Pattern Detail

Bearish Shooting Star

Single-candle bearish reversal after a rally: a small body with a long upper wick where buyers were rejected.

A real Bearish Shooting Star on NQ daily bars, Jan 24, 2024. Price then followed through 2.1% over the next 5 bars. The bright candles are the pattern; the dimmed bars are surrounding context.

How to read this

Everything here is in R, the setup's own risk. 1R is the distance from the entry (the pattern's closing price) to where it would be proven wrong — its highest high over the 2 bars that form it. So "offered 2R" means price ran twice that distance in your favor at some point before the stop. It does not assume you took profit there: a target is a strategy choice.

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.3%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.6% for a random short entry (+2.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.80×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.10R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 44.3% of the time vs 41.6% for a random short entry — a 2.7-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.3%	41.6%	+2.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.8%	28.2%	+2.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.2%	20.1%	+2.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	55.3%	57.1%	-1.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	1.3%	-0.9

24,956 occurrences · 5,120,720 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

45.2%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (+4.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.78×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.15R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 45.2% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry — a 4.8-point gap, wider than the ±1.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	45.2%	40.4%	+4.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.6%	27.4%	+3.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	21.8%	19.8%	+2.0
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	54.2%	58.1%	-3.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.6%	1.5%	-0.9

3,089 occurrences · 1,146,594 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

46.2%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (+6.6 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.16R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 46.2% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry — a 6.6-point gap, wider than the ±3.8-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	46.2%	39.6%	+6.6
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.8%	26.9%	+2.9
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.4%	19.6%	+0.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	53.0%	58.5%	-5.4
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.8%	1.9%	-1.2

641 occurrences · 392,491 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

52.4%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+13.5 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.93×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.32R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.03R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 52.4% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry — a 13.5-point gap, wider than the ±6.3-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	52.4%	38.9%	+13.5
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	34.6%	26.4%	+8.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	24.7%	19.4%	+5.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	47.2%	58.7%	-11.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	2.4%	-2.0

231 occurrences · 197,303 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (80). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

43.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.3% for a random short entry (+5.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.87×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.14R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.02R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 43.8% of the time vs 38.3% for a random short entry. The 5.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±10.7-point margin of error you would get by chance from 80 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	43.8%	38.3%	+5.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.0%	26.4%	+3.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.0%	19.5%	+0.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	55.0%	60.0%	-5.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	1.3%	1.7%	-0.4

80 occurrences · 98,132 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

50.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.6% for a random short entry (+13.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.79×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.53R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.98R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 36.6% for a random short entry. The 13.4-point gap is no bigger than the ±38.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 6 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 6 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	50.0%	36.6%	+13.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	50.0%	25.8%	+24.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	33.3%	19.7%	+13.6
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	50.0%	62.5%	-12.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.9%	-0.9

6 occurrences · 22,441 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

66.7%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 33.9% for a random short entry (+32.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.62×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.17R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.92R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 66.7% of the time vs 33.9% for a random short entry. The 32.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±53.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 3 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	66.7%	33.9%	+32.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	33.3%	23.7%	+9.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	0.0%	17.3%	-17.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	33.3%	65.6%	-32.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.5%	-0.5

3 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

38.5%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 37.8% for a random short entry (+0.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.97×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.90R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.89R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 38.5% of the time vs 37.8% for a random short entry — a 0.7-point gap, wider than the ±0.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	38.5%	37.8%	+0.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	24.5%	23.7%	+0.8
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	16.4%	15.7%	+0.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	61.2%	61.0%	+0.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.3%	1.3%	-0.9

17,645 occurrences · 4,948,951 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

42.1%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.5% for a random short entry (+3.6 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.86×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.01R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.96R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 42.1% of the time vs 38.5% for a random short entry — a 3.6-point gap, wider than the ±1.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	42.1%	38.5%	+3.6
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	25.9%	25.2%	+0.7
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	17.9%	17.5%	+0.4
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	57.5%	60.1%	-2.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	1.4%	-1.0

3,245 occurrences · 1,157,568 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

42.9%

Fragile

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.4% for a random short entry (+4.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.79×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.07R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

The 4.4-point gap over the 38.4% random-entry rate clears the ±3.3-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	42.9%	38.4%	+4.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.1%	25.6%	+1.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	18.3%	18.2%	+0.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	56.7%	59.7%	-3.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	1.9%	-1.4

819 occurrences · 404,347 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.5%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.1% for a random short entry (+2.3 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.78×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.04R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 40.5% of the time vs 38.1% for a random short entry. The 2.3-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 304 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.5%	38.1%	+2.3
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	26.6%	25.5%	+1.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	17.4%	18.4%	-0.9
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.9%	59.7%	-0.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.7%	2.2%	-1.6

304 occurrences · 205,030 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.0%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.0% for a random short entry (+3.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.73×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.07R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.00R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 41.0% of the time vs 38.0% for a random short entry. The 3.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±9.3-point margin of error you would get by chance from 105 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.0%	38.0%	+3.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	26.7%	25.7%	+1.0
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	18.1%	18.6%	-0.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	59.0%	60.3%	-1.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.7%	-1.7

105 occurrences · 102,439 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

66.7%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 36.8% for a random short entry (+29.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.81×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.66R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

The 29.9-point gap over the 36.8% random-entry rate clears the ±24.4-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 15 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	66.7%	36.8%	+29.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	46.7%	26.1%	+20.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	33.3%	19.8%	+13.6
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	33.3%	62.4%	-29.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.9%	-0.9

15 occurrences · 23,231 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

0.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 34.9% for a random short entry (-34.9 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.36×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.45R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.93R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 0.0% of the time vs 34.9% for a random short entry. The 34.9-point gap is no bigger than the ±93.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 1 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	0.0%	34.9%	-34.9
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	0.0%	24.0%	-24.0
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	0.0%	17.7%	-17.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	100.0%	64.6%	+35.4
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	0.6%	-0.6

1 occurrences · 4,695 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.3%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (+1.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.94×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.06R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 41.3% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry — a 1.0-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.3%	40.3%	+1.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.3%	26.9%	+1.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.2%	18.9%	+1.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.2%	58.2%	-0.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	1.5%	-0.9

29,010 occurrences · 5,259,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

45.1%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (+4.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.89×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.16R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 45.1% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry — a 4.4-point gap, wider than the ±1.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	45.1%	40.7%	+4.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.5%	27.3%	+2.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.0%	19.4%	+0.6
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	54.1%	57.8%	-3.6
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.8%	1.6%	-0.8

3,410 occurrences · 1,200,551 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.9%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (+4.2 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.88×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.21R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 44.9% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry — a 4.2-point gap, wider than the ±3.8-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.9%	40.7%	+4.2
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.2%	27.4%	+2.9
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	19.1%	19.6%	-0.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	53.9%	57.4%	-3.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	1.2%	1.9%	-0.7

648 occurrences · 412,684 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.7% for a random short entry (+4.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.90×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.20R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 44.8% of the time vs 40.7% for a random short entry. The 4.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±6.4-point margin of error you would get by chance from 223 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.8%	40.7%	+4.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.4%	27.5%	-0.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.2%	19.8%	+0.4
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	54.7%	57.0%	-2.3
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	2.3%	-1.8

223 occurrences · 207,345 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (67). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

47.8%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (+6.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.92×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.21R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 47.8% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry. The 6.8-point gap is no bigger than the ±11.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 67 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	47.8%	41.0%	+6.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.4%	28.0%	+0.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.9%	20.4%	+0.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	52.2%	57.1%	-4.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.9%	-1.9

67 occurrences · 102,946 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

50.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.5% for a random short entry (+9.5 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.01×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.29R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 40.5% for a random short entry. The 9.5-point gap is no bigger than the ±34.0-point margin of error you would get by chance from 8 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 8 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	50.0%	40.5%	+9.5
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	37.5%	28.2%	+9.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	37.5%	20.7%	+16.8
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	50.0%	58.2%	-8.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

8 occurrences · 23,320 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.1%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.6% for a random short entry (+1.5 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.88×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.05R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.01R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 41.1% of the time vs 39.6% for a random short entry — a 1.5-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.1%	39.6%	+1.5
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.9%	26.1%	+1.7
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.1%	18.4%	+1.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.4%	58.9%	-0.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	1.6%	-1.1

26,636 occurrences · 5,086,185 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.5%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.2% for a random short entry (+4.3 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.83×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.13R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.05R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 44.5% of the time vs 40.2% for a random short entry — a 4.3-point gap, wider than the ±1.7-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.5%	40.2%	+4.3
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.2%	27.1%	+1.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.0%	19.3%	+0.7
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	55.0%	58.0%	-3.0
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	1.7%	-1.3

3,307 occurrences · 1,173,784 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

46.5%

Fragile

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (+6.2 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.79×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.22R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

The 6.2-point gap over the 40.3% random-entry rate clears the ±3.8-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	46.5%	40.3%	+6.2
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.9%	27.3%	+3.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	22.0%	19.7%	+2.3
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	52.7%	57.7%	-4.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.8%	2.1%	-1.3

641 occurrences · 404,433 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

47.1%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (+6.8 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.86×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.22R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 47.1% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry — a 6.8-point gap, wider than the ±6.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	47.1%	40.3%	+6.8
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	29.1%	27.4%	+1.8
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.6%	19.8%	+0.8
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	52.9%	57.1%	-4.2
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	2.7%	-2.7

223 occurrences · 203,442 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (85). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

56.5%

Fragile

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.8% for a random short entry (+15.6 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.99×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.43R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.08R for a random short entry.

Summary

The 15.6-point gap over the 40.8% random-entry rate clears the ±10.4-point margin of error, but it has been fading over the sample. Treat with caution.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	56.5%	40.8%	+15.6
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	37.6%	28.1%	+9.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	27.1%	20.5%	+6.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	43.5%	57.4%	-13.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.8%	-1.8

85 occurrences · 101,072 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

28.6%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.7% for a random short entry (-11.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.10×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

0.64R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 28.6% of the time vs 39.7% for a random short entry. The 11.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±36.2-point margin of error you would get by chance from 7 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 7 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	28.6%	39.7%	-11.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	14.3%	27.8%	-13.5
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	14.3%	20.4%	-6.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	71.4%	59.1%	+12.4
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

7 occurrences · 23,097 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

100.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.9% for a random short entry (+61.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.70×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

3.00R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 100.0% of the time vs 38.9% for a random short entry. The 61.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±95.5-point margin of error you would get by chance from 1 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	100.0%	38.9%	+61.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	100.0%	26.6%	+73.4
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	100.0%	19.5%	+80.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	0.0%	59.8%	-59.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.4%	-1.4

1 occurrences · 4,691 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

40.1%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 38.7% for a random short entry (+1.4 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.03×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.03R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 0.99R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 40.1% of the time vs 38.7% for a random short entry — a 1.4-point gap, wider than the ±0.6-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	40.1%	38.7%	+1.4
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	27.9%	25.6%	+2.3
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.1%	18.0%	+2.1
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	59.2%	59.3%	-0.1
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.7%	2.0%	-1.3

24,625 occurrences · 3,516,512 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

41.0%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (+1.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.92×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.06R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.04R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 41.0% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry. The 1.0-point gap is no bigger than the ±1.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 3,431 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	41.0%	39.9%	+1.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	28.0%	26.9%	+1.1
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	20.6%	19.1%	+1.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	58.6%	58.1%	+0.5
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.5%	2.0%	-1.5

3,431 occurrences · 898,027 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

39.6%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.3% for a random short entry (-0.7 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.90×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.06R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.06R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 39.6% of the time vs 40.3% for a random short entry. The 0.7-point gap is no bigger than the ±3.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 712 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	39.6%	40.3%	-0.7
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	26.0%	27.1%	-1.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	19.8%	19.4%	+0.4
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	59.1%	57.4%	+1.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	1.3%	2.3%	-1.0

712 occurrences · 316,487 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

44.6%

Not reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 40.4% for a random short entry (+4.2 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.05×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.20R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 44.6% of the time vs 40.4% for a random short entry. The 4.2-point gap is no bigger than the ±5.8-point margin of error you would get by chance from 276 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	44.6%	40.4%	+4.2
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	30.4%	27.2%	+3.2
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	25.0%	19.5%	+5.5
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	55.1%	57.0%	-1.9
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.4%	2.6%	-2.3

276 occurrences · 160,394 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

Limited sample (86). Directional at best.

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

57.0%

Reliable

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 41.0% for a random short entry (+16.0 pts).

Move size vs normal

1.00×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. About normal.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.47R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.09R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered at least 1R of room 57.0% of the time vs 41.0% for a random short entry — a 16.0-point gap, wider than the ±10.4-point margin of error from chance, and it holds across the sample. A real, if modest, tendency to offer more room than the market alone.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	57.0%	41.0%	+16.0
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	41.9%	28.3%	+13.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	26.7%	20.6%	+6.2
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	41.9%	57.3%	-15.4
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	1.2%	1.7%	-0.6

86 occurrences · 80,057 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

How to read this

Room offered (≥ 1R)

50.0%

Too few to trust

Offered at least 1× its risk before the stop, vs 39.9% for a random short entry (+10.1 pts).

Move size vs normal

0.82×

Realized range over the next 20 bars vs a random bar. Precedes a quieter stretch.

Typical room (20-bar)

1.60R

Average run in favor (capped at 3R), vs 1.07R for a random short entry.

Summary

Offered ≥1R 50.0% of the time vs 39.9% for a random short entry. The 10.1-point gap is no bigger than the ±22.6-point margin of error you would get by chance from 18 occurrences. Not a reliable edge.

Room offered, this setup vs a random short entry

Only 18 occurrences. The breakdown below is shown in full, but a sample this small is anecdotal, a hint, not a measured edge. That is usually a limit of available history, not a flaw in the pattern. For a firmer read, try a lower timeframe or a more active instrument.

Outcome	This setup	Random entry	Edge
Offered ≥ 1R Ran at least 1× its risk in favor before the stop	50.0%	39.9%	+10.1
Offered ≥ 2R Ran at least 2× its risk	50.0%	27.4%	+22.6
Offered ≥ 3R Ran the full 3× cap	44.4%	20.2%	+24.2
Stopped < 1R Hit the invalidation stop before offering 1R	50.0%	58.8%	-8.8
Went sideways Neither stopped nor offered 1R within 20 bars	0.0%	1.3%	-1.3

18 occurrences · 18,552 random-entry controls · 20-bar horizon

A shooting star is a single candle that often caps a rally. It has a small body near the low of its range and a long upper wick, at least twice the height of the body. Buyers drove price up inside the bar, then sellers pushed it all the way back, leaving that long tail overhead as the mark of the rejection.

Steve Nison lists the shooting star among the major reversal patterns in Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques (1991), where a long upper shadow after a rally signals rejection of the highs.

How to spot it

The market is rising into the bar.
The body is small and sits in the lower part of the candle’s range.
The upper wick is long, at least twice the height of the body.
There is little or no lower wick.
The body can be red or green. The shape matters more than the color.

The dashed box on the chart above marks the shooting star and the bar before it, on a real occurrence.

The psychology

Price has been rising into this bar, so buyers are confident as it opens. Early in the session they do exactly what the trend would predict and drive price sharply higher, stretching the bar well above the open. For a moment the rally looks like it is extending. Then it all comes back. Sellers meet that push and force price all the way down to near where the candle began, leaving the long upper wick as the scar of the rejection.

The single bar carries the whole handover. Buyers reached for new highs and could not hold any of the ground they took, which is the first time in this advance that their best effort has been turned away. The close near the low says sellers finished the session in command of the bar, not the bulls. The body is small because, after all that back and forth, price ended up roughly where it started, but the journey reveals who now has the upper hand.

The rejection is written in the wick. Whether that turning of the tide tends to lead lower is what the numbers below settle.

Does it actually work?

A pattern is a setup, not a trade, so the honest question is not “did it win” but “how much room did it tend to offer before it was proven wrong.” The tabs below answer that across five futures markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500, gold, crude oil, natural gas) and seven timeframes from one minute to one day.

For each occurrence we measure the room the move offered in units of the pattern’s own risk, then set it against what a random entry on the same market would have done. When the pattern offers more room more often than chance, that shows up as a real edge. When it does not, the page says so plainly.

Read it with the sample size in view. On the faster timeframes a pattern can fire thousands of times, enough to trust. On the daily chart it is far rarer, so treat those numbers as a hint rather than a verdict. Thin samples are flagged for you on the page.

How we measured it

Entry is the close of the final candle of the pattern.
One unit of risk, 1R, is the distance from that close up to the pattern’s invalidation point: the highest high of the two candles that form it. If price trades through there, the setup is wrong.
We then follow the next 20 bars and record how far price ran in your favor, in multiples of that risk, before the stop was hit.
Every figure is set against a random entry on the same market and timeframe, so the market’s own drift is accounted for.
No profit target and no position sizing. Where you take profit is a strategy choice; this measures only the room the pattern tends to give.

What this page does not cover

Volume on the pattern’s candles.
Whether the pattern forms at a meaningful resistance level.
Pairing it with a trend filter or a confirming signal.
A profit target or position sizing. We use the pattern’s own invalidation point as the stop to define risk, but where you take profit, and how much you put on, are strategy decisions this page leaves to you.

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM CDT	10.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 29, 2026, 9:26 AM CDT	15	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 9:25 AM CDT	6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 4:10 AM CDT	7.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 12:46 AM CDT	3	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 11:29 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:38 PM CDT	10	0.47R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:22 AM CDT	14	0.16R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 6:16 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 1:39 AM CDT	6	1.96R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 7:57 PM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:50 PM CDT	16.75	0.34R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:47 AM CDT	3.75	0.27R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 12:44 AM CDT	5	0.65R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 11:04 PM CDT	7.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 6:13 PM CDT	2	1.63R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 2:53 PM CDT	9.5	1.18R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 6:57 AM CDT	6.5	2.31R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 6:38 AM CDT	19	0.01R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 5:58 AM CDT	6.25	0.60R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 22, 2026, 1:40 AM CDT	8.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 20, 2026, 11:15 PM CDT	4.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 16, 2026, 9:10 AM CDT	28.5	1.65R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 7:50 PM CDT	6.75	1.81R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 11:20 AM CDT	9.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 8, 2026, 9:00 PM CDT	7	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT	7.75	0.19R	Stopped
Mar 5, 2026, 8:20 PM CST	8.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 2, 2026, 2:50 AM CST	19	0.71R	Stopped
Feb 25, 2026, 5:25 AM CST	4	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 17, 2026, 8:40 PM CST	5.25	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 13, 2026, 1:00 AM CST	24.75	0.33R	Stopped
Feb 10, 2026, 6:35 PM CST	10.75	0.12R	Stopped
Feb 5, 2026, 12:45 AM CST	15.25	0.30R	Stopped
Feb 3, 2026, 9:25 PM CST	13	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 27, 2026, 11:20 PM CST	3	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 12, 2026, 6:15 AM CST	8.5	1.21R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 6, 2026, 3:46 PM CST	3.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 5, 2026, 5:50 AM CST	8	0.28R	Stopped
Jan 5, 2026, 12:05 AM CST	7.75	0.48R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 16, 2026, 10:15 AM CDT	48	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 9, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT	57.25	1.11R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 19, 2026, 6:45 PM CST	11.5	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2026, 12:30 AM CST	13	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 15, 2026, 5:45 AM CST	13.25	2.36R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 21, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	29.25	0.22R	Stopped
Dec 18, 2025, 12:30 PM CST	30.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 9, 2025, 10:30 PM CST	17.75	1.35R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 9, 2025, 9:00 PM CST	9.75	1.44R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 12, 2025, 1:30 AM CST	16.5	1.97R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 30, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	32	1.02R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 17, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT	8.5	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 12, 2025, 10:15 AM CDT	27.75	0.44R	Stopped
Jul 28, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT	7.5	0.57R	Stopped
Jul 10, 2025, 5:15 PM CDT	6	1.29R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 2, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT	26.5	0.86R	Stopped
Jun 19, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT	10	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 17, 2025, 1:30 PM CDT	33	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT	96.25	2.77R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 16, 2025, 9:15 PM CDT	19	2.09R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 13, 2026, 5:10 AM CDT	31.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 12, 2026, 3:00 AM CDT	45.75	0.96R	Stopped
Nov 24, 2025, 12:00 PM CST	22.75	0.75R	Stopped
Oct 20, 2025, 8:00 AM CDT	33.5	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 5, 2025, 11:30 PM CDT	7.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 15, 2025, 9:30 PM CDT	14.75	0.08R	Stopped
Mar 19, 2025, 9:00 AM CDT	53.25	1.12R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 5, 2025, 11:00 PM CST	13	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 13, 2025, 5:30 PM CST	42.5	1.15R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 9, 2024, 6:00 PM CDT	5.25	0.71R	Stopped
Jun 30, 2024, 9:30 PM CDT	5.5	0.00R	Stopped
May 20, 2024, 7:32 PM CDT	6.75	1.74R	Ran ≥1R
May 15, 2024, 7:00 PM CDT	11.75	0.89R	Stopped
May 2, 2024, 6:01 AM CDT	21	1.64R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 3, 2024, 11:30 PM CDT	9.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 6, 2024, 8:00 AM CST	11.5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 5, 2023, 3:00 PM CST	16.5	1.15R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 6, 2023, 4:00 AM CST	8.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 17, 2023, 6:30 PM CDT	8.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 6, 2023, 2:00 PM CDT	13.75	2.11R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Nov 19, 2024, 3:00 PM CST	36.75	0.12R	Stopped
Sep 2, 2024, 8:00 AM CDT	26	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 12, 2024, 6:04 PM CDT	12.75	2.29R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 29, 2023, 3:00 AM CDT	28	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 4, 2022, 6:00 PM CDT	10	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 12, 2022, 8:00 AM CDT	169.25	0.85R	Flat
Jun 22, 2022, 6:00 AM CDT	29.5	1.15R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 30, 2020, 4:00 AM CST	4.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 22, 2020, 7:00 AM CST	17.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 17, 2020, 12:00 PM CDT	21.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 2, 2020, 5:00 PM CST	9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 15, 2019, 8:00 PM CST	5.5	0.50R	Stopped
Aug 19, 2019, 10:01 AM CDT	17	0.13R	Stopped
Jun 4, 2019, 5:00 PM CDT	16	0.08R	Stopped
Apr 15, 2019, 11:03 PM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 26, 2019, 6:00 PM CST	10.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 24, 2019, 6:00 AM CST	11.75	2.04R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 3, 2018, 9:00 PM CDT	7.75	0.42R	Stopped
Mar 21, 2018, 8:00 PM CDT	12.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 31, 2017, 11:13 AM CDT	5	0.95R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (7)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 24, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT	170	—	Open
Nov 11, 2024, 1:00 AM CST	51.25	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 4, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT	177.25	0.41R	Stopped
May 5, 2021, 5:01 AM CDT	92	2.01R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 19, 2020, 9:00 PM CST	29.75	0.73R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT	7.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 16, 2012, 5:00 PM CST	5.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (3)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jan 24, 2024	163.25	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 14, 2017	40.25	0.00R	Stopped
May 2, 2017	19	1.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 9:26 AM CDT	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 5:17 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 3:45 AM CDT	1.75	2.14R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 7:06 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 6:43 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 28, 2026, 8:24 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 7:58 AM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 2:33 AM CDT	0.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 10:21 PM CDT	0.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 7:11 PM CDT	1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 12:58 PM CDT	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 26, 2026, 7:57 PM CDT	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 26, 2026, 7:45 PM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 26, 2026, 6:55 PM CDT	0.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 1:35 PM CDT	1	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 4:41 AM CDT	0.75	0.67R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 3:40 AM CDT	0.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 2:29 AM CDT	0.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 12:59 AM CDT	0.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT	0.5	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 28, 2026, 10:11 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 10:06 PM CDT	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 5:10 PM CDT	1	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 24, 2026, 12:50 AM CDT	1.25	0.40R	Stopped
Apr 21, 2026, 12:25 AM CDT	1.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 8:20 PM CDT	1.75	1.14R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 15, 2026, 1:30 AM CDT	2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 13, 2026, 5:05 PM CDT	3	0.67R	Stopped
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM CDT	3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 6, 2026, 3:30 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 3, 2026, 4:30 AM CDT	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 10:55 PM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 13, 2026, 2:35 AM CDT	3.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 2, 2026, 2:50 AM CST	4	1.31R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 25, 2026, 9:40 PM CST	2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 25, 2026, 9:25 PM CST	0.5	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 25, 2026, 8:10 AM CST	4.75	1.05R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 25, 2026, 5:25 AM CST	1	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 22, 2026, 11:40 PM CST	1.5	0.50R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2026, 6:45 PM CST	1.25	0.20R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 26, 2026, 8:00 PM CDT	9.25	0.35R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2026, 12:30 AM CST	2.75	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 2, 2026, 12:15 AM CST	0.75	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 31, 2025, 1:00 PM CST	3.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 18, 2025, 12:30 PM CST	8.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 9, 2025, 10:30 PM CST	3.25	1.62R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 9, 2025, 9:00 PM CST	1.5	1.83R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 27, 2025, 8:15 AM CST	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 2, 2025, 5:45 PM CST	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 28, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT	2.5	1.80R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 27, 2025, 5:45 AM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 24, 2025, 12:45 PM CDT	4	0.88R	Stopped
Oct 2, 2025, 5:32 AM CDT	2.25	0.33R	Stopped
Oct 1, 2025, 8:16 PM CDT	2	1.13R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 17, 2025, 6:15 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 17, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 14, 2025, 8:02 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 7, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT	3	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 15, 2025, 12:30 PM CDT	3.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 29, 2025, 6:30 PM CDT	1.25	2.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 25, 2026, 5:00 AM CDT	12.25	0.22R	Stopped
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM CST	8.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 6, 2026, 2:30 PM CST	5.25	0.05R	Stopped
Dec 26, 2025, 8:01 AM CST	6	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 14, 2025, 10:02 PM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 29, 2025, 10:00 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 28, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT	1.5	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 29, 2025, 11:00 PM CDT	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 24, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	3.25	0.15R	Stopped
Sep 19, 2024, 11:30 PM CDT	1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 12, 2024, 7:30 PM CDT	3.25	2.15R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 21, 2024, 6:00 AM CDT	3	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 31, 2024, 3:30 AM CDT	5	0.75R	Stopped
Jul 9, 2024, 7:01 PM CDT	1.25	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 4, 2024, 4:08 AM CDT	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
May 15, 2024, 7:00 PM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
May 15, 2024, 6:30 PM CDT	1.75	0.00R	Stopped
May 10, 2024, 4:32 AM CDT	2.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 3, 2024, 11:31 PM CDT	2	2.88R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 17, 2024, 11:30 PM CDT	1	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Feb 26, 2026, 11:00 PM CST	5.75	1.52R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 6, 2026, 2:00 PM CST	5.25	0.05R	Stopped
Jan 2, 2026, 12:00 AM CST	2.25	1.33R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 27, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT	6.25	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 17, 2025, 4:00 AM CDT	4	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 29, 2025, 8:00 PM CST	4.25	1.18R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 27, 2024, 9:00 PM CDT	2	2.88R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 18, 2024, 8:00 AM CDT	10.25	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2024, 7:00 AM CDT	5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 12, 2024, 6:03 PM CDT	2.75	2.73R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 18, 2024, 6:00 AM CST	3.75	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 24, 2023, 12:01 AM CDT	4.5	0.67R	Stopped
Jul 19, 2023, 11:00 PM CDT	2	0.25R	Stopped
Jun 29, 2023, 6:02 PM CDT	2.25	1.67R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 27, 2023, 4:00 AM CST	4.75	0.32R	Stopped
Jun 22, 2022, 6:00 AM CDT	9.5	1.24R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 17, 2022, 10:00 PM CST	6.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 17, 2022, 4:00 AM CST	6.5	0.12R	Stopped
Dec 12, 2021, 10:01 PM CST	2.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 22, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT	1.75	0.71R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (15)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Dec 25, 2024, 9:00 PM CST	5.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 4, 2024, 5:00 AM CDT	31.75	0.69R	Stopped
Oct 20, 2020, 9:00 PM CDT	9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 20, 2020, 5:00 PM CDT	7.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 14, 2018, 1:33 AM CDT	2.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 25, 2017, 10:08 AM CDT	2.75	1.45R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 10, 2014, 9:19 PM CST	3.75	2.27R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 14, 2013, 1:04 AM CST	3	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 14, 2013, 5:00 PM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 1, 2012, 9:05 AM CDT	5	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 21, 2011, 1:04 AM CST	8.5	2.06R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 1, 2010, 5:00 PM CST	3.75	0.07R	Stopped
Nov 2, 2010, 5:00 PM CDT	5	1.80R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 20, 2008, 9:26 PM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2008, 5:00 PM CDT	8.75	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Date	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 26, 2017	13.25	0.45R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 3:38 PM CDT	0.2	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 3:54 AM CDT	1	0.60R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 2:31 AM CDT	1.1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 7:10 PM CDT	1.9	0.63R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 5:14 PM CDT	0.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 1:09 PM CDT	1.4	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM CDT	0.7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 3:27 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 1:52 PM CDT	0.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 5:06 AM CDT	0.6	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 3:05 AM CDT	1.2	1.92R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 10:33 PM CDT	0.9	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 24, 2026, 2:15 PM CDT	0.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 9:27 AM CDT	3	2.57R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 8:43 AM CDT	2.2	1.77R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 7:55 AM CDT	2	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 6:40 AM CDT	1.5	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 6:38 AM CDT	2.7	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 5:03 AM CDT	1	0.70R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 1:40 AM CDT	1.2	0.33R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 28, 2026, 11:12 PM CDT	4.5	0.38R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 1:50 AM CDT	7.8	1.51R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 16, 2026, 1:51 PM CDT	3.6	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 7, 2026, 11:02 AM CDT	8.8	0.87R	Stopped
Apr 1, 2026, 5:35 PM CDT	7.2	0.50R	Stopped
Mar 15, 2026, 7:05 PM CDT	9.9	0.47R	Stopped
Mar 10, 2026, 9:35 PM CDT	2.5	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 10, 2026, 6:20 PM CDT	4.4	1.73R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 2, 2026, 2:10 PM CST	9.5	1.61R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 20, 2026, 2:37 AM CST	4.4	0.41R	Stopped
Feb 13, 2026, 3:46 PM CST	4.9	0.69R	Stopped
Feb 13, 2026, 3:26 PM CST	2.9	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 27, 2026, 8:35 PM CST	7.6	0.36R	Stopped
Jan 27, 2026, 8:41 AM CST	10	2.60R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 21, 2026, 3:35 PM CST	4.1	0.39R	Stopped
Jan 14, 2026, 4:40 AM CST	2.6	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 12, 2026, 8:50 PM CST	2.3	0.35R	Stopped
Jan 6, 2026, 2:25 AM CST	4.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 21, 2025, 7:55 PM CST	1.9	2.42R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 16, 2025, 11:05 AM CST	4.4	2.20R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 20, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT	5.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 8, 2026, 11:00 AM CDT	9.6	0.86R	Stopped
Mar 20, 2026, 3:15 PM CDT	13.6	1.07R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 AM CST	7.6	2.68R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 24, 2026, 12:00 PM CST	6	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 27, 2026, 3:31 AM CST	10.4	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 15, 2026, 12:15 AM CST	6.1	0.57R	Stopped
Dec 29, 2025, 11:30 PM CST	6.1	2.39R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 17, 2025, 8:30 PM CST	4	1.75R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 2, 2025, 12:00 AM CST	2.3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 5, 2025, 8:30 PM CST	5.3	0.19R	Stopped
Nov 4, 2025, 9:15 PM CST	2.9	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 2, 2025, 9:45 PM CST	4.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 19, 2025, 4:15 AM CDT	1.7	0.29R	Stopped
Jun 26, 2025, 11:46 AM CDT	1.7	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 2, 2025, 2:30 AM CDT	4.7	2.23R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2025, 9:30 AM CDT	8.2	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 26, 2025, 9:49 PM CDT	2.6	0.38R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2025, 9:17 PM CDT	1.1	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 4, 2025, 2:16 PM CST	2.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jan 5, 2026, 5:00 PM CST	12.6	1.67R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 13, 2025, 9:30 AM CDT	6.7	0.91R	Stopped
Sep 28, 2025, 10:30 PM CDT	4.4	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 6, 2025, 6:00 AM CDT	3.2	0.00R	Stopped
May 22, 2025, 11:30 PM CDT	3	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2025, 10:34 PM CDT	3.5	0.34R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2025, 3:00 PM CST	2.2	0.95R	Stopped
Jan 24, 2025, 12:32 PM CST	1.8	0.61R	Stopped
Nov 11, 2024, 2:30 PM CST	4.4	0.75R	Stopped
Nov 7, 2024, 3:30 PM CST	2.1	1.24R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 14, 2024, 3:38 AM CDT	4.3	0.95R	Stopped
Jul 30, 2024, 6:06 AM CDT	1.9	2.63R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 8, 2024, 12:01 AM CDT	2.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 1, 2024, 9:02 AM CDT	5.5	1.85R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2024, 10:30 PM CDT	4.7	0.19R	Stopped
Apr 11, 2024, 1:30 PM CDT	3.6	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 8, 2024, 4:03 AM CST	2.3	1.48R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 16, 2024, 1:02 PM CST	1.2	2.33R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 24, 2024, 3:30 AM CST	3.9	0.36R	Stopped
Dec 27, 2023, 12:01 PM CST	3.1	1.71R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Oct 23, 2025, 1:00 AM CDT	25.2	0.85R	Stopped
Aug 13, 2025, 7:05 PM CDT	6.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 1, 2024, 7:01 AM CDT	5.8	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 10, 2023, 7:08 PM CDT	1.7	1.35R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 15, 2023, 10:02 PM CDT	1.2	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 16, 2023, 9:00 PM CDT	2.4	0.12R	Stopped
Feb 1, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	3.4	0.88R	Stopped
Dec 8, 2022, 10:05 PM CST	1.7	0.00R	Stopped
May 30, 2022, 12:04 AM CDT	2.2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 8, 2022, 9:00 AM CST	24.3	1.81R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 2, 2021, 2:02 AM CDT	3	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 29, 2021, 7:03 PM CDT	1.9	0.00R	Stopped
May 3, 2021, 9:00 AM CDT	4.4	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2021, 2:01 PM CDT	1	1.20R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 22, 2021, 1:00 PM CST	2.5	1.24R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 11, 2021, 2:00 AM CST	6.5	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 23, 2020, 8:00 PM CST	3.2	2.56R	Ran ≥1R
May 12, 2020, 12:03 AM CDT	3.3	1.15R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 16, 2020, 11:00 PM CST	1.4	0.00R	Stopped
May 28, 2019, 7:09 PM CDT	1.6	0.88R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (8)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Dec 27, 2022, 9:02 AM CST	17.2	1.19R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 12, 2019, 9:03 PM CDT	1.2	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 22, 2017, 1:01 AM CDT	3.1	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 23, 2016, 9:26 AM CST	4.6	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 4, 2013, 9:09 PM CDT	4.9	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 21, 2013, 9:00 AM CST	7.5	0.09R	Stopped
Feb 3, 2010, 1:10 AM CST	7.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 20, 2009, 1:37 AM CDT	12.7	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 10:54 AM CDT	0.22	0.14R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 3:36 AM CDT	0.14	2.57R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 29, 2026, 2:33 AM CDT	0.05	2.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM CDT	0.07	0.71R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 10:27 PM CDT	0.06	0.33R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 6:13 PM CDT	0.03	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 5:28 PM CDT	0.02	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 9:03 AM CDT	0.33	0.33R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 6:32 PM CDT	0.03	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 6:09 PM CDT	0.03	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM CDT	0.12	0.42R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 5:28 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM CDT	0.03	0.67R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 3:21 PM CDT	0.05	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 11:23 AM CDT	0.04	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 10:35 AM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 7:37 AM CDT	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 4:28 AM CDT	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 1:09 AM CDT	0.08	2.50R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 24, 2026, 9:29 AM CDT	0.43	1.02R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 22, 2026, 1:00 AM CDT	0.17	1.71R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 21, 2026, 6:55 AM CDT	0.1	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 6, 2026, 12:40 AM CDT	0.23	0.87R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2026, 3:11 PM CDT	0.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 22, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT	0.3	2.47R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 13, 2026, 7:35 AM CDT	0.38	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 11, 2026, 10:25 PM CDT	0.36	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 4, 2026, 12:45 PM CST	0.16	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 27, 2026, 1:02 PM CST	0.11	1.91R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 27, 2026, 4:07 AM CST	0.08	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 26, 2026, 11:32 PM CST	0.1	1.60R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 25, 2026, 5:04 AM CST	0.06	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 23, 2026, 11:56 PM CST	0.04	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 19, 2026, 6:55 PM CST	0.04	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 19, 2026, 2:58 AM CST	0.1	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 13, 2026, 3:07 PM CST	0.07	0.29R	Stopped
Feb 13, 2026, 11:47 AM CST	0.11	2.09R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 11, 2026, 8:11 PM CST	0.04	2.75R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 10, 2026, 3:45 PM CST	0.03	1.67R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 15, 2026, 9:30 PM CDT	0.3	1.97R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 3, 2026, 5:15 AM CST	0.91	0.78R	Stopped
Mar 2, 2026, 7:00 PM CST	0.44	0.36R	Stopped
Feb 5, 2026, 8:31 PM CST	0.32	0.66R	Stopped
Dec 26, 2025, 12:38 AM CST	0.04	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 21, 2025, 6:49 PM CST	0.06	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 11, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 10, 2025, 12:19 AM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 3, 2025, 1:17 AM CST	0.05	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 17, 2025, 1:42 AM CST	0.07	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 14, 2025, 11:17 PM CDT	0.04	0.25R	Stopped
Oct 1, 2025, 2:25 AM CDT	0.09	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 9, 2025, 6:31 PM CDT	0.11	1.18R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 1, 2025, 8:45 PM CDT	0.1	1.40R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 24, 2025, 9:25 PM CDT	0.06	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 17, 2025, 11:27 PM CDT	0.04	2.25R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 13, 2025, 11:34 PM CDT	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 5, 2025, 5:15 PM CDT	0.04	0.50R	Stopped
Jul 28, 2025, 12:05 AM CDT	0.07	1.86R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 24, 2025, 6:47 PM CDT	0.06	0.50R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Feb 25, 2026, 10:38 PM CST	0.06	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 11, 2026, 9:30 PM CST	0.16	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 30, 2025, 3:56 AM CST	0.11	1.64R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 7, 2025, 5:30 PM CST	0.08	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 3, 2025, 3:17 AM CST	0.18	0.00R	Stopped
Dec 1, 2025, 12:00 AM CST	0.25	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 13, 2025, 7:35 PM CST	0.47	1.79R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 8, 2025, 11:07 PM CDT	0.06	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 23, 2025, 2:30 PM CDT	0.06	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 24, 2025, 3:30 PM CDT	0.16	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 14, 2025, 11:59 PM CDT	0.1	1.70R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 26, 2025, 5:34 AM CDT	0.11	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 11, 2025, 6:06 PM CDT	0.1	1.70R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 18, 2024, 6:46 AM CST	0.12	1.67R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 3, 2024, 10:40 PM CST	0.05	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 1, 2024, 5:30 PM CDT	0.19	1.47R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 8, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.11	0.27R	Stopped
Jun 26, 2024, 12:06 AM CDT	0.04	0.75R	Stopped
Apr 8, 2024, 7:38 PM CDT	0.14	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 13, 2024, 7:43 PM CDT	0.13	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Nov 27, 2025, 4:55 AM CST	0.16	1.81R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 10, 2025, 5:23 AM CST	0.47	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 30, 2024, 1:13 AM CDT	0.18	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 24, 2024, 7:18 PM CDT	0.23	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 13, 2024, 8:13 PM CDT	0.12	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 7, 2023, 5:00 PM CST	0.1	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 20, 2023, 12:02 AM CST	0.2	2.10R	Ran ≥1R
Aug 9, 2023, 11:05 PM CDT	0.09	0.00R	Stopped
May 19, 2023, 1:06 AM CDT	0.16	2.81R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 5, 2023, 9:01 PM CST	0.21	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 6, 2022, 5:00 PM CDT	0.32	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 5, 2022, 7:00 PM CDT	0.82	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 11, 2022, 12:00 AM CDT	0.7	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 19, 2021, 4:01 AM CDT	0.23	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 6, 2021, 11:01 PM CDT	0.15	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 15, 2021, 6:43 AM CDT	0.26	0.00R	Stopped
May 5, 2021, 11:02 PM CDT	0.18	0.00R	Stopped
Jun 11, 2020, 11:01 PM CDT	0.21	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 9, 2020, 4:06 AM CDT	1.09	1.19R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 13, 2020, 8:09 AM CST	0.3	0.83R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (7)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jan 26, 2023, 9:02 PM CST	0.26	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 19, 2020, 5:00 PM CST	0.46	0.41R	Stopped
Jan 29, 2019, 9:00 PM CST	0.31	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 8, 2016, 9:00 AM CDT	0.54	0.00R	Stopped
May 21, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT	0.33	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 30, 2010, 1:37 AM CDT	0.47	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 10, 2008, 5:00 PM CST	0.69	1.04R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 29, 2026, 9:43 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 8:49 AM CDT	0.004	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 29, 2026, 3:09 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 29, 2026, 2:42 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 10:59 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 10:45 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 10:32 AM CDT	0.005	2.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 9:19 AM CDT	0.003	0.67R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2026, 8:18 AM CDT	0.005	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 4:24 AM CDT	0.001	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 28, 2026, 2:25 AM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 27, 2026, 11:00 PM CDT	0.001	1.00R	Stopped
Apr 27, 2026, 11:57 AM CDT	0.001	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 8:36 AM CDT	0.004	1.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 5:30 AM CDT	0.002	2.50R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 3:54 AM CDT	0.001	2.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 27, 2026, 2:58 AM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 26, 2026, 7:29 PM CDT	—	—	Open
Apr 24, 2026, 1:50 AM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 23, 2026, 1:48 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 28, 2026, 10:59 AM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 26, 2026, 8:19 PM CDT	0.008	2.13R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 23, 2026, 1:34 AM CDT	0.002	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 19, 2026, 11:13 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 17, 2026, 10:18 AM CDT	0.005	1.20R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 14, 2026, 8:23 PM CDT	0.001	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 8, 2026, 6:38 AM CDT	0.009	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 7, 2026, 6:46 AM CDT	0.005	0.00R	Stopped
Apr 5, 2026, 6:20 PM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 31, 2026, 11:31 PM CDT	0.007	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 29, 2026, 10:45 PM CDT	0.003	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 26, 2026, 11:11 PM CDT	0.003	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 26, 2026, 1:25 AM CDT	0.004	0.75R	Stopped
Mar 22, 2026, 10:17 PM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 20, 2026, 12:46 AM CDT	0.006	1.33R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 19, 2026, 3:55 AM CDT	0.009	0.78R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2026, 2:31 PM CDT	0.011	0.73R	Stopped
Mar 18, 2026, 7:16 AM CDT	0.013	0.62R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 5:55 AM CDT	0.005	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 12, 2026, 11:48 PM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Apr 16, 2026, 5:20 PM CDT	0.006	2.33R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 1, 2026, 2:56 PM CDT	0.006	0.67R	Stopped
Mar 26, 2026, 11:59 PM CDT	0.011	0.91R	Stopped
Mar 17, 2026, 12:52 AM CDT	0.01	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 4, 2026, 10:20 PM CST	0.004	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 3, 2026, 7:34 PM CST	0.006	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 5, 2026, 8:35 PM CST	0.01	0.60R	Stopped
Jan 28, 2026, 5:49 PM CST	0.02	1.35R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 27, 2026, 10:27 AM CST	0.03	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 14, 2026, 2:43 AM CST	0.007	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 13, 2026, 2:52 AM CST	0.011	0.09R	Stopped
Jan 5, 2026, 3:04 AM CST	0.01	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 9, 2025, 5:15 PM CST	0.009	0.67R	Stopped
Nov 28, 2025, 10:29 AM CST	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 19, 2025, 7:08 AM CST	0.022	0.45R	Stopped
Nov 5, 2025, 8:31 PM CST	0.025	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 17, 2025, 4:44 AM CDT	0.01	0.20R	Stopped
Oct 10, 2025, 3:42 AM CDT	0.006	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 6, 2025, 2:26 AM CDT	0.013	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 23, 2025, 3:20 AM CDT	0.006	1.50R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Mar 31, 2026, 11:20 PM CDT	0.011	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Mar 6, 2026, 11:40 AM CST	0.056	1.18R	Ran ≥1R
Nov 12, 2025, 3:09 PM CST	0.012	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 22, 2025, 8:25 AM CDT	0.031	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Oct 15, 2025, 2:20 PM CDT	0.014	0.43R	Stopped
Oct 5, 2025, 8:50 PM CDT	0.021	0.24R	Stopped
Sep 23, 2025, 2:12 PM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 23, 2025, 3:01 AM CDT	0.006	1.50R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 2, 2025, 8:53 PM CDT	0.004	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 22, 2025, 7:28 PM CDT	0.005	0.00R	Stopped
May 9, 2025, 2:25 AM CDT	0.013	0.77R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2025, 8:49 PM CDT	0.013	0.92R	Stopped
Apr 28, 2025, 9:14 AM CDT	0.061	0.08R	Stopped
Apr 11, 2025, 12:33 PM CDT	0.032	1.28R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 3, 2025, 3:25 AM CDT	0.021	0.10R	Stopped
Apr 2, 2025, 8:59 AM CDT	0.024	0.42R	Stopped
Mar 24, 2025, 1:36 AM CDT	0.006	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 16, 2025, 11:06 PM CST	0.009	0.00R	Stopped
Feb 16, 2025, 10:28 PM CST	0.007	0.00R	Stopped
Jan 31, 2025, 3:11 AM CST	0.011	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (20)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Jan 22, 2026, 8:31 PM CST	0.07	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 27, 2025, 1:58 PM CST	0.012	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 22, 2025, 5:00 PM CST	0.02	2.10R	Ran ≥1R
Sep 24, 2024, 1:57 AM CDT	0.019	0.37R	Stopped
Sep 22, 2024, 7:36 PM CDT	0.01	2.30R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 23, 2024, 6:30 PM CST	0.017	0.41R	Stopped
Jan 17, 2024, 12:44 PM CST	0.095	0.13R	Stopped
Nov 27, 2023, 6:07 PM CST	0.013	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 25, 2023, 3:35 AM CDT	0.007	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 7, 2023, 8:16 PM CDT	0.013	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 15, 2023, 5:00 PM CDT	0.028	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 21, 2022, 11:25 AM CST	0.058	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 29, 2022, 2:17 AM CDT	0.042	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 27, 2021, 10:43 PM CST	0.018	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Dec 10, 2021, 3:01 AM CST	0.02	0.00R	Stopped
Oct 26, 2021, 12:23 PM CDT	0.058	2.02R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 6, 2021, 7:14 PM CDT	0.009	0.78R	Stopped
Jun 28, 2021, 10:42 AM CDT	0.017	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
May 17, 2021, 8:55 AM CDT	0.026	0.62R	Stopped
Mar 30, 2021, 10:19 PM CDT	0.004	0.00R	Stopped

Sample Bearish Shooting Star Firings (18)

Based on data through Apr 29, 2026

Time	Risk (pts)	Room offered	Result
Sep 16, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT	0.025	0.68R	Stopped
May 20, 2024, 5:00 PM CDT	0.031	0.00R	Stopped
Sep 1, 2021, 10:20 AM CDT	0.1	0.29R	Stopped
Jul 14, 2020, 9:32 PM CDT	0.01	0.00R	Stopped
Mar 25, 2020, 12:38 AM CDT	0.029	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 9, 2018, 12:25 AM CDT	0.011	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 11, 2017, 5:00 PM CDT	0.013	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jul 11, 2016, 1:02 AM CDT	0.02	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Apr 8, 2016, 1:10 AM CDT	0.016	0.00R	Stopped
Aug 12, 2015, 5:00 PM CDT	0.016	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jan 23, 2014, 4:30 AM CST	0.135	0.41R	Stopped
Dec 2, 2013, 5:00 PM CST	0.016	0.62R	Stopped
Apr 14, 2013, 5:00 PM CDT	0.042	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Feb 25, 2013, 4:40 AM CST	0.049	0.00R	Stopped
Nov 24, 2010, 5:00 PM CST	0.103	2.78R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 17, 2010, 5:00 PM CDT	0.046	3.00R	Ran ≥1R
Jun 13, 2010, 5:00 PM CDT	0.042	0.00R	Stopped
Jul 1, 2008, 5:00 PM CDT	0.083	3.00R	Ran ≥1R

Sample backtest

Real backtested runs of this pattern, with commissions and slippage. Open one for the full equity curve and metrics, or backtest it yourself on your own contract and dates.

NQ 1D · 2020-2024

Bearish Shooting Star

Win rate: 100.00%
Profit factor: 0.00
Max drawdown: 0.00%

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