDT | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 15, 2017, 10:36 PM CDT | 0.75 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 29, 2016, 12:24 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 18, 2016, 6:00 AM CDT | 0.75 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2016, 11:00 PM CST | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026, 9:00 PM CST | 0.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 10, 2026, 8:00 PM CST | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 2, 2026, 9:00 AM CST | 10.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 11, 2025, 2:00 AM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 9, 2025, 3:00 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2024, 6:00 AM CDT | 5.25 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 22, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | 6.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 5, 2024, 3:00 AM CDT | 2.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2022, 5:00 AM CST | 3.25 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Dec 12, 2022, 12:00 PM CST | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 22, 2022, 9:00 AM CDT | 12 | 2.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 22, 2022, 7:00 PM CDT | 2.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 1, 2022, 1:00 AM CST | 6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2021, 2:00 AM CST | 4.5 | 1.39R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 27, 2020, 8:00 PM CDT | 4.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 22, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT | 1.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 20, 2018, 8:03 PM CDT | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2015, 3:02 AM CST | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 2, 2015, 5:00 AM CDT | 1.75 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (7)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT | 3.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 31, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 5, 2024, 9:00 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Jul 7, 2023, 9:00 AM CDT | 8.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 19, 2014, 1:22 AM CDT | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 6, 2012, 5:03 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 5, 2009, 9:03 PM CST | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (17)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | 33.75 | — | Open |
| Jun 15, 2023 | 18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 10, 2020 | 4.75 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 7, 2020 | 0.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 29, 2020 | 8.25 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 5, 2018 | 2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 9.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 9.75 | 1.41R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 6.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 26, 2017 | 3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 20, 2015 | 3.75 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 15, 2015 | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 24, 2013 | 0.25 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 21, 2013 | 7.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 8, 2013 | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 13, 2009 | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026, 12:33 PM CDT | 0.8 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Apr 27, 2026, 1:51 AM CDT | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 23, 2026, 3:57 PM CDT | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 20, 2026, 8:44 AM CDT | 1.7 | 0.65R | Stopped |
| Apr 16, 2026, 11:58 AM CDT | 0.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 6:24 AM CDT | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 10, 2026, 4:03 AM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 7:22 AM CDT | 1.2 | 2.67R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 7, 2026, 3:14 AM CDT | 1.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 2:38 PM CDT | 1.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 11:37 AM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 1, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 10:36 AM CDT | 0.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 5:39 PM CDT | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 10:14 AM CDT | 0.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 12:49 AM CDT | 1.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 29, 2026, 9:45 PM CDT | 4.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 29, 2026, 9:44 PM CDT | 4.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 29, 2026, 9:43 PM CDT | 1.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 24, 2026, 3:21 PM CDT | 2.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026, 2:11 AM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2026, 6:55 AM CDT | 1.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 7, 2026, 3:17 AM CDT | 1.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 12:40 AM CDT | 1.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 7:10 PM CDT | 1.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 9:00 AM CDT | 11.9 | 0.96R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2026, 8:55 AM CDT | 2.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 9:56 AM CDT | 8.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 11, 2026, 1:07 PM CDT | 1.8 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 5, 2026, 7:40 PM CST | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 12, 2026, 6:00 PM CST | 2.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 11, 2026, 8:12 AM CST | 3.6 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 8, 2026, 11:25 PM CST | 2.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 8, 2026, 8:30 PM CST | 2.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 8, 2026, 5:35 PM CST | 9.5 | 0.46R | Stopped |
| Feb 6, 2026, 12:10 PM CST | 6.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 2, 2026, 3:55 AM CST | 10.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026, 7:40 PM CST | 11.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026, 2:16 PM CST | 3.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 2:11 PM CST | 6.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026, 7:37 AM CDT | 3.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 12, 2026, 8:15 PM CDT | 4.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 8, 2026, 12:45 AM CDT | 16.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 25, 2026, 11:01 AM CST | 4.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 24, 2026, 7:31 PM CST | 7.2 | 1.19R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2026, 3:30 PM CST | 9.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 28, 2026, 2:00 PM CST | 13.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 2:46 PM CST | 17.2 | 0.05R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 2:31 PM CST | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 2:16 PM CST | 5.9 | 2.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 26, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 6.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2025, 10:45 PM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 18, 2025, 4:15 AM CDT | 1.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2025, 12:15 AM CDT | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 4, 2025, 4:15 AM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 11, 2025, 5:31 AM CDT | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 30, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT | 0.3 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 16, 2025, 11:00 AM CDT | 2.6 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2025, 6:30 PM CDT | 1.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 13, 2025, 6:15 PM CDT | 2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT | 3.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2025, 11:31 PM CST | 8.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 29, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT | 4.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 26, 2025, 10:33 AM CDT | 3.8 | 1.37R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 15, 2025, 7:32 PM CDT | 1.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 3, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 3.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 30, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT | 3.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 23, 2025, 4:30 AM CDT | 2.5 | 1.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 23, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT | 3.9 | 0.87R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT | 5.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2025, 2:30 PM CDT | 1.2 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 20, 2025, 8:00 PM CDT | 6.5 | 0.17R | Stopped |
| Jan 30, 2025, 6:00 PM CST | 2.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2025, 4:38 AM CST | 4.4 | 0.11R | Stopped |
| Dec 18, 2024, 7:00 PM CST | 1.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 17, 2024, 10:09 AM CDT | 1.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 1, 2024, 1:01 AM CDT | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 30, 2024, 6:31 PM CDT | 0.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2024, 4:30 AM CDT | 3.4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2024, 12:38 AM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT | 4 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 10, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 3.7 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT | 7.8 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT | 8.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 9, 2025, 12:00 AM CDT | 6.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 31, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT | 8.9 | 0.03R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2025, 6:03 PM CDT | 0.7 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2024, 8:01 PM CDT | 6.1 | 0.10R | Stopped |
| Jul 11, 2023, 1:05 AM CDT | 4.6 | 1.15R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 4, 2023, 2:20 AM CDT | 1.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 4, 2023, 10:03 AM CDT | 4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 4, 2023, 9:03 AM CDT | 5.3 | 0.77R | Stopped |
| Mar 22, 2023, 1:01 PM CDT | 11.1 | 1.24R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 29, 2022, 7:02 PM CDT | 2 | 0.35R | Stopped |
| Jun 29, 2022, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 19, 2020, 2:00 PM CST | 0.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 21, 2020, 8:00 PM CDT | 2.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 4, 2020, 5:03 AM CDT | 4.3 | 1.49R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 10, 2019, 6:03 AM CST | 0.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2019, 4:00 AM CDT | 1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (10)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025, 5:00 AM CST | 6.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 8, 2024, 9:03 AM CST | 21.7 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2021, 9:00 AM CST | 1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 9, 2021, 5:00 AM CST | 4.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2020, 5:00 AM CST | 5.3 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 27, 2018, 9:01 AM CST | 0.9 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 4, 2018, 1:01 AM CST | 1.9 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 29, 2016, 1:04 AM CDT | 4.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 11, 2012, 5:16 AM CDT | 3.8 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 16, 2011, 5:11 AM CDT | 2.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | 4.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 15, 2016 | 5.5 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 10, 2016 | 4.6 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 11.8 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Jun 25, 2014 | 7.3 | 1.71R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:36 AM CDT | 0.14 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 29, 2026, 3:35 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 7:48 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 28, 2026, 8:57 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 24, 2026, 6:37 AM CDT | 0.08 | 1.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2026, 5:40 PM CDT | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2026, 7:47 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2026, 10:18 AM CDT | 0.07 | 1.14R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 15, 2026, 9:35 AM CDT | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 13, 2026, 2:38 AM CDT | 0.03 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 9, 2026, 10:13 PM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 7, 2026, 6:31 PM CDT | 0.64 | 0.23R | Stopped |
| Apr 6, 2026, 10:17 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Apr 6, 2026, 8:18 AM CDT | 0.09 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 1, 2026, 4:23 AM CDT | 0.17 | 2.59R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 5:25 PM CDT | 0.25 | 1.84R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 31, 2026, 11:13 AM CDT | 0.09 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 1:58 AM CDT | 0.04 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 30, 2026, 1:10 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 25, 2026, 4:28 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026, 8:20 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 2, 2026, 10:40 AM CDT | 0.44 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 30, 2026, 10:35 PM CDT | 0.11 | 1.36R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 27, 2026, 1:15 PM CDT | 0.31 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 27, 2026, 1:10 PM CDT | 0.18 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026, 9:25 PM CDT | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 12, 2026, 12:25 AM CDT | 0.22 | 1.23R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 11, 2026, 6:35 PM CDT | 0.66 | 2.83R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 9, 2026, 10:42 PM CDT | 0.26 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 9, 2026, 10:02 PM CDT | 0.4 | 2.47R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 8, 2026, 6:55 PM CDT | 0.5 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 4, 2026, 6:22 PM CST | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 8:16 AM CST | 0.26 | 0.69R | Stopped |
| Jan 27, 2026, 10:17 AM CST | 0.07 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 14, 2026, 3:36 PM CST | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 13, 2026, 5:28 AM CST | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 9, 2025, 2:47 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Jun 12, 2025, 6:59 PM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 6, 2025, 7:11 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 1, 2025, 6:27 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026, 10:17 PM CDT | 0.74 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2026, 11:30 PM CST | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 16, 2025, 6:00 PM CST | 0.17 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 17, 2025, 1:57 AM CST | 0.04 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 8, 2025, 1:10 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 31, 2025, 11:01 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 12, 2025, 9:39 PM CDT | 0.47 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 23, 2025, 1:20 AM CDT | 0.17 | 1.29R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 13, 2024, 10:04 AM CST | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 1, 2024, 5:24 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 23, 2024, 10:42 PM CDT | 0.09 | 0.56R | Stopped |
| Sep 19, 2024, 1:05 AM CDT | 0.1 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 2, 2024, 3:05 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 25, 2023, 11:27 PM CST | 0.04 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 13, 2023, 6:59 AM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 17, 2023, 2:48 AM CDT | 0.02 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 18, 2023, 6:04 AM CDT | 0.06 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 18, 2023, 5:49 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 20, 2023, 8:00 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 15, 2022, 12:28 PM CST | 0.89 | 1.62R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2024, 1:20 PM CDT | 0.05 | 1.40R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 25, 2024, 7:13 PM CDT | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2023, 8:13 AM CDT | 0.34 | 1.68R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 24, 2023, 10:00 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 3, 2023, 10:07 AM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 11, 2023, 7:00 AM CST | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 22, 2022, 11:30 AM CDT | 0.21 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 20, 2022, 12:30 AM CDT | 0.12 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 22, 2022, 1:30 AM CST | 0.08 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 19, 2021, 2:00 PM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2020, 5:33 AM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 16, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2020, 1:30 PM CDT | 0.34 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 8, 2020, 12:33 AM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 15, 2019, 7:34 AM CDT | 0.3 | 1.27R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 23, 2019, 3:01 PM CDT | 0.26 | 1.38R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 22, 2016, 6:30 PM CST | 0.05 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 10, 2016, 1:32 AM CST | 0.09 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2016, 8:30 AM CST | 0.1 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 28, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.06 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026, 2:00 AM CDT | 0.4 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 18, 2026, 6:00 PM CDT | 1.48 | 2.63R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 3, 2026, 4:00 AM CST | 0.81 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 7, 2025, 2:11 AM CDT | 0.2 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 13, 2025, 5:45 AM CDT | 0.03 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 12, 2025, 2:05 AM CDT | 0.64 | 0.81R | Stopped |
| Oct 7, 2024, 3:04 AM CDT | 0.16 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 25, 2024, 1:27 AM CDT | 0.11 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 6, 2024, 1:18 AM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 14, 2022, 5:18 AM CST | 0.23 | 2.74R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 18, 2022, 7:02 PM CDT | 0.17 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 29, 2022, 6:00 PM CDT | 0.31 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 2, 2020, 7:00 AM CST | 0.53 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 29, 2018, 8:00 AM CST | 0.36 | 1.03R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 19, 2016, 5:00 PM CDT | 0.25 | 0.16R | Stopped |
| Apr 4, 2016, 5:02 AM CDT | 0.14 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 14, 2015, 7:06 PM CDT | 0.11 | 2.82R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 22, 2014, 8:01 PM CST | 0.82 | 1.18R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jul 27, 2012, 1:01 AM CDT | 0.11 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| May 9, 2011, 1:05 PM CDT | 1.06 | 2.09R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (11)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026, 9:02 PM CST | 0.13 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 9, 2024, 5:09 AM CST | 0.15 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 10, 2018, 5:02 AM CDT | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 3, 2015, 5:08 AM CDT | 0.24 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2015, 1:03 AM CDT | 1.08 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 15, 2013, 6:05 AM CDT | 0.37 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2010, 6:29 AM CST | 0.31 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Jun 10, 2009, 2:02 AM CDT | 0.34 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 9, 2009, 6:37 AM CDT | 0.42 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 26, 2009, 4:08 AM CDT | 0.28 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 17, 2009, 9:43 AM CDT | 0.84 | 2.44R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2017 | 0.24 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 31, 2015 | 1.17 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 0.85 | 0.84R | Stopped |
| Aug 4, 2010 | 0.53 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 2, 2009 | 0.89 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026, 5:17 PM CST | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 18, 2026, 7:14 AM CST | 0.003 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Feb 18, 2026, 7:11 AM CST | 0.002 | 1.50R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 16, 2026, 7:52 AM CST | 0.001 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 3, 2026, 9:18 AM CST | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 3, 2026, 6:22 AM CST | 0.004 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 30, 2026, 7:08 AM CST | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 6:33 AM CST | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 29, 2026, 3:55 AM CST | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2026, 2:11 PM CST | 0.013 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2026, 2:27 PM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 21, 2026, 1:20 PM CST | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 20, 2026, 11:13 PM CST | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 11:02 PM CST | 0.007 | 0.14R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 10:45 PM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 7:39 AM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 20, 2026, 7:38 AM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 9:17 AM CST | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 8, 2026, 9:16 AM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2025, 12:28 AM CST | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026, 9:54 PM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 20, 2026, 8:19 AM CST | 0.01 | 2.80R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 17, 2026, 12:20 AM CST | 0.011 | 2.09R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2026, 12:57 PM CST | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 21, 2026, 3:02 PM CST | 0.022 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2026, 11:51 AM CST | 0.014 | 0.86R | Stopped |
| Nov 25, 2025, 11:59 PM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 8, 2025, 6:37 AM CDT | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 7, 2025, 8:29 AM CDT | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 6, 2025, 8:10 AM CDT | 0.016 | 2.81R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 22, 2025, 3:23 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 5, 2025, 12:12 AM CST | 0.017 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 9, 2025, 8:21 AM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2025, 6:31 AM CST | 0.024 | 0.71R | Stopped |
| Jan 6, 2025, 10:09 AM CST | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 27, 2024, 12:16 AM CST | 0.009 | 1.22R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2024, 5:17 PM CST | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 21, 2024, 7:58 AM CST | 0.016 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 20, 2024, 10:19 AM CST | 0.016 | 1.12R | Ran ≥1R |
| Feb 6, 2024, 10:19 AM CST | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026, 11:06 PM CST | 0.026 | 0.62R | Stopped |
| Sep 16, 2025, 6:55 AM CDT | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Aug 28, 2025, 3:21 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jul 22, 2025, 11:16 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 2, 2025, 6:15 AM CDT | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 30, 2024, 10:55 PM CST | 0.019 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 21, 2024, 12:15 AM CST | 0.008 | 2.25R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 12, 2023, 7:43 AM CDT | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 12, 2023, 10:15 AM CDT | 0.022 | 1.05R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 27, 2023, 11:09 PM CDT | 0.001 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 16, 2023, 7:53 AM CDT | 0.011 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Apr 3, 2023, 12:23 PM CDT | 0.022 | 1.73R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 1, 2023, 7:00 AM CST | 0.01 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 27, 2023, 4:43 AM CST | 0.012 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 23, 2022, 9:19 AM CST | 0.037 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 17, 2022, 1:53 AM CST | 0.014 | 2.57R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 10, 2022, 5:02 AM CST | 0.025 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2022, 11:33 AM CDT | 0.029 | 2.52R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 26, 2022, 8:40 PM CDT | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 19, 2022, 2:26 PM CDT | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026, 6:30 PM CDT | 0.013 | 2.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2026, 9:42 AM CST | 0.023 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 19, 2026, 9:12 AM CST | 0.024 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 9, 2025, 3:44 AM CST | 0.009 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 16, 2025, 2:12 PM CST | 0.01 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 18, 2024, 3:45 AM CST | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 5, 2023, 7:27 AM CDT | — | — | Open |
| Jun 14, 2023, 1:05 AM CDT | 0.004 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 9, 2023, 9:25 AM CST | 0.014 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Nov 9, 2022, 7:07 PM CST | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Oct 24, 2022, 8:36 AM CDT | 0.066 | 0.68R | Stopped |
| Oct 19, 2022, 10:30 PM CDT | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 20, 2021, 5:48 PM CDT | 0.003 | 0.67R | Stopped |
| Oct 29, 2020, 9:05 PM CDT | 0.002 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Mar 1, 2020, 7:30 PM CST | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 29, 2020, 5:00 PM CST | 0.002 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jan 30, 2019, 5:33 PM CST | 0.003 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 3, 2019, 4:31 AM CST | 0.009 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 14, 2018, 4:21 AM CST | 0.013 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 3, 2014, 7:40 AM CDT | 0.02 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (20)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026, 2:24 AM CST | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Feb 10, 2026, 6:47 AM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 29, 2025, 8:31 AM CST | 0.006 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Dec 19, 2025, 3:30 AM CST | 0.007 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Nov 27, 2025, 6:20 PM CST | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 21, 2025, 10:51 PM CDT | 0.014 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2024, 11:30 AM CDT | 0.012 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Oct 23, 2024, 6:54 PM CDT | 0.003 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 27, 2023, 12:58 AM CDT | 0.005 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Apr 21, 2023, 1:23 AM CDT | 0.006 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Dec 7, 2022, 5:00 PM CST | 0.057 | 0.30R | Stopped |
| Nov 16, 2022, 2:12 PM CST | 0.042 | 0.55R | Stopped |
| Oct 31, 2022, 5:11 AM CDT | 0.018 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Sep 9, 2022, 7:00 AM CDT | 0.087 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Sep 9, 2022, 6:00 AM CDT | 0.075 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Aug 22, 2022, 4:26 AM CDT | 0.044 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jun 6, 2022, 11:26 AM CDT | 0.041 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| May 3, 2022, 7:00 AM CDT | 0.012 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 7, 2021, 8:39 AM CST | 0.034 | 2.79R | Ran ≥1R |
| Mar 1, 2019, 4:42 AM CST | 0.005 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (5)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Time | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025, 5:39 AM CST | 0.098 | 0.47R | Stopped |
| Oct 25, 2023, 2:32 AM CDT | 0.029 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 23, 2020, 3:26 AM CST | 0.011 | 0.00R | Stopped |
| Jan 17, 2018, 9:17 AM CST | 0.038 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
| Jun 19, 2013, 9:32 AM CDT | 0.024 | 3.00R | Ran ≥1R |
Sample Bearish Advance Block Firings (1)
Based on data through Apr 29, 2026
| Date | Risk (pts) | Room offered | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2021 | 0.153 | 0.00R | Stopped |
Sample backtests (2)
Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.